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Elecciones presidenciales de Chile 2025, en vivo | Comienza la votación de los chilenos en el exterior

13 Dec 2025, 23:28 – El País LATAM

Este domingo 14 de diciembre los chilenos deben volver a las urnas para elegir al nuevo presidente en una segunda vuelta que enfrenta a candidatos totalmente antagónicos. La candidata de la izquierda Jeannette Jara, y el postulante de la ultraderecha, José Antonio Kast, compiten por ser el sucesor del actual mandatario de izquierda, Gabriel Boric, que deja el cargo el 11 de marzo de 2026. Con esta elección, que se realiza con voto obligatorio para todos los chilenos habilitados en el padrón electoral, se pondrá fin a una extensa campaña que ha estado marcada por los temas de seguridad, economía y migración, además de las críticas a la gestión del Ejecutivo.

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Los candidatos y la salud

13 Dec 2025, 19:51 – El País LATAM

La salud figura entre las principales preocupaciones de la ciudadanía chilena, según diversas encuestas. Esto no resulta sorprendente: el sistema de salud chileno arrastra desde hace años una crisis estructural que ha dejado al Estado en deuda con la ciudadanía. Tal como señalamos en el capítulo de salud del Informe Anual de Derechos Humanos 2025, esta crisis es multicausal. Su origen está en un modelo segmentado y discriminatorio según sexo, edad y nivel socioeconómico, en la falta de sostenibilidad financiera, en la desigualdad entre los sectores público y privado, en el bajo énfasis en la Atención Primaria como puerta de entrada al sistema, y en la opacidad y débil fiscalización del sector asegurador. Estos factores generan inequidades en acceso y calidad y perpetúan una lógica de mercado que privilegia la capacidad de pago por sobre el derecho a la salud.

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Entrevista política en torno a una mesa: “La once nos pone en un pie de igualdad”

13 Dec 2025, 19:32 – El País LATAM

Canillo, hijo de una familia huilliche muy pobre, era muy flaco y nunca crecía; en su casa, sin embargo, había alimentos, pero desaparecían. Un día su familia se escondió y descubrió que Canillo era el que se comía todo. Se asustaron, creyeron que era el diablo y lo lanzaron al mar. Luego del crimen, o del intento de crimen, hubo una sequía que marchitó todas las plantas de la tierra y el mar. “La gente fue a entregar alimentos al abuelito Huentenao como ofrendas, pero Canillo voló hacia el sol y lo tapó con una rama de laurel. Para apaciguarlo, Huentenao le ofreció a su hija, si no la hambruna se esparciría. Luego de que Canillo contrajera matrimonio, el abuelito lo encerró en una roca para que no hiciera el mal”.

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Muere a los 86 años Abraham Quintanilla, padre y representante de la cantante Selena

13 Dec 2025, 18:56 – El País LATAM

El padre y representante de la popular cantante de la música tejana Selena, Abraham Quintanilla, ha fallecido a los 86 años, según ha dado a conocer su hijo, A.B. Quintanilla III, a través de sus redes sociales. “Con gran pesar les informo que mi padre falleció hoy”, publicó este sábado el músico en su cuenta de Instagram. Las causas de su muerte no han sido reveladas.

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La guerra entre los carteles en la frontera sur obliga a reforzar el despliegue militar en México y Guatemala

13 Dec 2025, 18:31 – El País LATAM

La onda expansiva del crimen organizado ha cruzado esta semana la frontera entre México y Guatemala con una serie de hechos delictivos que ha dejado agobio y tensión en los pobladores de la frontera sur. El lunes se produjo un enfrentamiento entre bandas criminales, una de estas una célula del Cartel de Sinaloa, que afectó comunidades en los departamentos guatemaltecos de Huehuetenango y San Marcos. El choque de los narcotraficantes con rivales del Cartel de Chiapas y Guatemala dejó como saldo un muerto y un militar guatemalteco herido. Pero el episodio recuerda también que hay una guerra de baja intensidad en la zona limítrofe entre ambos países.

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Five-month preemptive arrest for former Bolivian President Arce

13 Dec 2025, 09:19 – MercoPress

“We haven't left, we're here, we're innocent,” Arce insisted as he was transferred to prison (Pic REUTERS) Former Bolivian President Luis Arce Catacora has been placed under preemptive arrest at the San Pedro detention facility in La Paz for five months, pending a corruption inquiry regarding the mismanagement of funds intended for indigenous projects when he served as Economy Minister under Evo Morales (2006-2019).

Colombian guerrillas declare nationwide armed strike to protest US aggression

12 Dec 2025, 22:39 – Latin America Reports

Bogotá, Colombia – The Colombian National Liberation Army (ELN) has declared a 72-hour nationwide armed strike beginning on Sunday in protest against increased US military activity in Latin America.

In a statement, the group warned Colombians not to travel via the country’s roadways or navigable rivers during the three day window; while the group said it would not harm civilians, armed strikes are enforced through violence, with previous iterations involving vehicle burnings and civilian casualties.

The action will be the first national-level armed strike since 2022 and comes amid an ongoing U.S. boat bombing campaign – which the Pentagon says has targeted ELN members – as well as White House threats of further intervention, including land strikes in Colombia.

“We, the peoples’ forces of Colombia, protest the threat of imperialist intervention in our country as a new phase of Trump’s neo-colonial plan, which aims to sink its claws even deeper into Latin American and Caribbean territories,” read a decree emitted on Friday by the ELN.

On multiple occasions, U.S. President Donald Trump has floated the idea of striking drug production targets within Colombian borders; Colombia is the world’s largest producer of cocaine and the ELN is known to be a key actor in the drug trade.

The communiqué said the strike would begin at 6:00 AM on Sunday, December 14 and last until the same time on Wednesday. 

While it instructed civilians not to travel by road or river during the three day window, it maintained that its “road control units will respect civilians and their property,” but advised regular people not to mix with soldiers in order to “avoid accidents.”

Although the measures are purportedly national, analysts say they are unlikely to affect the whole country.

“In practical terms, this is a national announcement, but it has a limited impact because the ELN does not have a national presence,” Gerson Arias, investigator at the Ideas for Peace Foundation (FIP), a Colombian think-tank, told The Bogotá Post.

Arias said the bulk of the effect will be seen in areas of ELN control, especially in Colombia’s northeast and in the western departments of Cauca, Nariño and Chocó.

The last time the ELN implemented a nationwide armed strike was in 2022, with incidents across 17 departments including vehicle burnings and road blockages intended to protest the Ivan Duque administration (2018-2022).

But the ELN regularly uses smaller scale armed strikes to exert control over specific areas, usually in rural regions. Experts say that the guerrillas often use the actions as a guise to secure drug transit corridors and facilitate the movement of soldiers and contraband.

Rights groups criticize armed strikes for producing a host of deleterious effects on affected populations, with forced confinement impeding access to education, food, and healthcare. 

While the ELN’s decree did not explicitly mention U.S. threats against Venezuela, the group is known to have a presence in the country and has recorded ties with the Nicolás Maduro regime.

Much of the guerrilla group’s territory lies on the border with Venezuela and any U.S. attack on Colombia’s neighbor would also threaten the ELN, according to FIP’s Arias. 

“The ELN is well aware that it may be affected by some of the measures taken by the United States,” said the analyst.

The group has already been directly impacted by Trump’s boat bombing campaign, with U.S. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth saying an October 17 strike on an alleged drug vessel had killed three ELN members. The rebels denied the claim, insisting they do not smuggle drugs. 

The ELN’s armed strike declaration underscores the complex panorama of armed groups in the region and their ties to government, drug trafficking, and border zones. While the impact of the action is yet to be seen, the announcement shows the far-reaching consequences of the White House’s mounting military pressure in the region.

This article originally appeared in The Bogotá Post and was republished with permission.

Featured image description: ELN fighters.

Featured image credit: Brasil de Fato via Flickr

The post Colombian guerrillas declare nationwide armed strike to protest US aggression appeared first on Latin America Reports.

U.S. Seizure of the Skipper Oil Tanker in the Caribbean: The Numerous Holes in Trump’s Line of Reasoning

12 Dec 2025, 22:22 – Steve Ellner’s Blog


The U.S.’s seizure of the oil tanker the Skipper in the Caribbean is just one more example of the inconsistencies, lies and ludicrous claims that characterize Trump’s justification for his actions against Venezuela. As Representative Gregory Meeks (NY), a ranking member of the House Foreign Affairs Committee pointed out, the seizure clearly demonstrates that the bombing of the 42 boats by the Southern Command has nothing to do with drug trafficking. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt describes the Skipper’s shipment as “black market oil” but that’s only because the U.S. sanctions don’t give Venezuela any alternative to export its oil. It’s like a judge who sentences a man to stop breathing and then when the man grasps for breath the judge declares he’s breaking the law. 

Simultaneously, Trump sanctioned 6 more shipping companies that transport Venezuelan oil. The groundwork is being laid for more seizures. The Financial Times now states “fifty-five sanctions-hit tankers have participated in Venezuelan oil trades in the last year.” Why doesn’t the Turmp administration just come out and say it? The U.S. is blockading Venezuela.

On the other hand, the Trump administration states that it’s the Skipper company that is being targeted because it allegedly finances terrorist groups, specifically Hezbollah and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard. But the oil belongs to Venezuela, not the Skipper. According to that logic, the U.S. should return the oil to Venezuela. Not likely to happen.

 

 

Colombia stays silent on abstention in UN ‘kidnapped’ Ukraine children vote

12 Dec 2025, 22:08 – Latin America Reports

Medellín, Colombia – The results of a UN forum, made public on December 3, revealed that Colombia abstained from taking a position on the statement urging Russia to guarantee the “immediate, safe and unconditional return of Ukrainian children who have been deported or forcibly removed” to Russian territory. 

Despite 91 countries voting in favor of the document, Colombia, which will sit on the Security Council next year, joined 57 nations – including Brazil, El Salvador, and China – refraining from supporting the measure. Meanwhile, 12 countries voted against it. 

The development has placed President Gustavo Petro’s government in the hot seat as opposition figures in Colombia criticize and question the decision while the administration, so far, refuses to comment publicly. 

The United Nations statement, proposed by Ukraine with the sponsorship of Canada and the European Union, urged the return of thousands of Ukrainian children who were transferred from their homes to Russian territory over nearly four years of war. 

The resolution also calls on the Russian Federation “to cease such actions without delay, and to end the practices of family separation and the ‘change of [children’s] personal status’ through citizenship, adoption, foster placement or indoctrination”, according to a UN press release on the approved resolution. 

Source: https://x.com/sherwiebp/status/1996326527492075996

Backlash following the abstention 

Colombia’s decision to abstain has drawn criticism from the opposition, who say it highlights inconsistencies in President Petro’s foreign policy. 

These voices point to Petro’s outspoken stance as a defender of human rights and his historically active role in international affairs, whilst demanding clarification as to why the government has avoided taking a concrete stance on Russia’s invasion of a sovereign nation and the return of said Ukrainian children. 

Members of Congress from the Centro Democrático, the leading opposition party, have taken to social media to raise their concerns. 

Representative of the Democratic Center Andrés Forero, who urged, on X, that President Petro “must explain to the country why he ordered the Colombian delegation to the UN to abstain from voting on the motion urging Russia to return the thousands of Ukrainian children who have been kidnapped”. 

Further dissent came from Senator Paloma Valencia who also took to X to question Petro’s government. 

There has been no explanation offered by either President Petro or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. 

According to Brazilian media, the vote reinforces the Lula government’s position of equidistance in the conflict but raises questions about seeking a position as a global mediator over prioritizing human rights. 

The Russian government has accused the UN of “distorting reality”. 

In a Facebook post, Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs lashed out at President of UN General Assembly Annalena Baerbock, accusing her of framing her speech in “Goebbels propaganda mould”.

Featured image description: United Nations Security Council.

Featured image credit: United Nations via Flickr.

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New Caribbean Music This Week: Sean Paul, Anthony B, Machel Montano, Fay-Ann Lyons & More Drop Fresh Releases

12 Dec 2025, 20:32 – News Americas Now
Sean Paul drops new single on heels of Hurricane Melissa.Sean Paul drops new single on heels of Hurricane Melissa.

BY NAN ET Editor

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Dec. 12, 2025: New Caribbean music continues to surge with purpose, rhythm, and global appeal as several of the region’s most celebrated and emerging artists release new tracks this week, spanning dancehall, reggae, soca, and world music.

Sean Paul

Sean Paul drops new single on heels of Hurricane Melissa.
Sean Paul drops new track Faith We A Keep

Leading this week’s releases is Sean Paul, whose new single “Faith We A Keep” dropped today under Dutty Rock Productions, with exclusive licensing to Milk & Honey Records. Inspired by the resilience of the Jamaican people following Hurricane Melissa, the track delivers an uplifting message centered on perseverance, faith, and protection during challenging times. Blending emotional depth with Sean Paul’s signature delivery, the dancehall release is expected to resonate across radio playlists and inspirational programming.

“Faith We A Keep” was produced by Daramola and written by Sean Paul alongside Stephen “Di Genius” McGregor Henriques, Karen Amanda Reifer, and Abraham Olaleye. Recording took place at Paramount Studio and Dutty Rock Studio, with engineering by Kahlil “Tanned Jesus” Vellani and Andre “Suku Ward” Gray. The track is officially released on December 12, 2025.

LISTEN HERE

Anthony B

Veteran reggae and dancehall artist Anthony B also returns this week with his new single “Good Music,” now available on all major streaming platforms. Produced by GRAMMY Award-winning producer J-Vibe, the song delivers classic feel-good roots reggae vibes and marks the second release from Anthony B’s upcoming 2026 album on Ineffable Records. While Anthony B remains globally known for his iconic hit “World A Reggae Music,” his more recent track “Chill Out” from the 2023 album Bread & Butter has emerged as his top-performing digital release to date, signaling sustained audience demand for his sound.

MACHEL MONTANO

Soca fans are also being treated to a high-energy collaboration as Voice, Machel Montano, and litleboy lsbeats767 team up on “Bam Bam,” a track already gaining traction ahead of the 2026 Carnival season. Produced by litleboy lsbeats767, Precision Productions, and Machel Montano, with additional production by Mega Mick, the single blends modern soca with infectious hooks designed for both stage and fete settings.

The song features writing contributions from Aaron St-Louis (Voice), Machel Montano, Art Raoul Travis Philip, Foster Marcel Xavier, and Kasey Phillips, with recording sessions split between Trinidad studios. “Bam Bam” is released under Monk Music and is available on streaming platforms and YouTube.

Fay-Ann Lyons

Meanwhile, Trinidad and Tobago’s soca powerhouse Fay-Ann Lyons teams up with producer GusBus on “Can’t Fling Mud To A Love Song,” a world-soca release blending lyrical reflection with melodic warmth. Written and performed by Lyons, the track is released under Bad Beagle with exclusive licensing to Diaspora Sound, continuing her tradition of pairing social commentary with Caribbean rhythms.

Adding to this week’s diverse offerings is the Guardians Riddim, released by Blackstarr Productionz under Larnox Global Entertainment Ltd, featuring a world and soca-driven soundscape designed for multiple artist interpretations.

Also new is “Earthquake” by YelloStone, released via Jahmari Records / Dimmie Joe Muzik, delivering contemporary Caribbean energy with crossover appeal.

Rounding out the week is rising Jamaican reggae artist Ras-I, who releases “Reggae Mountain (Feel No Way),” a modern take on uplifting roots reggae. The single marks the first release from his upcoming 2026 album on Ineffable Records. Ras-I, who won Best New Reggae Artist at the 2024 Caribbean Music Awards, continues to gain international attention following the selection of his song “Somewhere Wonderful” as the official theme for the Jamaica Tourist Board earlier this year.

Together, this week’s releases reflect the Caribbean music industry’s continued global influence – balancing heritage, innovation, and messages that resonate far beyond the region.

Related Stories

Haiti Needs to Lay New Tracks

12 Dec 2025, 20:26 – AULA Blog

By Jake Johnston

Research Associate, Center for Economic and Policy Research

It’s been nearly a decade since Haitians last went to the polls to elect a president. Even then, barely one in five participated. In a country with a majority of the population under 25 years of age, this means that, for most Haitians, voting for one’s leaders is a privilege never before experienced.

Haiti’s transition, precipitated by the assassination of Jovenel Moïse in July 2021, is ongoing. For the better part of four years, progress toward elections has remained elusive. But that all appeared to change this fall.

“The Haitians need to come to an election and elect a president,” the US Charge d’Affaires, Henry Wooster said in September. Security and other challenges must not be a “red herring for taking action,” he continued. Speaking directly to Haiti’s de facto authorities, he warned: “In other words, you can’t stay in those jobs for life.”

The reaction, in a country where the political class remains more responsive to Washington than the population in Haiti, was swift. Two months later, a new electoral law has been established and a vote scheduled for next August. But does this present Haitians with a path out of the multiple, overlaid crises affecting the country? More than half the country is facing food insecurity, the economy is about to wrap up its seventh consecutive year of negative growth, and insecurity continues to dominate daily life.

In 2023, when asked if they had trust in the electoral process, fewer than one in four Haitians responded yes. It is hard to imagine that number is higher today. Though few would be sorry to see the much-loathed leaders atop the transition fall, a vote is not a path out of the current crisis.

The quick response to Wooster’s threats was not so much about elections. It was about a date much closer on the horizon: February 7, 2026. That is when the mandate of the nine-member presidential council — which was put in place with a strong push from the Biden administration, CARICOM, UN, and the OAS 18 months ago — formally ends. For months, debate has raged over what should come next. The political class is auditioning, not with the ten-plus million citizens of Haiti, but with the foreign diplomats and multilateral entities they see as key to their own survival.

And if there was any doubt about who would ultimately decide, it was put to rest in mid-November. Amid an effort from some on the transitional presidential council to, once again, replace the prime minister, the US embassy stepped into the fight.

“If you and your family value your relationship with the United States, I urge you in the strongest terms to desist from initiatives to oust the PM and to instead publish the electoral decree … This is not the time to test U.S. resolve,” Wooster texted Fritz Jean, one of the councilors. Days later, Jean’s US visa was revoked and the State Department publicly accused him, without providing evidence, of supporting armed gangs. The effort to replace the PM was stopped — at least for now. The next week, the electoral decree was published.

The “plan” is coming into focus, and it is a familiar one: stability at all costs, no matter how rotten the foundation. To enforce this notion of stability and allow for elections, the US has been quick to assure that more security support is on the way.

In September, the UN Security Council approved a Gang Suppression Force (GSF). Authorized for up to 5,500 soldiers, it is currently little more than a rebranding of the Kenyan-led Multinational Support Mission (MSS) that the UN authorized in 2024. No new troops have arrived and, while this new mission will have some level of UN support, operationalizing any of it is expected to take the better part of a year. 

The main difference then, for the 1,000 or so mostly Kenyan police on the ground in Haiti is that the rules of engagement have changed. The GSF, as its name suggests, is intended to be more “muscular,” by which its architects mean lethal. The newly drafted Concept of Operations outlines a mission with a simple goal: kill the bandits.

But while few have taken note, that has been the de facto authorities’ strategy for some time. So far this year, police forces have been responsible for well over half of the 4,500-plus killings in Haiti. Hundreds of civilians have been caught in the crossfire as police battle armed groups that exert influence over much of Port-au-Prince and have traumatized a nation. Drone attacks, led by a secretive police unit operating with Blackwater CEO Erik Prince’s private mercenaries, are also racking up civilian casualties and drawing growing condemnation.

The outspoken leaders of Haiti’s armed groups, however, only seem to continue to accumulate more power, political influence, and heavy weaponry. While some areas of the capital have seen tension ease, violence in the provinces is expanding by the day. Armed groups still control all the major arteries of the nation. More people are displaced today than at the height of the post-earthquake recovery.

The US has expressed its goal in Haiti as saving the state from imminent collapse, thereby avoiding mass migration or the further entrenchment of transnational criminal organizations. But while precious oxygen is consumed by raging debates over electoral timelines, transitional governance structures, and how quickly foreign soldiers can arrive, nobody has stopped to ask a basic question: is the current state worth saving?

The root of the tension that has paralyzed the country for much of the last decade is not a fight between violent gangs and the state. Simplistic narratives of good versus evil miss the mark. Rather, it is a fight over putting the train back on the tracks to save a rump state in the name of stability or to lay new tracks to create the foundations for a more representative state to rise from the ashes. It is not elections nor a foreign military force that will resolve this fundamental tension. In fact, history shows those two responses are more likely to consolidate the status quo.

The Haitian people need an opportunity to vote freely. They need to feel safe and secure in their communities. But what is missing is a plan to bring it all together, to begin restoring faith in a state that long ago lost the trust of the population; a plan to achieve peace, which is not just the absence of violence, but the presence of opportunity. What is missing is a vision that can inspire the population and bring the nation together around a common path forward.

A peace process can fill that gap. Such an endeavor does not mean legitimizing armed actors, condoning violence, or accepting impunity; rather, what it should mean is treating the situation holistically while centering the population and in particular victims of both state and non-state violence. A foreign military force and low-turnout elections are tracks Haiti has been down many times before. A peace process offers a chance at laying new ones. But first, what Haiti needs are political leaders responsive to the needs of the people and not simply to foreign embassies.

Brazil’s lower house passes bill to shorten Bolsonaro’s sentence amid chaos inside the chamber

12 Dec 2025, 19:48 – Latin America Reports

São Paulo, Brazil — Brazil’s lower house of Congress on Tuesday approved a bill that aims to reduce sentences for those convicted of crimes involving the January 8, 2023 attacks on the country’s government headquarters in Brasília. 

The bill would also apply to jailed former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year sentence for plotting a coup. 

The Chamber of Deputies approved the bill at 2:30 AM during an unusually late session by 291 votes in favor and 148 against. The bill still needs to pass the Senate. 

Voting for the bill on Tuesday was not expected, and when the president of the Chamber of Deputies called it to the floor for a vote, chaos broke out in the chamber. 

Glauber Braga, a left-wing congressman, protested against holding a vote on the bill by taking the Chamber president’s chair and refusing to leave – he was eventually taken away by congressional police. 

Túlio Amancio, a reporter from a national TV station, witnessed the melee and said he saw colleagues being physically injured.

Amancio told Brazil Reports the press was brutally expelled from the plenary, and the live TV signal from within the Chamber of Deputies was turned off. 

According to the reporter, a number of journalists, including a female, were assaulted; one, he said, needed to be taken to get medical attention inside the Chamber. 

A possible get out of jail card for Bolsonaro?

In September, Bolsonaro was convicted along with military and government officials for planning a coup to remain in power after he lost the 2022 election to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. The plot allegedly included a plan to assassinate Lula. Bolsonaro has denied his involvement. 

Since then, Bolsonaro’s lawmaker allies had been trying to negotiate an amnesty law to pardon the ex-president and all those convicted in the January 8 attacks, which caused millions of dollars in damage to Brazil’s Congress, Supreme Court and presidential palace.

The bill that passed through Congress on Tuesday is a lighter version of the amnesty law. 

Maria do Rosário, a congresswoman from the center-left Worker’s Party, believes the Senate – which has a conservative majority – will most likely approve the bill. 

Featured image credit:
Image: Discussion and voting on legislative proposals in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies
Source:
Bruno Spada/Câmara dos Deputados

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U.S. biotechnology company secures $5.9 million USD under Nova Indústria Brasil policy 

12 Dec 2025, 18:06 – Latin America Reports

MIT-based biotechnology company Harmony Baby Nutrition has secured $5.9 million USD (31.9 million Brazilian reais) from the joint FINEP-BNDES innovation fund, one of Brazil’s foremost partnerships promoting the country’s entrepreneurial ecosystem under the 2024 Nova Indústria Brasil policy.

With the funds, the startup is planning to create a new research and development center in the eastern city of Belo Horizonte, focused on developing a wide range of infant formulas- from everyday products to Harmony’s humanized solutions. 

Nova Indústria Brasil was introduced in January 2024 as a way to “stimulate productive and technological development, expand the competitiveness of Brazilian industry, guide investment, promote better jobs, and boost the country’s qualified presence in the international market,” according to the Brazilian government. 

The policy has allocated 3 billion reais ($555 million USD) to strengthen the nation’s domestic innovation capacity. Through it, the country selectively supports companies deemed capable of building large-scale research and development (R&D) infrastructure in Brazil. 

As a method of reversing the country’s premature deindustrialization, Nova Indústria Brasil has called for coordinating a wide range of state instruments- including credit lines, non-refundable resources, regulatory and intellectual property actions, and public works policy- with incentives for the productive sector. 

The selection of Harmony recognizes the company’s scientific leadership and global potential, as well as its capacity to become a key player in Brazil’s technological and industrial future. 

Harmony developed the first human breastmilk-based infant formula on the market. Its mission of transforming infant nutrition with a human-inspired hypoallergenic formula is now crossing international borders, as it will now use its Brazilian development center to accelerate the development of biologically-aligned infant formula- that are hypoallergenic, too. 

“There is currently no domestic infant formula industry in Brazil; the market has been dominated for decades by large multinational companies,” said Wendel Afonso, Founder and CEO at Harmony. 

“This funding allows us to establish a world-class research and production ecosystem right here in Belo Horizonte. In doing so, we are also positioning Brazil as a global leader in humanized infant formula innovation,” he added. 

Afonso himself is native to the State of Minas Gerais, where Belo Horizonte is located, and holds a Pharmacy degree and a Master’s in Food Science and Technology from the Federal University of Minas Gerais. It was here when he began researching protein hydrolysates for clinical nutrition. 

The founder was inspired to innovate when he turned to instant formula after his second child showed an allergy to cow’s milk. Harmony’s first product, Melodi, is a specialized toddler formula that has demonstrated 61% higher sensory preference compared to standard hypoallergenic products. 

One in six babies experience allergic reactions to cow’s milk based formulas, but available hypoallergenic options often have unpleasant tastes that children reject. Unlike traditional formulas- which also rely on added sugars and industrial cow’s milk derived ingredients- Harmony eliminates all unnecessary ingredients. Melodi, in fact, has no corn serum, table sugar or maltodextrin. 

Beyond this, dairy cows and their manure produce substantial amounts of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, and contribute to the conversion of a natural habitat to agricultural land due to the increasing demand for feed crops such as corn, alfalfa, and soy, as per the World Wildlife Organization. Brazil has the third-largest milk production in the world, and Minas Gerais is the largest producing state. 

Harmony’s dairy-free innovation aims to dramatically cut emissions, while also improving user satisfaction and boosting the Brazilian productive sector. The startup expects to commence the implementation of its new innovation center in the first semester of 2026, with an expansion encompassing 250 square meters including laboratories and a state-of-the-art application plant. 

The initiative foresees the recruitment of 25 professionals- of which at least five will be scientists- who will contribute across scientific, technical, administrative, and operational domains. 

Research activities, on the other hand, will focus on the development and performance assessment of novel formulations tailored to diverse needs, as well as the investigation of bioactive ingredient properties. 

Harmony is now also raising a community round on Wefunder as a way to engage more stakeholders in participating towards a redefinition of early-life nutrition through science and sustainability. 

Image source: Del Afonso via LinkedIn

Disclosure: This article mentions a client of an Espacio portfolio company.

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Ethiopians On TPS Given 60 Days To Leave US

12 Dec 2025, 17:25 – News Americas Now
Ethiopian restaurant workers serve customers in Washington, D.C., highlighting the everyday lives of Ethiopian immigrants affected by the termination of TPS.Ethiopian restaurant workers serve customers in Washington, D.C., highlighting the everyday lives of Ethiopian immigrants affected by the termination of TPS.

News Americas, WASHINGTON, D.C., Fri. Dec. 12, 2205: The U.S. Department of Homeland Security, (DHS), today gave Ethiopian immigrants in the US on Temporary Protected Status, (TPS), 60 days to leave the country as they ended the program by concluding that country conditions no longer meet the statutory requirements for the humanitarian designation.

Ethiopian restaurant workers serve customers in Washington, D.C., highlighting the everyday lives of Ethiopian immigrants affected by the termination of TPS.

The decision was announced today by Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem following what DHS described as a careful review of current conditions in Ethiopia.

“Temporary Protected Status designations are time-limited and were never meant to be a ticket to permanent residency,” a U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, (USCIS,) spokesperson said in a statement. “Conditions in Ethiopia no longer pose a serious threat to the personal safety of returning Ethiopian nationals. Since the situation no longer meets the statutory requirements for a TPS designation, Secretary Noem is terminating this designation to restore integrity in our immigration system.”

TPS provides temporary relief from deportation and work authorization to nationals of countries experiencing armed conflict, environmental disasters, or other extraordinary conditions that prevent safe return. Ethiopia was designated for TPS amid concerns related to internal conflict and instability.

Under the termination order, Ethiopian nationals currently covered by TPS who do not have another lawful basis to remain in the United States will have 60 days to voluntarily depart the country.

DHS is encouraging individuals who choose to leave voluntarily to use the U.S. Customs and Border Protection’s CBP Home Mobile App to report their departure. According to DHS, the voluntary departure process includes a complimentary plane ticket, a $1,000 exit bonus, and the possibility of future opportunities for legal immigration to the United States.

The department warned that enforcement actions will follow the conclusion of the grace period. After February 13, 2026, DHS may arrest and remove Ethiopian nationals who remain in the United States without legal status following the termination of TPS.

“If an alien forces DHS to arrest and remove them, they may never be allowed to return to the United States,” the agency cautioned.

Immigration advocates have historically raised concerns about TPS terminations, noting the potential impact on families, employers, and communities with long-standing ties to the United States. DHS, however, emphasized that TPS is intended as a temporary humanitarian measure and must be reassessed periodically based on current country conditions.

The termination of Ethiopia’s TPS designation comes amid broader efforts by the administration to tighten enforcement while promoting voluntary compliance with immigration laws.

The Weight Of A Word: Rethinking “Minority” In America

12 Dec 2025, 12:23 – News Americas Now
Historical illustration showing early American settlers interacting with an Indigenous man, reflecting themes of race, power, and cultural hierarchy.Historical illustration showing early American settlers interacting with an Indigenous man, reflecting themes of race, power, and cultural hierarchy.

By Nyan Reynolds

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Fri. Dec. 12, 2005: “In our country, we believe there should be no minority and no majority, just people.” – Steve Biko

The South African activist Steve Biko used these words to highlight how language itself can be a tool of division. Though Biko was speaking in the context of apartheid, his words hold relevance in the United States, where the categories of “minority” and “majority” remain central to how race is discussed and understood.

Historical illustration showing early American settlers interacting with an Indigenous man, reflecting themes of race, power, and cultural hierarchy.
Samoset sagamore of the Abenaki people, greeting the pilgrims of the Plymouth Colony in Massachusetts, USA (circa 17th century). Vintage etching circa 19th century.

Few words in American racial discourse are as common or as unexamined as minority. The term appears in government reports, census categories, school curricula, corporate diversity statements, and daily conversation. Black Americans, along with Latinos, Asians, Indigenous people, and immigrants, are routinely described as “minorities.” The word is so deeply ingrained in the national vocabulary that it often goes unquestioned. Yet its history and social implications reveal a different story. Beneath its surface neutrality, minority operates as a marker of marginalization.

From Numbers To Status

The English word minority originally referred to being smaller in number or lesser in status. In political contexts, it described groups with less representation or less authority, such as a minority party in a legislature. In this setting, the meaning was both numerical and hierarchical: fewer members translated into less influence.

In the United States, this logic made its way into racial discourse. By the early to mid-twentieth century, as government agencies and social scientists studied racial and ethnic groups, “minority” became a shorthand for those outside the white mainstream. The U.S. Census, for example, tracked populations according to racial categories, but policy discussions increasingly referred to these communities collectively as “minorities.” The label appeared in debates on education, employment, and voting rights.

This was more than description. It was categorization. To call Black Americans a minority was not only to note their numbers but also to assign them a social position. It implied less power, less visibility, and less belonging. Over time, the word solidified into a label that carried assumptions of inferiority.

The Social Implications

The implications of this language extend far beyond statistics.

Defining by deficit. To be labeled a minority is to be defined by lack. It frames identity in terms of what is missing, population size, influence, resources, rather than what is present. For Black Americans and Caribbeans individuals, this framing compounds the legacy of slavery, segregation, and systemic exclusion, reinforcing a narrative of limitation.

Masking diversity. The category also obscures difference. By grouping together Black Americans, Latinos, Asians, those of Caribbean decent, Native peoples, and others under one label, the word erases the distinct histories and struggles of each. Black Americans, whose presence in the U.S. is rooted in enslavement and centuries of systemic discrimination, are placed in the same category as immigrant populations with very different experiences. The flattening of identity that results prevents deeper recognition of each community’s unique realities.

Sustaining hierarchy. The persistence of the word minority also reinforces a symbolic hierarchy. Even in places where Black and brown communities form the majority, cities like Detroit, Houston, or Atlanta, they are still labeled minorities. Nationally, demographic projections show that by mid-century, nonwhite populations will collectively outnumber whites, yet the label persists. This demonstrates that minority is less about numbers and more about social status.

Historical Usage In Policy And Education

The institutional use of “minority” has reinforced these implications. Civil rights legislation of the 1960s, while groundbreaking, often used the term “minority groups” to identify those entitled to protection. Affirmative action programs in higher education and employment were designed with “minorities” in mind. These policies addressed real inequities but also embedded the label into the structure of law.

In education, textbooks routinely referred to Black, Latino, and Asian students as minorities. For generations of children, growing up meant encountering a narrative that positioned them as small, lesser, and outside the center of American identity. The repetition of the label in classrooms normalized the idea of difference as deficiency.

In the workplace, “minority hiring” became a standard phrase. While meant to promote inclusion, it often created the impression that employees of color were tokens, exceptions granted space within institutions rather than central contributors. Again, the word framed belonging in terms of scarcity.

The Danger Of Internalization

Perhaps the most damaging effect of the word minority is its internalization. Many Black Americans refer to themselves as minorities without questioning the label. Over time, this acceptance can subtly reinforce a sense of smallness.

Research in social psychology has shown that repeated exposure to deficit-based language can shape self-concept. Children labeled as minorities may come to see themselves as outsiders in their own country. Adults who internalize the term may carry an unspoken sense of limitation, even as they succeed. This is not because they lack confidence or capability, but because the language itself imposes boundaries on how they are imagined.

The damage here is not always visible. It operates quietly, through the drip of repetition, until it feels natural. When people embrace the label for themselves: “I’m a minority in this country,” they may unknowingly reinforce the very hierarchy that the term was designed to describe.

Why The Word Persists

Despite its baggage, the term remains widespread. Bureaucracy plays a role. Government agencies and corporate diversity programs are still organized around categories like “minority representation.” Habit plays another role. Once embedded in textbooks, policies, and popular speech, words are difficult to uproot. Convenience also contributes. “Minority” is a single word that groups together diverse populations, offering an easy shorthand.

But convenience is not harmless. The continued use of minority allows the underlying hierarchy to remain unchallenged. It ensures that entire communities continue to be described, and therefore imagined in terms of what they are not.

Rethinking The Vocabulary

Reconsidering the word is not about semantics for their own sake. It is about disrupting the ways language sustains inequality. Several alternatives have been proposed. “Marginalized groups” highlights the active process of exclusion rather than suggesting an inherent lack. “Communities of color” emphasizes shared experiences of racialization, though it still groups diverse populations together. “Underrepresented populations” draws attention to gaps in visibility and influence.

Some advocates use the phrase “global majority,” noting that people of African, Asian, Indigenous, and Latin descent make up most of the world’s population. This term flips the perspective, reminding us that Black Americans and other groups are not minorities in any global sense.

None of these terms is perfect, but each offers a way of framing identity without reducing communities to symbols of smallness.

Beyond Language

Of course, changing language alone will not dismantle racial inequity. The structural barriers that Black Americans face, economic inequality, disparities in education and healthcare, systemic discrimination—require more than new vocabulary. But words matter because they shape the framework through which these realities are understood. Language is both a mirror and a mold. It reflects existing power structures while also helping to reinforce them.

Questioning the word minority is part of questioning the assumptions that sustain inequality. If Black Americans continue to be labeled as minorities, they are continually positioned at the margins of a society they helped build. Rejecting the term does not solve the problem, but it begins to shift the lens through which the problem is seen.

Conclusion

Steve Biko’s vision that there should be no minority and no majority, just people remains unfinished business in America. The word minority may appear neutral, but its history shows otherwise. For Black Americans, it has been less a description of numbers and more a marker of marginalization. It defines by deficit, erases diversity, sustains hierarchy, and quietly shapes self-perception.

The persistence of the word is a reminder of how deeply systems of inequality are embedded in everyday life. To keep using it uncritically is to accept a worldview where some people are always smaller, lesser, or secondary. To challenge it is to recognize that no group’s worth can be measured by numbers alone.

Reconsidering minority is not about erasing history or denying demographic reality. It is about refusing to let language dictate value. If the United States is to move toward genuine equality, it must begin with the recognition that no community is inherently minor.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Nyan Reynolds is a U.S. Army veteran and published author whose novels and cultural works draw from his Jamaican heritage, military service and life experiences. His writing blends storytelling, resilience and heritage to inspire readers.  

Nearly half of Latin America hit by informality, ILO warns

12 Dec 2025, 09:24 – MercoPress

The sustained reduction of informality requires “active and coordinated policies,” the ILO underscored The International Labour Organization (ILO) warned Thursday that informality continues to affect almost one out of every two workers in Latin America and the Caribbean, reporting a regional average of 47% in 2025.

A Tribute To Potters’ Queen Of Education – Teacher Gen

11 Dec 2025, 20:11 – News Americas Now
Retired Antiguan educator Teacher Gen being honored at Potters Village as students and community members look on.Retired Antiguan educator Teacher Gen being honored at Potters Village as students and community members look on.

By Dr. Isaac Newton

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Thurs. Dec. 11, 2025: Some lives arrive quietly, yet they leave whole generations glowing. Teacher Gen was such a life. In Potters Village in Antigua, she became our first library, our first lesson, our first understanding of discipline wrapped in devotion. For more than seventy years, she taught us not only how to read and count but how to stand tall in the world.

Her classroom felt like a living garden. Desks opened like fresh soil. Chalk drifted like soft pollen. And we, small and curious, blossomed beneath her care. She could correct you with a look, steady you with a word, or prune you gently with that well-known belt that somehow felt like love disguised as firmness. She knew the balance between shaping and sheltering.

Retired Antiguan educator Teacher Gen being honored at Potters Village as students and community members look on.
FLASHBACK – Teacher Gen warmly greeted by a community member as schoolchildren stand behind them during a tribute event in Potters Village, Antigua. The gathering reflected her decades of service as a beloved educator whose influence shaped generations.

MEMORY

She remembered every family. She remembered who raised you, who taught them, and how you were expected to carry that legacy forward. Her reminders could sting, yet they settled in the heart like seeds that later broke open into wisdom. Her lessons were not just instruction. They were inheritance.

I spent some of my primary years beneath her watchful eye. Her expectations carved lines of purpose into me. Her affection strengthened me. Even in her later years, when she drifted into brief classroom naps, she still sensed everything. A whisper. A shuffle. A thought of mischief. She woke with your name ready on her lips, as if teaching flowed through her even in rest.

When I became a teacher, I asked her for guidance. She spoke with quiet authority.

“Love the children. Their parents may test you, but do not allow rudeness. You are preparing them for life and for heaven. And go to class prepared. You are shaping destinies.”

I carry those words into every room where learning and leadership meet.

Teacher Gen embodied the mind, the heart, and the hands of true education. Her knowledge was deep. Her compassion was wide. Her influence was lasting. Every Independence poem, every Easter recitation, every Christmas program bore her touch. Our village grew because she planted confidence and character in every child.

Today we stand in the shade of the great tree she became. Her branches reach across generations. Her roots hold our memory steady. We honor more than a teacher. We honor a life of luminous service. She showed us that greatness grows quietly, nurtures patiently, and endures beautifully.

So we celebrate our Queen of Education, whose presence shaped us, whose memory steadies us, and whose legacy will continue to bloom long after us.

Editor’s Note: Dr. Isaac Newton is a strategist and scholar trained at Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia. He advises governments and international institutions on governance, transformation, and global justice, helping nations and organizations turn vision into sustainable progress.

Rethinking Caribbean Diplomacy In A Shifting Global Landscape

11 Dec 2025, 19:52 – News Americas Now
DR-DENZIL-DOUGLASDR-DENZIL-DOUGLAS

By Dr. Isaac Newton

News Americas, NEW YORK, NY, Thurs. Dec. 11, 2025: Caribbean diplomacy must begin with a clear understanding of who we are and what we choose to become. Foreign policy is the outward expression of our identity. It carries our values, voice, and vision into the global arena. Strategy is the quiet discipline of listening beneath the noise of events and sensing change before it arrives. An asset is anything that grows in strength when used with intention. Transformation is the decision to rise into something greater than habit or history. When these ideas converge, foreign policy becomes the compass of national renewal and a foundation for a confident regional posture.

DR-DENZIL-DOUGLAS
Dr. Denzil Douglas

This vision resonates with the Right Hon. Dr. Denzil L. Douglas, one of the most accomplished statesmen in the modern Caribbean. A former four term Prime Minister and now Minister of Foreign Affairs, Economic Development, International Trade, Investment, and Commerce, he guides national engagement where domestic aspiration meets global possibility. His portfolio demands clarity, discipline, and forward-looking imagination. It is from this vantage that he reminds us, “Foreign policy must not simply describe our world. It must shape the world we wish to enter.”

Norms And Competing Ambitions

The Caribbean operates in a world of shifting alliances, fragile norms, and competing ambitions. Powerful nations speak of rules while bending them and praise sovereignty while ignoring it when convenient. For small island states, this produces both vulnerability and opportunity for those who navigate with insight. Influence no longer depends on size but on resolve, relationships, and resonance. Caribbean diplomacy must move from reaction to deliberate direction, strengthening resilience, economic security, and regional standing.

Diplomacy reaches far beyond negotiating tables. It shapes the price of food, the strength of our borders, the health of our reefs, and the energy that powers our homes. Foreign policy becomes the bridge that determines whether opportunities land on our shores or drift elsewhere. To secure them, Caribbean ministries of foreign affairs must be at the center of national strategy, coordinating systems and sectors with focus and discipline rather than ceremonial visibility.

Looking Outward

Looking outward, partnerships with nations such as Indonesia, Africa, India, Brazil, the Middle East, and other countries with shared needs and compelling interests provide practical paths to renewal. These regions read the sea, the land, and the global economy as teachers rather than boundaries. Shared efforts in marine stewardship, climate resilience, renewable energy, technology transfer, and skills training can lift livelihoods and expand national capacity. These are immediate frontiers where cooperation turns potential into progress. The decade ahead invites the Caribbean to embrace a future powered by clean energy, guided by science, enriched by sustainable oceans, and led by citizens equipped for a complex world. If we meet this moment with clarity and courage, our diplomacy becomes not a mirror of global change but the instrument through which transformation takes flight.

Editor’s Note: Dr. Isaac Newton is a strategist and scholar trained at Harvard, Princeton, and Columbia. He advises governments and international institutions on governance, transformation, and global justice, helping nations and organizations turn vision into sustainable progress.

Bolivia’s ex-President Luis Arce detained over corruption allegations

11 Dec 2025, 16:09 – Latin America Reports

São Paulo, Brazil — Ex-President Luis Arce was detained by Bolivian police on Wednesday amid corruption allegations, according to a former member of his cabinet, María Nela Prada. 

In a video shared on her Facebook account, the former Minister of the Presidency, who appeared crying in the seat of a car, characterized the arrest as a “kidnapping.”

“I want to announce to the Bolivian people and the international community that former President Luis Arce has just been kidnapped in Sopocachi, in the city of La Paz,” said María Nela Prada.

“At this moment, I am addressing the FELCC (Special Force for the Fight Against Crime), which is where we have learned, through unofficial means, that he has been taken,” she added.

State-owned channel Bolivia TV claimed Arce, who governed the country between 2020 and 2025, was being investigated for the handling of an Indigenous public fund while he served as Minister of Finance from 2006 to 2017, during the administration of former President Evo Morales. 

According to Marco Antonio Oviedo, Bolivia’s current Interior Minister, the charges include facilitating illicit enrichment, issuing resolutions contrary to the Constitution and the laws, dereliction of duty, abuse of influence, and economic misconduct.

The damage of Arce’s alleged actions amounted to Bs 360 million (around USD$ 52 million), according to officials. 

Born in La Paz in 1963, Arce studied Economics at Universidade Superior de San Andrés (UMSA) and earned a Master’s in the same field at the University of Warwick in the U.K. 

He served for decades under Morales, a former union organizer and coca grower, and in 2019, after Morales was forced to resign amid allegations of electoral fraud, he followed the left-wing leader into a brief exile. 

A year later, amid increasing frustration over the interim President Jeanine Áñez’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic, Arce returned to Bolivia and won the presidency. 

He lost a bid for reelection this year to center-right Rodrigo Paz amid increasing concerns over the deteriorating security situation in the country. 

Featured image credit:
Image: Former Bolivian president Luis Parce 
Source: Asamblea Legislativa Plurinacional

The post Bolivia’s ex-President Luis Arce detained over corruption allegations appeared first on Latin America Reports.

Petro suggests Maduro moves on to "transitional government"

11 Dec 2025, 10:14 – MercoPress

Maduro wants to join forces with Colombia as Trump warns Petro would be targeted next Colombian President Gustavo Petro has intensified diplomatic pressure on his Venezuelan counterpart, Nicolás Maduro, calling for a "general amnesty" and the formation of a "transitional government with the inclusion of all" to resolve Venezuela’s protracted political crisis.

Former Bolivian President Arce arrested in corruption probe

10 Dec 2025, 22:59 – MercoPress

Arce's detention stems from his tenure as Economy Minister under Evo Morales Former Bolivian President Luis Arce Catacora was arrested in La Paz on Wednesday afternoon in connection with a major corruption case involving the now-defunct Indigenous Peoples Development Fund (Fondioc).

Honduran crisis deepens as elections remain undecided

10 Dec 2025, 10:23 – MercoPress

Trump's candidate Asfura was slightly ahead when vote counting was halted Honduran President Xiomara Castro has escalated the political crisis surrounding the undecided November 30 presidential election, condemning what she termed "interference" by US President Donald Trump and claiming an "electoral coup" was underway.

Dutch Government issues another urgent Travel Warning for Venezuela

10 Dec 2025, 03:35 – Cosmos Chronicle

THE HAGUE – The Netherlands has issued an urgent warning advising against all travel to Venezuela due to a rapidly deteriorating security situation and rising geopolitical tensions. The Dutch government is also strongly urging Curaçao to avoid Venezuela and Venezuelan waters, citing increased security risks in the Caribbean Sea, including areas close to the island. […]

The post Dutch Government issues another urgent Travel Warning for Venezuela appeared first on New Jetpack Site.

The Multiple Dimensions of the US-Brazil Relations Crisis

9 Dec 2025, 16:22 – AULA Blog

By Lívia Peres Milani

Public Policy and International Relations Institute (IPPRI-Unesp)

National Institute of Science and Technology for the Studies of the United States (INCT-INEU)

President Donald Trump meets with Brazilian President Luís Inácio Lula da Silva during the ASEAN Summit at the Kuala Lumpur Convention Center. (Source: Wikimedia Commons)

On November 11th, the US announced a withdraw of the additional 40% tariffs it had imposed on many goods of Brazilian origin, including coffee, fruit, and beef. The tariffs, initially imposed on July 30th, are one among multiple dimensions of the current bilateral crisis. Besides commerce, the crisis also has a political dimension, initiated by the recent US decision to invoke the Magnitsky Act – an instrument ostensibly used to sanction corruption and human rights violations – against Alexandre de Moraes, one of the Brazilian Justices responsible for the conviction  of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro over his attempted  coup d’état. While the recent White House decision does not necessarily represent an end of the crisis, it represents a pause of sorts, and so, a timely moment to assess the relationship.  

The imposition of tariffs  

The White House’s initial imposition of tariffs may at first glance make little sense, since it appears to disregard its economic interests. The US enjoys a trade surplus with Brazil, and there is not sufficient production in the US of many of the tariffed products to meet national demand. That is the case for coffee, fruit, and a variety of industrial supplies. However, to understand the source of the crisis, it is necessary to consider its non-commercial dimensions. These include i) the transnational articulation of far-right movements, ii) Big Tech’s economic interests, and iii) US geostrategic considerations.  

Brazilian and US far-right currents are deeply connected. Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of the former president, has worked to promote the Brazilian radical right abroad. During his father’s trial, he took a leave from Congress to launch a pressure campaign in the US against the Brazilian Supreme Court (STF) and the Lula government. With cooperation from sympathetic US leaders, he lobbied against the Lula administration, claiming that the trial was a “witch hunt,” his father was the victim of political persecution, and asking that the US government impose penalties on the Brazilian authorities responsible. This effort complicated Brazil’s relation with Foggy Bottom and the White House. Much of the language used by the White House to justify the new round of tariffs reflected this lobbying effort. 

Another factor that explains US policy toward Brazil are the interests of Big Tech companies. Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court took up a case relating to the responsibilities of social media platforms for user-posted content, ruling that social media platforms should be civilly liable if they failed to remove undemocratic, discriminatory, or crime-inciting content. In response, the US Computer and Communication Industry Association (CCIA) welcomed the imposition of sanctions against Moraes. They argued that the ruling in Brazil violated “free expression,” a strategy often used by Big Tech actors, in conjunction with far-right political leaders, to oppose the regulation of social media in Brazil and elsewhere.  

Finally, larger geostrategic considerations are also in play. The current US administration seeks to reassert US regional and global hegemony. Brazil, for its part, wants to promote its Global South leadership, framed as part of a “multipolar world order.” Promoting the BRICS forum is an important component of Brazil’s approach. The new tariffs were announced a few days after the BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro, with the US president also threatening to impose tariffs on other countries that associate themselves with the BRICS+ group. This timing illustrates US opposition to the BRICS and pressure on Brazil to align with Western countries instead of its Global South partners. 

Tariffs backfire and the future of US-Brazil relations 

However, the Trump administration’s aggressive strategy against Brazil has not led to the expected results. Brazil’s government managed to control the domestic narrative, framing US tariffs as an attack on Brazilian sovereignty, a strategy supported by public opinion, as polls show. The US approach also became an incentive for Brazil to shore up its relations with Global South leaders. Following the tariffs, Lula reached out to the presidents of China and India to discuss the expansion of trade relations. The tariffs also proved unpopular in the US, and harmful for the White House, since they drove up the cost of coffee and other products. 

These several factors explain Trump’s subsequent decision to change direction. He opened a dialogue with Brazil, first announced at the UN General Assembly, and then confirmed his goodwill in a bilateral meeting in Malaysia. High-level negotiations, and the unpopular inflationary trend in the US, led to the recent removal of tariffs from many Brazilian products. It also signals an end to this most recent period of bilateral crisis. 

Nevertheless, there might still be consequences over the middle and long term. US sanctions communicate to the Brazilian government that, while a global power, the US is not a trustworthy partner, even when it comes to such non-strategic, everyday issues as the export of coffee and fruit. At the same time recent events have helped to cement the transnational partnerships of far-right leaders while also serving to illustrate how these relationships are impacting US government decision-making.  

On the other hand, the recent US decision to alleviate the tariffs is a signal for both partners that the US-Brazil bilateral relationship is an important one. Even if this relationship is imbalanced, given the US’s economy and global influence, the recent tariff episode illustrates that the US cannot simply dictate policy to Brazil, and that the two countries’ economic interdependence can function as a structural constraint upon the political will of far-right political actors.   

Latino Sense of Belonging Decreases amid Racial Profiling, Detention, and a Fading American Dream

9 Dec 2025, 15:40 – AULA Blog

By Anjini K. Patel

Source: Encuesta de Ipsos para Axios/Noticias Telemundo

A recent Telemundo survey reveals increasing pessimism from Latinos in the United States regarding their sense of belonging. Telemundo, in collaboration with Axios and Ipsos, surveyed a nationally representative sample of over 1,100 U.S. Latino adults from October 21 to 27, 2025. Conducted in both English and Spanish, the survey asked a variety of questions about their views on the American Dream, their sense of belonging in the US, and their optimism about the future of the country. Only 44% of respondents described the American Dream as achievable in 2025, a decrease from 61% in 2023. Similarly, 40% of 2025 respondents affirmed that the US makes them feel like they belong, and only 36% felt optimistic about the future of the US. This ​compares​ to 57% and 52%, respectively, in 2022. This survey provides an insight into the feelings of Latinos as they navigate the uncertainty of the current American political landscape.  

The survey also asked respondents about their anxieties related to being Latino/Hispanic in the United States. Compared with 39% in June 2022, 53% of respondents in 2025 reported feeling worried about themselves or a loved one being attacked because of their ethnicity. Two out of three (2/3) Latinos who identify as Republicans say it is a good time to be a Latino in the United States, while only one in ten (1/10) Latino Democrats agree. Seventy-one percent (71%) of those aged between 18 and 29 and 57% of those who are 50 and older, said it is a bad time to be Latino. 

Most respondents indicate that the Democratic Party, as compared to the Republican Party, better represents Latinos, cares more about them, and is better on economic and immigration policy. Additionally, most respondents agreed that the Republican Party takes Latino Americans for granted (39%) as compared to the Democratic Party (22%). Interestingly, more respondents describe the Republican Party as a good option for public safety compared to the Democratic Party, even in the face of increased fear and anxiety over being attacked for being Latino.  

What do experts say? 

Dr. Ernesto Castañeda, Director of the Center for Latin American and Latino Studies at American University, discussed this survey on Telemundo. As he states, the data from this poll are unsurprising given the very strong anti-immigrant rhetoric that Donald Trump and the Republican Party campaigned with and continue to use. Rather than focusing on people with violent criminal records, ICE raids and subsequent deportation, often without due process, have detained and deported people with all types of immigration statuses, and thus increased fear among Latinos. Castañeda points to comments by Justice Cavanagh and decisions by the conservative majority in the Supreme Court that made detaining someone based on their appearance and manner of speaking permissible, further blurring the lines between individuals with papers and those who are undocumented. In light of these violent mass deportations and detentions happening in public places, following stereotypes and racial profiling, it is no wonder that many Latinos report a decreased feeling of belonging in the United States. 

Regarding the impacts of these recent events, Dr. Castañeda explains that the feasibility of immigrants achieving the American Dream is decreasing. While people still arrive in the United States with high hopes that “they can come and work hard, send remittances, enjoy a better life, and that their children can go to university, in the United States right now, we see high underemployment rates, and many people are afraid to go to work because of mass raids. We are seeing inflation. It is harder to pay for health insurance, housing, and to save.” In this way, the American Dream is stalled. Since the end of the pandemic, the U.S. had seen a rapid and strong economic recovery, which Dr. Castañeda attributes largely “to the people arriving, especially from Latin America, seeking asylum—Venezuelans, Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and others—which increased the US population by 1%, which was very significant.” With the border closing under the current administration and deportations by the dozens of thousands, businesses are unable to grow at the same rate. Dr. Castañeda underlines: “If there’s less migration, it doesn’t mean there will be more jobs for locals. It means there will be less work for everyone, and more people will lose their jobs because the demand for goods and services decreases, businesses cannot hire and grow, and therefore they stop hiring and start firing workers.” 

Additionally, research shows that immigrants are much more likely to start businesses and hire more workers than businesses started by native-born citizens. Therefore, the lack of immigration has a negative impact on the overall economic growth of the United States. As Dr. Castañeda describes, “the fact that Latinos aren’t going to work here means there are fewer nannies. There are fewer construction workers, fewer lawyers, fewer nurses… it also makes many Latinos afraid. They don’t go to the markets, they don’t go to the malls, they are spending less, which has an impact, and many immigrants, seeing that there’s no American Dream anymore, aren’t going to bring their families or many of them are thinking about returning to their country.” 

The decreased sense of belonging by the Latino/Hispanic community has affected numerous outlets that embrace these cultures. Some events honoring Hispanic Heritage Month were canceled. This hurt artists, folk dancers, and musicians, as well as the larger public, who did not have the opportunity to engage with these rich cultural traditions. “Latin restaurants are struggling,” Dr. Castañeda says. “Hundreds are closing because they can’t hire enough people; workers are afraid to go to work because food is so expensive. So, it’s no longer a profitable business for them. The decline of the Latino food business also means fewer dining options, fewer cultural spaces, and fewer opportunities for communities to enjoy Latino cuisine. This is a loss for the United States as a whole.” 

Hope and Resilience in the Face of Uncertainty 

How should the Latino community respond to the ever-changing political landscape in the United States? Dr. Castañeda urges people to “stay calm and continue with their daily lives. We often do this for our children and grandchildren​,​ who, I truly believe, will have a good future. This storm is temporary. This will pass.” Importantly, he points out that nearly 80% of Americans view immigration positively. Mass raids are not popular​, ​and vulnerable​​ communities are​ witnessing​ peaceful protests carried out by citizens who are physically placing their bodies between immigration agents and migrants ​​who are in the process of being​​ detained. The November 2025 elections indicate that a majority of Americans reject the current administration’s extreme policies on immigration and the mismanagement of the economy. The anti-immigrant sentiment is ​driven ​primarily by​​ the federal government under Donald Trump, not the American people. With a hopeful outlook, Dr. Castañeda says, “I think that once this nightmare is over, there will be a greater sense of belonging, so we have to have patience, have faith in your fellow citizens, and I do truly believe that this will pass and the future will be better for U.S.-born Latinos and those immigrants who are able to stay. There will be concrete actions that will tell Latinos that they belong because this is their home.” 

Anjini K. Patel is a Sociology Research & Practice MA candidate at American University (AU) and works as a graduate research assistant at the AU Inequality, Social Justice, & Health Lab. Her research interests include immigration, criminal legal system & housing justice, and artivism & community building.

Luxury Mexico City Travel: The Capital’s Finer Side

8 Dec 2025, 21:50 – Luxury Latin America Blog

High-end, luxury travel to Mexico City is made possible with a slew of private and VIP experiences.

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"The Tree Within: The Mexican Nobel Laureate writer Octavio Paz’s Years in India" - Book by Indranil Chakravarty

5 Dec 2025, 22:59 – Latin American Affairs

The Mexican writer Octavio Paz was the most prominent Latin American to understand, analyze, interpret and promote India intellectually and culturally  from a Latin American perspective in the twentieth century. He had first hand experience of India as a diplomat posted in New Delhi for seven years. He has written numerous poems and articles on India. His book "Vislumbres de la India" (In the light of India) is regarded as one of the best introductions to India among Latin American thinkers.  Some cultural visitors from the Spanish-speaking world travel around the country with Paz’s book as an ‘intimate guide’. They see India through his eyes, trying to grasp the immense complexity of India. 


Author Indranil Chakravarty has given a comprehensive account of Paz’s years in India and his writings on India. He has done extensive research including declassified diplomatic files and personal letters. He has interviewed many Indians and Latin Americans as well their offsprings and close associates who had interacted with Paz. With his knowledge of Latin America and Spanish literature as well as his fluency in Spanish language he has put Paz’s works on India in a larger perspective including in the context of Mexico’s cultural connections with India before Paz.



Paz’s first experience with India was negative. He was unhappy when he was posted as a junior diplomat in the newly opened Mexican embassy in Delhi in 1951. He was disappointed with the "atrocious and immense Indian reality” of the early fifties struggling with poverty and post-partition reconciliation. During this first stay for six months in India, he hardly made any friends, lived largely within the confines of his hotel, and did not like either Delhi or the people he met. Later, he reassessed his responses as partly a projection of his own unhappiness and partly the impact of deep-rooted Western prejudices he unconsciously carried within himself.


Delhi posting was a stark contrast to his colorful cultural life in Paris from where he was transferred to Delhi, against his will. At that time, Paz was enjoying his emergence as a budding celebrity poet in Paris where he was posted in the Mexican embassy. He did not want to leave his large circle of European and Latin American artists and writers in Paris. As a lowly diplomat in Delhi, Paz missed the Parisian charms and  excitement of conversations in its cafes. 


Later, Paz came to India as ambassador in 1962 and stayed in the post till 1968. As ambassador, Paz had a different and transforming experience. As ambassador he had privileged status and access as well as the facility to travel extensively. His relationships with figures such as Jawaharlal Nehru and Indira Gandhi allowed him to engage actively in the country’s political and cultural history. When Paz left India in1968, Indira Gandhi organised a party at her residence. Paz had forged lasting friendships with many of India's leading artists and writers. His large house in Prithviraj road became a meeting point for Indian artists, writers, and thinkers. He had invited Latin American visitors to stay in his house and took them around India. He got married under the neem tree of the house with Maria Jose, his second wife. 


Paz has repeatedly characterized his years in India as momentous: ‘It was a second birth’, a phrase that evokes the Hindu idea of dvija, the twice-born, suggesting an awakening of the self.  Paz has said, “ India has been my sentimental, artistic and spiritual education. Its influence can be seen in my poems, prose texts and in my life itself.”  His creative output during his second stay in India, between 1962 and 1968, was astounding. It was the most bountiful period of an unimaginably productive life. Paz has written poems on variety of Indian subjects such as Lodhi garden, Vrindavan, Madurai and painter Swaminathan.


Paz immersed himself in India’s contemplative traditions, history, philosophy, art and literature. He understood the complexity and contradictions of India based on his own analysis. This is evident from his statement: The centrifugal forces of India are old and powerful: they have not destroyed the country because, without intending to, they have neutralised one another. He referred to Varanasi as incarnating ‘the sacred in all its incredible banality’. He had discovered India through his Mexican eyes and perspectives. He found resonance in India as a spiritual home to his complex and labyrinthine Mexican identity. He said, “The strangeness of India brought to mind that other strangeness: my own country”. 


Paz’s experiences in India are palpable in two collections of poetry often considered among his finest, a genre-defying philosophical reflection on his journey through Rajasthan, two volumes of essays and a memoir, his final book written three decades after leaving India. Drawing parallels with his own country, Paz once said that he understood what it meant to be an Indian precisely because he was Mexican. He insisted that the country entered his life not merely through his intellect but viscerally, through all his senses. In India, where the erotic and the sacred blend in ecstatic union—unlike in the West, where the two are scrupulously kept apart—he saw the possibility of a new synthesis through the dissolution of dualities. Paz was under the spell of Buddhism more than anything else. He immersed himself in the works of the philosopher-poets Nagarjuna, Dharmakirti and Bhartrihari, bringing them within a comparative framework of reference that included the West and Mesoamerican cultures. 


Paz said, "East Slope” (Ladera Leste) was 'a response to the accidents, the circumstances, the stimuli of my life in India. Circumstances sometimes external, sometimes intimate. There are many poems with a loving, erotic tone; many others in which I talked about landscapes, monuments, gods. It can also be seen as a kind of discontinuous diary of a poet in India'.

Paz had planted ‘India’ in the minds of many Latin American artists and thinkers. His passion for India has left a certain impact on Spanish–American literature. His writings became a bridge between continents, blending Eastern and Western sensibilities in ways that enriched the literary landscapes of both. He hosted the visits of Latin American writers and artists such as Julio Cortázar  and the Mexican painter Rufino Tamayo. Cuban writer Severo Sarduy (1937–1993), one of the most outrageous and baroque of the Latin American ‘Boom’ writers of the sixties and seventies wrote, ‘Octavio Paz gave me India, the most extraordinary gift that anyone can give'. In their struggle for identity, the Latin Americans  often saw in the ‘Orient’ a reflection of their own selves waiting to be discovered and celebrated. 


Paz touched the lives of leading Indian artists, journalists and writers who visited Paz’s house often, sometimes uninvited and enjoyed Paz’s hospitality and intellectual and cultural conversations. As a junior diplomat in 1951, he had identified Satish Gujral’s artistic promise and selected him for a scholarship to Mexico, going against the decision of the other members of the selection committee. Paz shaped  Satish Gujral’s  development as an artist by inserting Gujral among the maestros of the Mexican mural movement. The influence of the Mexican mural movement on modern Indian art through Gujral would not have been possible without Octavio Paz’s decision to send him to Mexico. 


Paz took on the role of a mentor to some young Indian painters, helping them to get international scholarships and introducing them to leading European and Latin American artists. After his return to Mexico in 1971, Paz was delighted to receive Swaminathan, Krishen Khanna, Vivan Sundaram and Himmat Shah among other Indians at his home in Mexico City.

Why the title “ The Tree Within”?

In his poem Cuento de dos jardines (‘A Tale of Two Gardens’), Paz imagined his life as bookended by two gardens, primal in their association. One was the fig tree of his childhood home in Mexico whose branches seemed to reach out to him through the window; the other was a sumptuous and evergreen neem tree at his ambassadorial house in New Delhi under whose shadow he took his marital vows with the woman of his life.

The fig tree is native to India and is considered sacred. Buddha had attained enlightenment under this Bodhi tree,  Paz’s poetry is replete with arboreal references. He admired their silent tenacity, the pain of roots and broken limbs, their fierce stubbornness even as the storm threatens to uproot them. Even though trees are quiet and rooted, like ideas, they grow within. Here is Paz’s poem:

A tree grew inside my head, 
It grew inward. 
Its roots are veins, 
its branches nerves, 
thoughts its confused foliage. 
Your glances light it up 
and its fruits of shade 
are oranges of blood, 
are pomegranates of fire. 
                                             Day breaks 
in the night of the body. 
There, within, inside my head, 
the tree speaks. 
                          Come closer, do you hear it? 

There are already a number of articles and some publications on Paz’s passion for India. Indranil Chakravarti’s book is a valuable addition with new information and perspectives. The book has just been (31 October 2025) published and is available in Amazon.

The Trump Administration Denies That the Bombing of 21 Boats in the Caribbean Amounted to Murder. But Facts are Facts

4 Dec 2025, 23:57 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

The Washington Post has reported that Secretary of War Pete Hegseth gave the order to not only blow up a boat in the Caribbean back on September 2, but to kill all the men in them. Hegseth at first refrained from publicly denying the statement, though the Trump administration did. The New York Times is reporting that the boat on September 2 was struck at least twice. Military norms prohibit a second strike on a vessel that has been neutralized or shipwrecked and no longer represents a military threat. That’s because once the military objective is achieved, a second strike means certain death for survivors. Given the gravity of the accusation, it is incumbent on the Secretary of War to provide details of the transcripts of the orders that were given and other specifics. Instead, Hegseth jokes about the incident.

Actually, that the Department of War was out to kill the alleged drug traffickers on September 2 should not be a matter of debate. Not if you consider Trump’s famous statement on October 23: “I think we’re just going to kill people that are bringing drugs into our country. Okay? We’re going to kill them, you know, they’re going to be like, dead.”

There is a consensus among experts on international law (excluding those in the Trump administration) that the bombings of the now 22 vessels in the Caribbean amount to extra-judicial killing without any legal justification. It's not surprising that Hegseth did not go through legal channels. That’s because there is no such thing as "judicial killing.” No judge gives the order to kill someone and that's basically what the second strike amounted to. Even if it were proven (which it hasn't been) that the boats were carrying drugs, no judge would order killing the men on them. Indeed, “judicial killing” is an oxymoron.

Here is the statement in the New York Times article of November 29 titled “Trump Declares Venezuelan Airspace Closed:”

“On Thursday, The Washington Post reported that for the first strike, on Sept. 2, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth gave a verbal order to kill everyone on the boat. And CNN reported that after the military detected survivors, a second attack was carried out to kill them."

"In September, The New York Times reported there were multiple strikes during the first operation. The Times also reported that the boat that was struck had altered its course and appeared to have turned around before the attack started because the people onboard had apparently spotted a military aircraft stalking it.”

Democratic Party leaders beginning with Senate leader Chuck Schumer criticize the bombing of the boats on grounds that it represents an act of war and that the decision to go to war corresponds to Congress not the Executive. But Schumer’s statement falls far short of what needs to be said. The real issue is not legal but rather humanitarian. The Democrats need to center their critique on ethical and humanitarian grounds, not only legal ones.


 

“We Knew We Were Going with God”

3 Dec 2025, 23:18 – AULA Blog

Religion, Hope, and Perseverance

By Tabby Ford

Photo by Katheryn Olmos; Silver Spring, MD

Migration is often a difficult process for those who leave their home country, both physically and emotionally. Whether their migration was motivated by finances, safety, or better career and educational opportunities elsewhere, leaving is not easy. The dangerous conditions of the journey and the uncertainty of what lies ahead deter many and can be overwhelming for those who proceed. For some migrants, religious belief gives them courage and strength to push forward, despite the stressful and hazardous obstacles they may encounter.

Many migrants and asylum seekers attribute their safety and the safety of others in their group to prayer and “God’s blessing” despite the dangerous conditions they faced on their journey to the United States. Especially for those who emigrate from Central and South America, the journey may require travel through multiple countries, often on foot or by car, and obstacles such as rough terrain, gangs, and hostile immigration agents. In some cases, migrants’ faith protects them from the emotional toll of potential danger. As one migrant from Venezuela states, when asked if he felt like he was in danger during his journey north, “No, we weren’t afraid. I mean, we knew we were going with God.” His faith kept him going during the long journey.

Migrants who encountered dangerous obstacles also attribute their successful journey to God. For Arturo, from Venezuela, the journey was incredibly dangerous. He crossed a 60-mile stretch of dense rainforest, known as the Darién Gap, with strangers, enduring hunger and exhaustion. Armed groups are known to extort migrants at gunpoint in this remote area, and those unable to pay sometimes never return. “We saw other people being kidnapped… thank God they didn’t catch us,” he recounted, describing the terror of running through the forest with a child in his arms and the relief of making it through. Eduardo, from El Salvador, recounts being shot at by immigration authorities at one point in his journey and how many members of his group survived due to their prayers; “Thank God, praying to God and the Virgin Mary, we hid [from] them … God already performed the miracle.” For one Honduran immigrant, Alma, her migration journey was shaped largely by religion. While she was born in Honduras, she was brought to El Salvador as a teen to attend a high school run by Catholic missionaries. Her religion, education, and physical location have long been intertwined. Although she has needed to move a lot and now must adjust to living in yet another new country, she says, “things happen for a reason. I always say, sometimes you feel lost, but God is showing you something… You gotta, you know, go forward.” She attributes her prayers and God’s plan to where she is in life, especially her education and career. For many immigrants, even though their faith and belief in God did not shield them from life-threatening conditions and the challenges of immigrating, their faith fueled their courage, guiding them along the way.

Houses of worship often play an integral part in assisting migrants, especially in the first few months after arrival, by providing a space for community building and cultural events. They also become sources of mutual aid. For instance, this can be seen in local Mosques and Ukrainian churches, where Afghan and Ukrainian refugees, respectively, utilize resources. For example, Oleg, from Ukraine, reports a lack of restaurants that serve Ukrainian food in the region he settled in. Despite this lack of places to go out and eat Ukrainian food, he says that “usually, [he] can get something from the church.” Although he is able to make Ukrainian food at home, the local Ukrainian church is Oleg’s only option for connecting with the wider Ukrainian community over a meal. Another example is Latif, a refugee from Afghanistan, who also utilized resources from local churches and mosques. In his efforts to further his education in the United States, he learned that a local mosque “had some funds to help some refugees get an education.” He used these funds to enroll in an IT certificate program, which helped him find a job that aligned with his career goals.

In addition to getting material resources from local religious groups and congregations, many migrants also rely on faith in God’s plan to get through the difficult transition and settling process. Once in the United States, religious migrants use their belief system as motivation to create a new life in their new community. They are able to leverage their belief systems for community engagement and to establish a sense of belonging. Many migrants also report celebrating religious holidays in local congregations and communities with similar cultural backgrounds or with other immigrants from their home country. Faith helps to form the lens in which people see the world through. As one Mexican woman states, “I practice my faith, […] I’m Catholic, so I ground myself a lot in just the human dignity coming from something beyond me.” Arturo, an immigrant from Venezuela embodies this mindset well, as his faith has helped him in adjusting to his new life and feeling a sense of belonging. As he states, “We are all equal as the children of God, we are all equal.” His belief system has given him an optimistic attitude about his new home and how he has been received.

Although it is taking him time to learn English, Arturo also thanks God for his ability to pick up enough English to get by in his work as a delivery driver and for his work permit allowing him to make money to send home: “Right now at this moment thank God at least I have the work permit, I have my partner and I am about to find a way to get my papers together.” He implies that process of finalizing his immigration papers will involve lots of time, money, and effort, but is hopeful and thankful to God for where he is and that he at least has a work permit. Similarly, Silvia, who immigrated from El Salvador in her 20s, implies that God’s work helped her in finding a job when she first arrived in the United States, saying “It was almost not difficult for me, thank God, because a lady gave me a job who had a business selling pupusas.” Arturo and Silvia both thank God for where they are in life now and have trust in their religious beliefs to carry them where they need to be.

For many people who undertake the process of immigration to the United States, their faith and religious beliefs are as essential to their journey and adaptation as it is to every other aspect of their life. Religion plays an important role in maintaining hope and resilience throughout the danger and uncertainty of both the journey and the destination. Once arrived, religious communities, positive outlooks, and faith in a bright future help immigrants settle and feel like they belong in their new home country.

Tabby Ford is a Research Assistant at The Immigration Lab and a Sociology Research & Practice MA Candidate at American University

Edited by Quinn Pierson, Sociology Research and Practice MA Candidate at American University, Ernesto Castañeda, Director, and Chris Belden, Research Assistant at the Center for Latin American and Latino Studies and the Immigration Lab.

The Peru Michelin Key Hotels (With Our Longer Reviews)

3 Dec 2025, 13:26 – Luxury Latin America Blog

In October of 2025, the Michelin tire company’s travel division announced which hotels in South America would be awarded a “Michelin Key” in their very first round of handing them out. Apparently our Luxury Latin America reviewers could have saved them some time with which places to consider, especially in Peru. All of the...

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USA authorizes Plunder Sale of Venezuela’s CITGO to broker Vulture Fund Elliott

3 Dec 2025, 12:31 – Cosmos Chronicle

Caracas, December 2, 2025 (venezuelanalysis.com) – Delaware District Judge Leonard P. Stark has approved the sale of Venezuela’s US-based refiner CITGO to Amber Energy, an affiliate of Paul Elliott Singer’s Vulture Management Fund @ a discount price of US $5.9 billion. Stark issued a sale order Friday to close a protracted process that saw multinational […]

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Caracas blocks Airspace for Iberia, TAP and Avianca airlines

29 Nov 2025, 20:56 – Cosmos Chronicle

The US military tensions have triggered a crisis in Venezuela’s air connectivity. On Wednesday, the Venezuelan government revoked flight concessions for Iberia, TAP, Turkish Airlines, Avianca, Latam Colombia and Gol, accusing them of joining the actions of terrorism promoted by the USA. Maiquetia International Airport in Caracas operated on Thursday with only seven scheduled departures […]

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THE REAL LESSONS OF YESTERDAY'S SHOOTING IN WASHINGTON DC

27 Nov 2025, 18:49 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

President Trump, true to form, misses the real lesson from the tragic shooting of two national guardsmen in Washington. Trump announced that in light of what happened he will call on the Department of Defense (that’s still its official name) to call up 500 more National Guardsmen to Washington. The refugee program is also being revamped in order to avoid incidents like this from happening in the future. Just hours after the incident, the Trump administration announced it had stopped processing immigration applications from Afghanistan. The shooter, Rahmanulla Lakanwal, is an Afghan who was trained by the CIA to fight the Taliban in one of their strongholds. Apparently, Lakanwal acted in reaction to the gutting of much of the refugee program.

Trump’s moves miss the real lesson. Throughout the twenty-first century the United States has been in permanent wars throughout the world. The U.S. public doesn’t even know about many of them. We bomb countries in Africa on a regular basis. We’re in a permanent war situation in the Middle East. We’re bombing boats -- in the process blasting fishermen to pieces on both sides of Latin America and the victims are people not only from Venezuela, but also Trinidad, Colombia, Mexico and Ecuador. In doing so we are creating Frankenstein’s both at home and abroad. Lakanwal is one of them. All studies indicate that most acts of terrorism in the U.S. are committed by people and groups on the Right and a very large number of the perpetrators served in the military and are war veterans. George Lincoln Rockwell, the founder of the American Nazi Party, is just one example of a phenomenon in which the chickens come home to roost. Another is Timothy McVeigh, the author of the Oklahoma City bombing that killed 167 people in 1995 who was a veteran of the Persian Gulf War.

This is the discussion we should be having, not one about retribution which is the one being raised by Trump and his MAGA followers. Unfortunately, we cannot count on the mainstream media, which is increasingly being taken over by the political Right and is becoming increasingly concentrated, to raise these issues.


 

Boat Rides to Patagonia Glaciers and Penguins in Chile

24 Nov 2025, 15:25 – Luxury Latin America Blog

If you come to the bottom of Chile, you’ll probably take a boat ride or two at some point, getting up close to geographic features you don’t see back home, like Patagonia glaciers that date back to the last Ice Age and if you’re lucky, a few pengins too. For my travels as the...

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The Battle for Venezuela @ Warp Speed

23 Nov 2025, 06:02 – Cosmos Chronicle

With US warships stationed off Venezuela’s coast and a new regional right-wing bloc forming under Washington’s tutelage, the Western hemisphere is entering a volatile phase. Yet today’s confrontation unfolds in a world very different from the one that allowed the US to dictate regional politics with little resistance in the past. China’s rise, the return […]

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Trump’s Provocations are a Boost for the Latin American Left

18 Nov 2025, 20:13 – Steve Ellner’s Blog

When Trump assumed the presidency in 2025, the Pink Tide governments in Latin America were losing ground. The approval rating of Brazil’s president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva reached the lowest of his three presidential terms while that of Colombia’s Gustavo Petro was a mere 34 percent. Furthermore, in the wake of the highly contested results of the July 2024 presidential elections in Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro found himself isolated in the region.

Now, less than a year later, the political landscape has shifted. Trump’s antics such as renaming the Gulf of Mexico, his weaponization of tariffs, and military actions in the Caribbean and Pacific have revitalized Pink Tide governments and the Left in general. Latin America has reacted to Trump’s invocation of the Monroe Doctrine with a surge of nationalist sentiment, mass demonstrations, and denunciations from political figures across most of the spectrum—including some on the center-right.

While the United States appears as an unreliable and declining hegemon, China positions itself as a champion of national sovereignty and a voice of reason in matters of international trade and investment. When Trump slapped a 50% tariff on most Brazilian imports in July, the Chinese stepped in to help fill the gap for the nation’s all-important soybean exports.

Lula versus Trump

Different scenarios are playing out in different nations, but with similar results: the strengthening of the Left and in some instances the weakening of the Right. One case is Brazil and Mexico, where Lula and President Claudia Sheinbaum have combined firmness with discretion, in contrast to Petro’s confrontational rhetoric.

In July, Lula responded defiantly to Trump’s attempt to strong-arm Brazil through punitive tariffs designed to secure the release of his ally and former president Jair Bolsonaro, jailed for involvement in coup and assassination plots. Unlike other heads of state, Lula refused to reach out to Trump, saying “I’m not going to humiliate myself.” Instead, Lula declared “Brazil would not be tutored by anyone,” at the same time that he recalled the 1964 Brazilian coup as a previous instance of U.S. intervention.

The face-off sparked mass pro-government demonstrations throughout the country which far outnumbered those called by the Right demanding the freeing of Bolsonaro. Lula’s supporters blamed the Right for the tariffs, and particularly Bolsonaro’s son Eduardo who campaigned for them after moving to Washington. Lula called Bolsonaro a "traitor" and said he should face another trial for being responsible for the so-called “Bolsonaro’s tax.” As a sign that Trump’s tariffs were a game changer and a boost for the Left, the 80-year old Lula announced he would run for reelection in October 2026, as his popularity reached the 50 percent mark.

Some analysts faulted Lula for having failed to use his 30-minute videoconference with Trump on October 6 to condemn Washington’s gunboat diplomacy in the Caribbean. According to this interpretation of the call, Lula displayed naivete and gutlessness by combining “concern and accommodation with US imperialism” and believing that “negotiations will be guided by a ‘win-win logic.’”

In fact, Lula has spoken out against the U.S. military presence as a “factor of tension” in the Caribbean, which he calls a “zone of peace.” Lula, though, undoubtedly could have gone further, as urged by the Landless Workers’ Movement (MST) – which backed Lula’s last presidential bid – by explicitly declaring solidarity with Venezuela.

But Lula can hardly be accused of being submissive in his dealings with Trump. Venezuela’s former Vice Minister for North America Carlos Ron told me that both Lula and Sheinbaum have shown that they “know how to handle Trump” as they have “gotten much of what they wanted.” Indeed, at the same time that Trump retreated from his tariff threats toward both nations, he took to praising the two heads of state.

A United Front in the Making

In Brazil and elsewhere in the region, a new alignment is emerging, drawing in forces both to the right and the left of the government in reaction to Washington’s posture. One notable example was Lula’s appointment of homeless workers movement activist and former presidential candidate Guilherme Boulos as Minister of the Presidency in October. Boulos belongs to the Socialism and Liberty Party, a leftist split-off from Lula’s Workers’ Party that endorsed Lula’s 2022 presidential candidacy but had ruled out holding positions in his government.

Boulos, who was instrumental in organizing the recent protests against Washington’s tariff hikes, spoke of the significance of his designation: "Lula gave me the mission to help put the government on the street… and listening to popular demands." His appointment signals a leftist turn in which, in the words of the Miami-based CE Noticias Financiera, “Lula showed that he is going into the 2026 election ready for war. A war in his own style, using the social movements.”

 Venezuela is another example of political actors across much of the political spectrum converging on the need for a broad front to oppose U.S. aggression in the region. No other Pink Tide government has faced such a rapid succession of regime change and destabilization attempts as Venezuela under the Chavista (followers of Hugo Chávez) government of Maduro. The government’s response to these challenges has at times deviated from democratic norms and includes concessions to business interests, drawing harsh criticism from both moderate and more radical sectors of the Left.

One leader in the latter category is Elías Jaua, formerly a member of Chávez’s inner circle, whose leftist positions on economic policy and internal party democracy left him marginalized within the Chavista movement. In the face of the U.S. military threat in the Caribbean, Jaua has closed ranks with Maduro and decried the “psychological war” being waged against the President. He went on to say that in this critical moment it is necessary “to place the tranquility of the people above any ideological, political, or ulterior interest,” adding “the Homeland comes first.”

Other long-standing political figures who have supported Maduro’s call for a national dialogue to face the U.S. threat – while not letting Maduro off the hook for alleged undemocratic practices –   include some on the center and even center-right of the political spectrum, including former presidential candidates Henrique Capriles, Manuel Rosales and Antonio Ecarri.

Others are moderate leftists who held important posts under Chávez and/or belonged to the moderate left party Movimiento al Socialismo (MAS) in the 1990s. One of the latter is Enrique Ochoa Antich who presented a petition signed by 27 leading anti-Maduro moderates that stated “it is disheartening to see an extremist sector of the opposition” supporting sanctions and other U.S. actions. Ochoa Antich proposed a dialogue with government representatives “over the best way to foment national unity and defend sovereignty,” while adding “being realistic, I’m not going to ask that the party-state, which is the core of the Chavista project, be abolished.”

This stance, which views Maduro as a partner in resisting U.S. intervention, stands in sharp contrast to that of the Communist Party (PCV), which broke with his government in 2020 over its business-friendly orientation and its sidelining of sectors of the Left. In the same breath that it denounces imperialist aggression, the PCV points to the “authoritarian and anti-democratic nature of Maduro’s government.”  While the PCV’s criticisms are worthy of debate, the party’s uncompromising hostility toward Maduro undermines efforts to face U.S. aggression. Indeed, the PCV’s position – supporting the Cuban government while denouncing Venezuela’s as undemocratic – appears inconsistent.

In Argentina, Trump came to the aid of the Right in what will most likely be a Pyrrhic victory. On the eve of the October 2025 legislative elections, Trump offered to bail out the Argentine economy to the tune of $40 billion but only under the condition that the party of right-wing president Javier Milei emerge victorious, which is precisely what happened. Trump’s blackmail was denounced as such by politicians from Peronist leaders linked to former Pink Tide governments to centrists who had been among their most vocal critics. Facundo Manes, leader of the centrist Radical Civic Union, was an example of the latter, declaring “the extorsion advances.” Meanwhile on the streets of Buenos Aires, protest banners denouncing Milei were marked by anti-U.S. slogans “Yankee go home” and “Milei is Trump’s mule,” as well as the burning of a U.S. flag.

This convergence around the need to confront Trump’s threats and actions creates an opportunity for progressives across the continent to unite. The call for such unity was taken up by the São Paulo Forum, a body that brings together over 100 Latin American leftist organizations that Lula helped found in 1990. At the outset of Trump’s first administration in 2017, the Forum drafted the document Consensus for Our America as a response to the neoliberal Washington Consensus and the escalation of U.S. interventionism in the hemisphere.

At the same time that it defended the pluralism of progressive movements and avoided the term “socialism,” the Consensus document foresaw the drafting of a more concrete set of reforms and goals. The expected step forward, however, never materialized. More recently, the Cuban ideologue Roberto Regalado lamented that, despite the urgent need for unity, “far from consolidating and expanding, the ‘Consensus for Our America’ has languished.”

 

Trump and the Latin American Right

 

Much of the Latin American right has tied its fortunes to President Trump. The right-wing presidents of Argentina, Ecuador and Paraguay are Trump followers, as are Bolsonaro, the Chilean presidential candidate José Antonio Kast and former president Álvaro Uribe in Colombia. In Venezuela, right-wing opposition leader María Corina Machado dedicated her Nobel Peace Prize to Trump.

Machado’s fellow Venezuelan rightist Leopoldo López co-founded the National Liberty Congress in 2022 dedicated to regime change in nations that happen to be considered adversaries by Washington. The idea is in line with the idea of an International of the Right promoted by Trump strategist Steve Bannon, among others. Bannon founded The Movement in 2016 to unite the European Right, but it has been largely snubbed by much of the continent’s right-wing.

The “internationalism” on the right is even less likely to flourish in Latin America. While in the U.S., Trump plays on patriotism – or a bogus form of it – in the case of Latin America, nationalist sentiment and support for Trump are oxymorons, specifically when it comes to tariffs, threats of military invasion and the brandishing of the Monroe Doctrine. In Venezuela, for instance, Machado’s popularity has declined and her opposition movement fractured as a result of popular repudiation of Trump’s policies.

In the U.S., Trump plays to his fanatic supporters while his popularity steadily declines. In Latin America the same is occurring, with the difference being that his popularity couldn’t be much lower than it is. Pew Research Center reports that just 8 percent of Mexicans have “confidence” in Trump.

Trump has contributed to a major shift in the Latin America’s political landscape now marked by political polarization and leftist inroads. In many countries, the Left—which for decades remained on the sidelines—has become a major point of reference, rallying around the banners of national sovereignty, if not, anti-imperialism.

In Chile, a Communist, Jeannette Jara, received a surprising 60.5 percent of the vote in the primaries to represent the main anti-rightist bloc in the upcoming presidential elections. In spite of the cautious tone of her discourse, Jara addressed Trump, saying “No U.S. soldiers will enter. Chile is to be respected, and so is its sovereignty.” In Ecuador, despite harsh repression, the followers of ex-Pink Tide president Rafael Correa have come close to winning the last three presidential elections. And in Colombia, Petro has reinvigorated his movement’s base through his forceful denunciations of U.S. military operations and by leading a drive, begun in October, to secure two million signatures for a national constituent assembly.

Polarization often refers to a scenario in which the extremes on both sides of the political spectrum gain ascendancy. That is not what is happening in Latin America – at least on the left. Instead, there is a convergence of progressives of different political stripes both domestically and among Pink Tide governments in their opposition to Trump and all that he represents. The challenge now is to translate this convergence into organized forms of unity – through united fronts at the national level as well as in the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) and other regional bodies.  

 

This article was originally posted by Jacobin.

Steve Ellner is an associate managing editor of Latin American Perspectives and a retired professor at the Universidad de Oriente in Venezuela, where he lived for over forty years. He is the author of Rethinking Venezuelan Politics: Class, Conflict and the Chávez Phenomenon

https://jacobin.com/2025/11/trump-latin-america-left-opposition


 

Another Trump Turnaround –on Venezuela -- but this Time not Bad!

17 Nov 2025, 15:08 – Steve Ellner’s Blog


Trump just announced, “We may be having some discussions with Maduro, and we’ll see how that turns out.” Just about two weeks ago, Trump deauthorized Richard Grenell, who was his special envoy who said that no military incursion was being planned and that talks with Maduro were continuing. Now Trump says he’d like to continue talks with Maduro, even though Maduro all along has publicly indicated that he is open to talks and negotiations.

I’m hesitant to criticize Trump for being so capricious since I very much hope that this represents a new line and a new approach which would result in the withdrawal of U.S. the naval presence just 100 miles from the Venezuelan coast and the presence of the USS Gerald R Ford aircraft carrier within striking distance of Venezuela. It may be that Trump’s strategy all along was to attempt to intimidate Maduro and the Venezuelan armed forces and since that didn’t work, Trump is going into a new gear, that is he’s downshifting. Hope that’s the case. If it is, it demonstrates how effective Maduro has been in facing a dismaying challenge by mobilizing Venezuela militarily and politically and calling on people throughout the region to support the defense of Venezuela's national sovereignty. Regardless of what people think of Maduro, the effectiveness of this response and his leadership capacity in this context have to be recognized.


 

Villa Rentals in Latin America’s Elite Communities

16 Nov 2025, 12:02 – Luxury Latin America Blog

If you want to see what it would be like to live in a foreign country, in a development where you have access to golf, tennis, and restaurants, there are villa rentals waiting for you where all you have to do is book it and show up with a suitcase. In the elite communities...

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Can Peru’s Democracy Recover?

12 Nov 2025, 20:44 – AULA Blog

By Cynthia McClintock*

Photographs from the early hours of the Generation Z protest in Peru, 2025
(Source: Wikimedia Commons)

Since 2021, democratic backsliding has been severe in Peru, and Peruvians are furious. Peru’s Congress is loathed. In 2025, the approval rating for Peru’s President, Dina Boluarte, fell below 3 percent and she became the most unpopular president on the planet. Finally, in October, Boluarte was impeached on the grounds of “permanent moral incapacity”; it was the fifth time since 2018 that a president had been impeached or had resigned upon imminent impeachment.  Per Peru’s constitution, Boluarte was succeeded by the Congress Speaker, José Jerí. Presidential and Congressional elections are scheduled for early 2026.

Why are Peruvians so angry? What does their anger mean for the 2026 elections (with the Congressional elections and the first round of the presidential elections scheduled for April 12 and a likely runoff on June 7)? Is it possible that the elections can lead to a democratic recovery?

Why are Peruvians So Angry?

The key reason is not “the economy stupid,” but an escalation of organized crime and the perception that Peru’s political leaders are part of the problem rather than part of the solution.

Between 2019 and 2024 the number of homicides doubled and the number of reported extortions jumped sixfold. Extortion is hurting huge swathes of lower-middle class Peruvians. Transport workers have been particularly vulnerable; so far in 2025, approximately 50 bus drivers have been killed for refusing to make extortion payments.

The reasons behind the crime escalation are various. Demand for cocaine remains high and, over the last decade, Peru’s coca cultivation has increased. As the price for gold jumped, so did illegal gold mining. Peru’s gangs are fragmented—and therefore hard to track—and they have developed nefarious new strategies such as using WhatsApp for extortion.

But, Peruvians believe, the reasons also include the government’s complicity. In part because illicit operators have provided campaign finance, in 2024 approximately half of Peru’s legislators were under criminal investigation; these same legislators have passed laws to impede investigations and prosecutions. Boluarte herself is under investigation for various crimes, including illicit enrichment. She sported a Rolex watch priced at $19,000, despite no evident financial means for such extravagance.

Further, from the start large percentages of Peruvians did not deem Boluarte a legitimate president. In 2021-2022, Boluarte was Vice President under President Pedro Castillo. Leading a far-left party in fraught elections during COVID, Castillo was an accidental, unprepared president. He was virulently opposed by the dominant right-wing forces in Congress, in particular Fuerza Popular, the party of Keiko Fujimori, the daughter of former authoritarian President Alberto Fujimori. As Vice President, Boluarte had said that, if Castillo were impeached, she too would resign, triggering new elections. However, in the event of Castillo’s December 2022 impeachment, Boluarte stayed on, despite massive protests and ubiquitous calls for new elections.

As President, Boluarte appeared indifferent to Peruvians’ concerns. Between December 2022 and February 2023, 49 civilian protesters were killed by the security forces. Boluarte’s response was support for an amnesty law. And, amid an October 2025 transport workers’ strike, Boluarte’s advice to Peruvians worried about crime was that they should not open text messages from unfamiliar people—placing blame for crimes on the victims.

What Does Peruvians’ Anger Mean for the 2026 Elections?

Peruvians’ anger spells difficulties for its incumbent parties and advantages for parties that can claim an “outsider” mantle. Fujimori’s Fuerza Popular is widely considered the dominant party in the Congress, and it will struggle against this perception. Its presidential candidate, Fujimori, is running for the fourth time and is likely to have worn out her welcome.

Not surprisingly, demands for an “iron fist” against crime are strong. The current presidential frontrunner is Renovación Popular’s Rafael López Aliaga (aka “Porky”), a Trump-like far-rightist who placed third in the 2021 election and was subsequently elected Lima’s mayor. López Aliaga promises a hardline strategy against organized crime, including implementing similar imprisonment policies to those of El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele. But Renovación Popular holds the fourth largest number of seats in Congress and it will be difficult for López Aliaga to claim an “outsider” mantle.

A candidate likely to claim an “outsider” mantle is Mario Vizcarra, running as a proxy for his brother, former President Martín Vizcarra. As President in 2018-2020, Vizcarra confronted the dominant parties in Peru’s Congress, building his popularity but ultimately catalyzing his impeachment. After a strong showing in Peru’s 2021 legislative elections, he was disqualified from holding elected office for ten years. Yet, Vizcarra’s government was far from without fault. There are other candidates, including the popular former clown, Carlos Álvarez, who could seize the “outsider” mantle.

Can Peru’s 2026 Elections Lead to Democratic Recovery?

The challenges to Peru’s elections are serious. In recent years Fuerza Popular and other illiberal parties in Peru’s Congress have allied to skew the electoral playing field in their favor.  Interim President Jerí is, of course, new to his position and his possible impact on the elections is unclear. (His first-month record was better than was first expected.)

As elsewhere in Latin America, Peru’s illiberal parties have strategized to achieve the disqualification of viable candidates. As indicated, this strategy is currently being used against Vizcarra; it could also be used against a rising new candidate.

Peru’s illiberal parties have calculated that a plethora of candidates is in their interest. Currently, 39 party lists are registered. Such a head-spinning number is problematic for journalists trying to cover the campaign and problematic for voters trying to identify their preferred candidate, especially because pre-election polls are more likely to be inaccurate. Yet, Peru’s Congress cancelled a provision for a preliminary round of voting, in which parties would have been required to secure 1.5 percent of the vote in order to qualify for the “first round.”

Still, there are grounds for optimism. The massive protests of recent years have shown that Peruvians want their political views heard. Peruvians recognize the importance of honest, capable leadership and want to find it.

*Cynthia McClintock is Professor of Political Science and International Affairs at George Washington University.

Tequila Los Arango From Guanajuato

11 Nov 2025, 18:00 – Luxury Latin America Blog

If you spend time in Mexican resort bars or browse around duty free shops, you’ve probably seen the Corralejo tequila in the tall, thin bottle. It stands out for its design and shape, but the company that makes it has several other brands that are actually more noteworthy if you’re a real tequila fan,...

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US military squeeze on Venezuela might boomerang on Washington DC

9 Nov 2025, 23:39 – Cosmos Chronicle

The U.S. military buildup along South America’s northern rim is, Washington insists, aimed at Narco-Terrorists. A growing chorus of analysts aren’t convinced; they suspect what the Trump administration is really after is regime change in Venezuela. Nicolás Maduro, the country’s leader since 2013, is taking no chances. In recent weeks he responded to the Trump […]

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Nicaragua, the “Republic of Poets” has become a “Republic of Clandestine Poets.”

14 Oct 2025, 07:11 – Latin American Affairs

 Nicaragua, the “Republic of Poets” has become a “Republic of Clandestine Poets.”

" There are poets and writers in every street of Nicaragua;  everybody is considered to be a poet until proved to the contrary¨- says Salman Rushdie in his book 'The jaguar smile',
The Sandinista revolution was a revolution of poets: Ernesto Cardenal, Mejía Godoy, Sergio Ramírez, Gioconda Belli, Daniel Ortega and Rosario Murillo. 

One of the martyred heroes of the Sandinista revolution is Leonel Rugama, the young poet who died in combat at the age of 20. His poem "The Earth is a satellite of the Moon " has been considered by critics as one of the most widely distributed poems in Latin American poetry. It was a poet, Rigoberto Lopez Perez, who assassinated the first Somoza, at a ball in 1956, and was himself beaten and shot to death on the dance floor.

Poetry writing, reading, and recitals are not restricted to the esoteric world of urban literary societies. Shopkeepers, farmers and common people write, read and enjoy poetry. The revolutionaries and common people find solace and expression in poetry for survival and inspiration during the volcanic eruptions of revolutions, war and struggles. When novelist and poet Sergio Ramirez returned from Spain after receiving the prestigious Cervantes literary prize, people lined the streets to cheer him as he rode from the Managua airport to his home.

Nicaraguan newspapers used to feature literary supplements filled with poems from both luminaries and unknowns. Leading poets could be spotted, like movie stars, in certain cafes in the cities. In the university town of Leon, busts of Nicaraguan poets and plaques with quotations from their work fill the “Park of Poets,” while the main street, Calle Ruben Dario, is named for the country’s preeminent poet. 

Ruben Dario, the poet and writer of Nicaragua is the most well-known in the world. He is considered as the father of the Modernist Movement in Spanish literature in the twentieth century. His book Azul (1888) is said to be the inaugural book of Hispanic-American modernism. He was a precocious poet and published his poem in a newspaper at the age of thirteen.

Dario is remembered for the following prophetic poem in which he anticipated US as an invader.

Eres los Estados Unidos,
eres el futuro invasor

You are the United States
you are the future invader

Nicaragua was one of the worst victims of US interventions. The US had occupied Nicaragua from 1912 to 1933 to protect American business interests. The US had supported and nurtured the Somoza dictatorship for four decades. Later, the US unleashed a deadly counter-revolutionary war to bleed the elected Sandinista government from 1979 to 1989 with mercenaries recruited from other Central American countries.

An American mercenary adventurer William Walker maneuvered to appoint himself as President of Nicaragua in 1856 and ruled for a year and even made English as the official language. Walker recruited about a thousand American and European mercenaries to invade the other four Central American nations: Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Costa Rica. This was supported by the American tycoon Cornelius Vanderbilt who had business interests in the region. Fortunately the invasion failed and Walker was later executed.

President Daniel Ortega is a poet, as is his wife, Rosario Murillo. When Ortega was a political prisoner from 1968 (at the age of 23) to 1974 during the dictatorship of Somoza, he wrote many poems, including the famous one titled “I never saw Managua when miniskirts were in fashion.” While in jail he received visits from Rosario Murillo, a poet. The prisoner and visitor fell in love; Murillo became Ortega's wife. She has published several books of poems. One of them is called as ¨Amar es combatir ¨- to love is to combat. 

After the overthrow of the Somoza dictatorship in 1979, the victorious Sandinistas named one of the country’s most famous poets, Ernesto Cardenal, as minister of culture. He brought poets to all corners of the country to teach people to read and write poetry at a time when Nicaragua suffered a 70 to 95 percent illiteracy rate. It is still possible in villages to find people who are unable to read or write but can recite Dario’s poetry by heart. Poetry was used as a tool for political literacy, consolidating the country as a "Republic of Poets.”

Some of the ministers in the initial years of President Ortega's cabinet were poets and writers. Notable among these is Sergio Ramirez, Gioconda Belli and Ernesto Cardinal. 

Since his reelection as President in 2007, Daniel Ortega has become authoritarian and has rigged the elections and the constitution to continue as president indefinitely. His wife Rosario Murillo has now become the Co-President after having been Vice-President for some years. The couple have betrayed the noble ideals of the Sandinista revolution and have created a corrupt family dictatorship, similiar to the Somoza dynastic dictatorship which had ruled for 42 years. Most of the writers and intellectuals who had nurtured the revolution eventually left the Sandinista party and started fighting against the dictatorial regime. They used poetry to fight back, just like they did during the revolutionary era against the Somoza dictatorship.  The Ortegas have suppressed dissent and persecuted poets, intellectuals and journalists besides political leaders who resisted their dictatorship. The regime has imprisoned or exiled some of the dissidents, stripped their citizenship and even seized their assets and houses. The regime has become harsher after the large scale public protests in 2018. Many exiled poets and writes live in Costa Rica and Spain. The exiled poets include Sergio Ramírez, Gioconda Belli and Freddy Quezada. The regime has shut down thousands of NGOs and independent media outlets, including PEN Nicaragua and the Nicaraguan Academy of Language. One of the hardest blows to Nicaraguan literary culture came in 2022 with the cancellation of the Granada International Poetry Festival, created in 2005, which once brought together more than 1,200 poets from 120 countries. The regime revoked the legal status of the NGO that funded it, leading to its cancellation.

While accepting the Cervantes Prize for literature in April 2018, Ramírez dedicated his award to the young people then protesting Ortega’s government and to the memory of Nicaraguans who had recently “been murdered on the streets after demanding justice and democracy.”

The Ortega-Murillo dictatorship has driven the poetry underground. The poets hide themselves and their poems from the repressive regime which has been ruthlessly censoring literature and news. The poets write clandestinely expressing their frustration and resistance. The "Republic of Poets" has now become the "Republic of Clandestine Poets". 

Crooked plow- Brazilian novel by Itamar Vieira Junior

25 Sep 2025, 01:59 – Latin American Affairs

Itamar Vieira is a young and upcoming Brazilian writer. Crooked Plow (Torto Arado) is his first novel. He has earlier written a short story collection.

Although Itamar Vieira is a new author, the theme and characters of his novel are familiar to me. They are similar to those of my favorite Brazilian writer Jorge Amado whose famous novels include titles such as “Dona Flor and her two husbands” and "Gabriela, Clove and Cinnamon”.


Crooked Plow is the story of struggle and misery of the subsistence farmers in the rural areas of Bahia, the northeastern part of Brazil, poor in development but rich in culture. The main characters are the seven and six years old sisters Bibiana and Belonisia.  They find a knife in the old suitcase of their grandmother. Bibiana puts the knife in her mouth trying to taste the glittering metal. Belonisia  pulls out the knife violently from her sister’s mouth in order to taste it herself. In this childish fight,  Bibiana loses her tongue while the other’s is hurt badly. After this, the sisters become the voice of each other with a muted bond. Here is how the author describes, "When they interacted, one of them would need to become more perceptive, read more attentively the sister’s eyes and gestures. They would become one. The sister who lent her voice studied the body language of the sister who was mute. The sister who was mute transmitted, through elaborate gestures and subtle movements, what she wanted to communicate. For this symbiosis to occur and endure, their differences had to be put aside. They devoted their time to gaining a new understanding of each other’s bodies. At first, it was hard for both, very hard—the constant repetition of words, picking up objects, pointing here and there so that one sister might grasp the other’s intention. As the years passed, this shared body language became an extension of their individual expressions until each of them almost became the other, but without losing herself. Sometimes one would get annoyed with the other, but the pressing need for one sister to communicate something, and for the other to translate it, made it so that they would both forget what had annoyed them in the first place”. The silenced sister symbolizes the voiceless poor Afro-Brazilians.

Later,  the sisters would fight with each other over a boyfriend. Bibiana used the same knife once to save a woman from her drunken husband and at another time to kill the owner of their estate who tries to evict the tenants and sell the land.

Itamar Vieira narrates in detail the struggles of the tenant farmers in the rural estates called as Fazendas in Portuguese.  "They could build houses of mud, but not brick, nothing enduring to mark how long a family had been on the land. They could cultivate a small plot of squashes, beans, and okra, but nothing that would distract them from the owner’s crops because, after all, working for the owner was what enabled them to live on this land. They could bring their women and children; the more the merrier, in fact, because eventually the children would grow up and replace whoever was too old to work. The owner of the plantation would have confidence in them, trust them; they’d be his godchildren. Money, there’d be none of that, but there’d be food on the table. The workers could make their home on the plantation with no problem, without being harassed. They just had to follow the rules”.

The tenant farmers are forced to buy necessities from the overpriced estate shop which make the tenants perpetually in debt. Their children join the workforce to pay off the debt. They are expected to be grateful to the estate owners for letting them a place to live. When a young rebellious farmer tries to ask for more rights he is killed by the hired assassins of the owner. The police close the case alleging falsely that the farmer was growing marijuana and got killed in a fight with drug traffickers.

The subsistent farmers would smile and some would even jump with joy when they noticed rain clouds finally looming, and from the land rose a freshness that farmers liked to call a bit of “luck.” They said you could dig a little into the dry mud and actually feel the moisture arriving, feel that the earth was a bit cooler, a sign the drought was coming to an end. The women would put empty buckets out to catch the rain. The plantation would resound with the old songs of the local women bringing their laundry down to the widening river or carrying their hoes to clear their small plots and do some slash-and-burn farming. The men could join the women only after they’d cleared the vast fields for planting the landowners’ crops.

The tongueless sister did not like the teaching in the new school opened in the estate. She preferred to "immerse herself in the woods, walking up and down the trails, learning all about herbs and roots. She learned about clouds, too, how they’d foretell rain, all the secret changes of sky and earth. She learned that everything is in motion—quite different from the lifeless things taught in school.  She walked with her father watching the movement of animals, insects, and plants. Her father couldn’t read or do sums, but he knew the phases of the moon. He knew that under a full moon you could plant almost anything, although manioc, banana, and other fruits liked to be sown under a new moon; under a waning moon, it wasn’t time for planting but for clearing the land. He knew that for a plant to grow strong, you needed to weed around each one every day, reducing the risk of pests. You had to be vigilant, protecting the stalks, making small mounds of soil and watering carefully so they’d flourish. Whenever he encountered some problem in the fields, he would lie on the ground, his ear attuned to what was deep in the earth, before deciding what tools to use and what to do, where to advance and where to retreat. Like a doctor listening to a heartbeat".

The father of the girls, Zeca Chapeu Grande, is a tenant farmer and a healer for the community. He would use local herbs to heal physical wounds and African ceremonies to heal the souls. Most of the people here are of African origin. They practice their ancient rituals and religious practices. They are used to seeing stoically their neighbors going mad, teenage girls getting pregnant by estate officials, drunken husbands beating up wife and kids, broken families, orphaned children and hopeless existence. Their precarious lives are made worse by periodic droughts, floods and natural calamities. During these times, they survive by faith in their African gods and rituals, and offerings to please them. They would mix up their African gods and rituals sometimes with the Christian faith imposed by the Catholic Church. 

This novel has won several literary prizes and was shortlisted for 2024 International Booker prize. In an interview, the author says, “ For me, to write is an experience of surprise. I never know in advance the path my story will take”. He is already into writing of his next novel.

The novel is available in English translation.

"Small Earthquakes: A Journey Through Lost British History in South America” - book by Shafik Meghji

20 Sep 2025, 03:39 – Latin American Affairs

While the Spanish and Portuguese colonized Latin America, the British have played a significant role in slavery, wars of independence, politics, lending, investment, railways and football in the region. These have been brought out by the author of the book who has done extensive research and travelled through the South American countries which had been impacted by the British. 

Under the 1713 Treaty of Utrecht, Spain granted Britain a license to transport African slaves to its Latin American colonies. The London-based South Sea Company bought the contract from the British government for £9.5 million. Under the agreement, the firm could transport 4,800 enslaved Africans a year for the next three decades to Latin American ports. Working with the Royal African Company and protected by the Royal Navy, the South Sea Company trafficked about 42,000 Africans—7,000 of whom died en route.

The defeat of Napoleon at Waterloo in 1815 left Britain awash with unemployed soldiers—as many as half a million, according to some estimates. Thousands of them decided to fight for the aspirant nations in Spanish-controlled South America. Many were simply mercenaries; others sought adventure or a sense of purpose; and some regarded themselves as freedom fighters. In 1817, a representative of Simón Bolívar, known as the Liberator of South America "(El Libertador) visited London on a recruitment drive. Over the following two years, more than 6,000 men sailed from Britain to fight in Bolivar’s army. They carried supplies of arms and military equipment provided on credit by British merchants.

Bernardo O’Higgins, the Chilean independence leader and the first Head of State, was of Irish origin from his father’s side. He had studied in London and wanted “to make Chile the England of South America”, and he advocated English and Irish immigration as the best guarantee of progressive political institutions in South America.’ O’Higgins championed the adoption of a British-style constitutional system but was ousted in 1823, after a controversial £1 million loan he secured from the British government that came—predictably enough—with decidedly unfavourable repayment terms. He set sail from Valparaíso on a British ship, spending the rest of his days in exile in Peru.

Admiral Thomas was a British naval officer who  accepted the invitation to found Chile’s first navy and command it against Spanish forces. The nascent Chilean fleet was modelled on the Royal Navy and heavily staffed with British officers and sailors. 

Officially, Britain was neutral during the wars of independence but nevertheless sought to prevent other European nations from militarily aiding Spain. The British government was quick to recognise the independence of the new nations and signed commercial treaties with them to advance British business interests. 

In the 1850s, the British South American missionary society set up the first European settlement in Ushuaia to convert the local Yagan tribes into christianity. They had even brought some young members of the tribe to England to teach them English and the local culture and sent them back to their tribes to spread their new faith. The missionaries studied local languages and published dictionaries and books. The Argentine naval ships came much later to Ushuaia in 1884 to claim the region as part of their country.

In the 1880s, Argentina attracted 40–50 per cent of British foreign investment, most of which went into railways, ports, utilities, meat packing and trading. Between 1857 and 1920, more than 60,000 people from Britain came to Argentina. By the 1910s, British railway firms dominated the sector and were among the most valuable companies in Argentina. Opening in 1915, Retiro station in Buenos Aires city was once the hub of the biggest railway network in South America, extending across more than 27,000 miles of track at its peak in the 1940s. The Anglo-Argentine Tramways company built in 1913 Subte, the oldest underground railway in Latin America in Buenos Aires city. But many Argentines regarded railway companies as agents of imperialism and believed the country was being drawn into Britain’s ‘informal empire’. 

The first overseas branch of Harrods opened in Buenos Aires in 1914 and once virtually spanned an entire block. It was subsequently sold to a local retailer but retained the iconic name;  It closed in 1998, blighted by debts. Despite various attempts to re-open it over the years since, and the occasional temporary exhibition, it remains closed and near derelict. 

The British firm Barings gave an exploitative £1 million loan in 1824 to the government in Buenos Aires to operate the city’s water and sewage system, which was originally designed by engineers from Ireland and Britain. The company was later criticized for political and economic meddling, scheming to topple governors and even promoting the 1864–70 War of the Triple Alliance, a devastating conflict between Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay on one side and Paraguay on the other.

Alexander Watson Hutton, brought over the first footballs to Argentina, created the country’s first football pitch and encouraged his pupils to play the game. In 1893, he founded the Argentine Football Association (AFA), one of the oldest in the world outside of the UK. Hutton is called as the father of Argentine football. Many of the early players were British and the country's numerous clubs that exist today had British or Anglo-Argentine founder. The British also introduced Polo, Rugby and even cricket in Argentina.

Today, around 50,000 to 70,000 people in Chubut province of Argentina, have Welsh heritage. As many as 6,000 of these speak the Welsh language.

British banks had partly financed the independence wars of Peru, Bolivia and Chile. Later, the banks used these debts to help British companies to take over local business including nitrate mines and guano trading. The British companies and government had roles in the Pacific war in which Chile grabbed large territories of Bolivia and Peru. This benefitted British robber-baron firms such as Antony Gibbs & Sons, which dominated the nitrate industry for the next forty years.

When the Chilean President José Manuel Balmaceda nationalized the concessions of Liverpool Nitrate Company ( owned by John Thomas North), the British government, along with the British companies intervened and incited a civil war in 1891. The president committed suicide after he was overthrown.

In his epic poetry collection Canto General, Neruda wrote about North, the ‘powerful gringo’, and his dealings with Balmaceda:
The smooth sterling pounds
weave like golden spiders
an English cloth, legitimate,
for my people, a suit tailored
with blood, gunpowder and misery.

Atacama in Chile was one of the most valuable places on earth because of nitrate which accounted for as much as 80 per cent of Chile’s exports. But while the world war prompted a short-term profit surge, it also triggered the collapse of the industry. Germany’s nitrate supplies were cut-off by a British-led blockade during the conflict, which forced the country to seek out alternatives. German Chemists Fritz Haber and Carl Bosch subsequently developed an industrial process that combined nitrogen in the air with hydrogen to produce ammonia, launching the era of artificial fertilisers. After the war, this method proved to be a cheaper and quicker way to supply farmers and arms manufacturers in Europe. This ended the nitrate fortunes of Atacama.  

In 1973, the Conservative government of Edward Heath welcomed the Pinochet coup, with Foreign Secretary Alec Douglas-Home writing: ‘For British interests … there is no doubt that Chile under the junta is a better prospect than Allende’s chaotic road to socialism, our investments should do better, our loans may be successfully rescheduled, and export credits later resumed.’ Pinochet became a close ally of Margaret Thatcher, allowing a British surveillance team to use a Chilean military base in Punta Arenas to monitor Argentine air force operations during the Falklands War while also supplying crucial intelligence reports.

Britain had played a crucial role in the creation of an independent Uruguay in 1828. Britain was eager to create a buffer state between the two large warring nations of Brazil and Argentina in order to boost free trade, which, of course, would benefit Britain above all. A British envoy Lord Ponsonby, brokered the peace deal. 

The British moved quickly into the independent Uruguay with lending and investment in railways, meat industry and trading. The British also introduced football in Uruguay.




The Brazilian Supreme Court has done what its U.S. counterpart has tragically failed to do

13 Sep 2025, 08:53 – Latin American Affairs

The Brazilian Supreme Court has convicted (on 11 September) and sentenced ex-President Bolsonaro for his crimes of coup attempt, plot to assassinate political and judicial leaders and incitement of mobs to destroy the buildings of the Supreme Court, the Presidential palace, and the Congress, after he lost the elections in 2022. The court also sentenced seven other military and political accomplices of Bolsonaro. Earlier, the court had convicted more than 600 far right extremist followers of Bolsonaro who had vandalized the iconic government buildings of Brasila. 

The trial and delivery of judgements were telecast live so that the whole country and the world can see and hear the details of the crimes, the evidence, arguments and defense in the case transparently and publicly. The court showed clips of the most dramatic moments of the coup attempt. Bolsonaro and his accomplices had self-incriminated themselves with public statements, interviews and activities in live TV. The audiovisual evidence for their attempts  against democratic institutions are in the archives of the TV channels.

Brazilians, who had suffered many coups and military dictatorships in their history, did not want a regression to the ignominious past. Bolsonaro's conviction is clearly a victory for the democracy of Brazil. It is a warning to future coup plotters. As Justice Cármen Lúcia noted in her decisive vote this week, the Bolsonaro case is “an encounter between Brazil’s past, its present, and its future”. The last dictatorship which ruled from 1964 to 1985 had killed, tortured  and disappeared hundreds of activists for democracy. Bolsonaro’s military coup did not succeed because the army and air force commanders refused to participate. 

In other Latin American countries, members of military dictatorships who had committed atrocities were brought before justice and convicted. But the Brazilian military torturers and killers got away  with their crimes. They got impunity as part of the bargain to transfer power to the civilians in 1985. So, this is the first time in the history of Brazilian democracy that the coup plotters have been tried for their attempt to disrupt democracy. 

Bolsonaro has always publicly expressed his pride and admiration for the past military dictatorships and the killings and tortures openly and unapologetically. Ex-President Dilma Rouseff was a victim of imprisonment and torture by the military regime. Bolsonaro had dedicated his vote for impeachment of President Dilma Rouseff to the notorious Colonel Ustra who tortured her when she was caught as a young leftwing guerilla fighter. He called Ustra as a national hero.

Bolsonaro has never hidden his contempt for democracy. During his presidential visit to Chile, he praised Pinochet dictatorship, causing embarrassment to his Chilean hosts. “Elections won’t change anything in this country”, an angry Bolsonaro told an interviewer on the programme Câmara Aberta, broadcast by TV Band in 1999. “It will only change on the day that we break out in civil war here and do the job that the military regime didn’t do, killing 30,000 people beginning with Fernando Henrique Cardoso, the President of Brazil at that time. If we kill some innocent people that’s fine because in every war innocent people die.” Shouting at the interviewer, an intemperate Bolsonaro said that if he became president, he would dissolve Congress on his first day in office. 

Bolsonaro had worked systematically and consistently to undermine democratic institutions during his four year presidency as well as before and after his presidential term. He had filled his cabinet with military officers, including serving ones and politicized the armed forces. Anticipating his election loss, Bolsonaro had tried to discredit the electoral system systematically with disinformation and fake news. He held a public meeting even with the foreign ambassadors in Brasilia and explained to them his lack of belief in the electoral system. He had ordered police roadblocks to prevent voting by Lula supporters and monitored opponents using the national intelligence agency. 

The Bolsonarist mobs had camped several times in front of the army headquarters in Brasilia and called for the return of military dictatorship and closure of the Congress and Supreme Court while President Bolsonaro smiled and cheered the crowds. In 2018, Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of Jair Bolsonaro, was recorded speaking in a classroom, saying that the Supreme Court could be shut down if it went against his father. He said, “One wouldn’t even need a Jeep. Sending a soldier and corporal would be enough to close the Court” 

Bolsonaro has ignited a new gun culture in Brazil. His three politician sons have been fierce proponents of expanding gun ownership through policy proposals and social media posts. Eduardo Bolsonaro has spoken admiringly of the Second Amendment in the United States. He has lobbied to make the Brazilian market more attractive to foreign arms manufacturers, which he said would lower prices and provide gun buyers with more choices. Flávio Bolsonaro, a senator, made the promotion of gun manufacturing in Brazil the focus of his first project in the legislature. During his presidency,  Bolsonaro had loosened gun control to make more firearms available easily to more of his followers. Gun ownership rocketed by 98% during Bolsonaro’s first year as President.  Weapons newly available to the public now included semi-automatic rifles, previously only available to the army. In April 2020, Bolsonaro revoked decrees that existed to facilitate the tracing and identification of weapons and ammunition. One week later, he tripled the quantity of ammunition available for purchase by civilians, saying on record in a ministerial meeting, that he wanted “everyone” to carry guns.. Bolsonaro's signature favorite pose is gun shooting gestureBolsonaro reaffirmed in his inaugural speech, “Good citizens deserve the means to defend themselves through gun ownership”. His supporters in the Congress cheered and applauded him by pointing their fingers in the shape of a gun. 




During his 2019 visit to US, he tweeted, “For the first time in a while, a pro-America Brazilian president arrives in DC.” He had made an unusual  visit to the CIA headquarters. This was bizarre. No foreign president goes to CIA office. According to diplomatic protocol, it should have been the CIA Director who should have called on him and not the other way. After the visit, Eduardo Bolsonaro described the CIA as “one of the most respected intelligence agencies in the world,” in a tweet.

After losing the elections. Bolsonaro fled to Miami in an official plane without handing over power to his successor. He thought it was safe to incite the mobs from the US in order to claim later that he was not present in Brasilia when his followers ransacked government buildings.  His son Eduardo Bolsonaro has been camping in US and has succeeded in convincing Trump to impose sanctions and tariffs on Brazil. He has been proudly claiming credit for these Trump punishments against Brazil. 

President Trump had imposed 50% tariffs on Brazil saying that it was stop the prosecution of his friend Bolsonaro. He imposed sanctions against judges and revoked the US visas of some. He had exempted two judges, who were appointed by Bolsonaro, when he was President. 

President Trump has reacted to the Supreme Court verdict saying, "It's very much what they tried to do with me, but they didn't get away with it at all. He was a good man, I don't see that happening. “The United States will respond accordingly to this witch hunt​,” tweeted the US secretary of state, Marco Rubio, calling the conviction “unjust”. Eduardo Bolsonaro , who continues to lobby  with the MAGA crowd says that "he expected the US would take further measures in the wake of the verdict."

The Brazilian government and judiciary have rejected the brazen American attempts to interfere in their domestic governance and justice system. President Lula had said in a CNN interview, " If Trump had done in Brasilia what he had done in Washington DC on 6 January, he would have been put on trial". The Brazilians have not forgotten the past American support to the Brazilian military dictatorship as well as other Latin American military regimes.


In an ironic twist, on the day the Supreme Court sentenced Bolsonaro defying Trump sanctions, the Brazilian aircraft manufacturer Embraer secured an order to sell 100 aircrafts to the US airline Avelo. It has placed a firm order for 50 Embraer jets (valued at 4.4 billion dollars) with purchase rights for another 50. Trump has exempted Brazilian aircrafts from his  50% tariff on Brazil. Aircraft is one of the 700 plus items Trump has given exemption from his egregious tariff on Brazil.

Reacting to the Brazilian Supreme Court verdict, an opinion column in New York Times on 12 September (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/12/opinion/trump-bolsonaro-conviction-democracy.html) says, "The Brazilian Supreme Court has done what the U.S. federal courts tragically failed to do: bring a former president who assaulted democracy to justice. President Trump also attempted to overturn an election. But he was sent not to prison but back to the White House. Trump has criticized Brazil’s effort to defend its democracy. He has punished it with tariffs and sanctions to bully Brazilians into subverting their legal system — and their democracy along with it. In effect, the U.S. administration is punishing Brazilians for doing something Americans should have done, but failed to. Brazilian democracy is healthier today than America’s. Rather than undermining Brazil’s effort to defend its democracy, Americans should learn from it". 


The Marxist school of Dependency Theory - An interview with Professor Jaime Osorio

13 Dec 2022, 22:45 – Latin American Perspectives

 By Hilary Goodfriend- Postdoctoral Fellow at the University of California Riverside Latino and Latin American Studies Research Center

When neoliberalism began its bloody march across Latin America, its advocates insisted that the sacrifices of human labor and civil rights that tended to accompany its implementation would be compensated by an eventual global convergence that would free the region from underdevelopment. Deregulation, privatization, and free trade, they said, would eventually close the gap between the decolonized world and their former metropolitan centers.

Our present, however, is one of spiraling crises. Since the financial crash of 2008, the economic crisis converges with ecological collapse and the exhaustion of liberal democratic forms, reaching civilizational dimensions. In this context, the pandemic laid bare how, instead of disappearing, the divide between the center and periphery of the world system is as sharp and as meaningful as ever. 

With neoliberal hegemony fractured, other ways of thinking and practicing politics have reemerged from their intellectual exiles. Among these, dependency theory stands out as an original and revolutionary contribution of Latin American critical thought, offering tools for understanding uneven capitalist development and imperialism both historically and today. For an introduction to this unique framework, we turn to Dr. Jaime Osorio. 

When a military coup d’état in Chile overthrew the democratically elected government of Salvador Allende on September 11, 1973, Osorio had already been accepted to begin his doctoral studies at the University of Chile’s Center for Socio-Economic Studies (CESO, in Spanish). The dictatorship’s advance brought him instead to Mexico, where today he ranks as Distinguished Professor at the Autonomous Metropolitan University (UAM) in Xochimilico and as Researcher Emeritus by the National Council of Science and Technology (CONACYT). He is the author of many books, including Fundamentos del análsis social. La realidad social y su conocimiento and Sistema mundial. Intercambio Desigual y renta de la tierra. 

In this interview, Osorio speaks with Jacobin contributing editor Hilary Goodfriend about the Marxist school of dependency theory, its origins and principles, and its present-day applications.  


Dependency theory and its Marxist strain emerged from debates and dialogues about development, underdevelopment, and imperialism in the context of decolonization and the national liberation struggles of the twentieth century. What were the main positions and strategies in dispute, and how did Marxist dependency theorists position themselves in these arguments?

At the theoretical level, Marxist dependency theory [TMD, in Spanish] is the result of the Cuban Revolution’s victory in 1959. Latin American Marxism was moved by the island’s gesture. All the main theses about the nature of Latin American societies and the character of revolution came into question. 

A little over a decade after that event, which sharpened the debates, TMD reached maturity. In those years, some of the proposals that fed theories of dependency emphasized the role of trade relations, such as the “deterioration of the terms of trade” thesis put forward by the [Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean] CEPAL, which referred to the cheapening of primary goods against the rising prices of industrial products in the world market.

Orthodox Marxists highlighted the presence of internal “obstacles” that impeded development, like idle terrain in the hands of landowners, which also blocked the expansion of wage relations. Generally, in these proposals, capitalism wasn’t to blame. In fact, it was necessary to accelerate its spread so that its inherent contradictions would heighten. Only then could a socialist revolution be proposed, according to this stage-based perspective prevalent in the Communist Parties.

For the Cepalinos, their horizon was achieving advanced capitalism, which would be possible by means of a process of industrialization. This would allow the region to cease exporting primary goods and food products and importing secondary goods, which would now be produced internally, sparking technological development and stemming the outflow of resources. 

In both proposals, the industrial bourgeoisie had a positive role to play, be it in the medium or long term.

For Marxist dependency theory, the region’s so-called economic “backwardness” was a result of the formation and expansion of the capitalist world system, whose course produced development and underdevelopment simultaneously. Therefore, these divergent economic histories are not independent processes, nor are they connected tangentially. From this perspective, the fundamental theoretical and historical problem required explaining the processes that generated both development and underdevelopment in the same movement. 

This problem demanded, furthermore, a response that accounted for how this process is reproduced over time since civilization and barbarism are constantly made anew by the world system. 


Many of the acclaimed Marxist dependency theorists—Ruy Mauro Marini, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Bambirra—share a trajectory of flight from South American dictatorships and exile in Mexico. You were also subject to this forced displacement. How did these experiences of revolution and counterrevolution influence the construction of TMD?

Four names stand out in the development of TMD: André Gunder Fank, Theotonio Dos Santos, Vania Vambirra, and Ruy Mauro Marini. The first was a German-U.S. economist and the other three Brazilians, who shared readings and discussions in Brazil before the 1964 coup in that country. Subsequently, they found each other in Chile in the late 1960s in the Center for Socio-Economic Studies, until the military coup of 1973. During this period—at least in the case of the Brazilians—they produced their principals works with regards to TMD. I had the fortune of meeting and working with Marini in Mexico in the mid-1970s, before his return to Brazil. 

TMD offers no concessions to the local ruling classes, holding them responsible for the prevailing conditions in which they manage to reap enormous profits in collusion with international capitals, despite [international] value transfers. For this reason, it was hard for these theorists to find spaces for their knowledge in the academic world.

The 1973 military coup in Chile meant that the principal creators of TMD appeared on the search lists of the military forces and their intelligence apparatus. And this coup in Chile, which was preceded by the coup in Brazil in 1964, was followed by many more in the Southern part of the continent, which dispersed and disbanded working groups and closed important spaces in those societies. 

At the same time, this long counterrevolutionary phase, which was not limited to military governments, favored sweeping transformations in the social sciences, where neoliberal theories and methodological individualism came to reign supreme. TMD emerged in an exceptional period of recent history. However, subsequently and in general—saving certain moments and countries in the region—ideal conditions for its development and dissemination have not existed.


In his classic work, The Dialectics of Dependency, Marini defines dependency as a “relation of subordination between formally independent nations, in whose framework the relations of production of the subordinate nation are modified or recreated in order to ensure the expanded production of dependency.” What are the mechanisms of this expanded production, and how have they changed since Marini formulated his proposal in the 1970s?

When we talk about the processes generated by dependent capitalism, the “dependent” qualifier isn’t redundant. We’re talking about another way of being capitalist. That is to say that in the world system, diverse forms of capitalism coexist and are integrated, and they feed off each other and deepen their particular forms within the global unity of capital. 

The heterogeneity of the system can be explained, then, not by the backwardness of some economies, not as prior states [of development], not as deficiencies.  Each constitutes its full, mature form of capitalism possible in this system. 

In this way, with the stroke of a pen, TMD destroyed the hopes of the developmentalists, who supposed that the dependent economies could achieve higher states of welfare and development within this order constituted by capital. For them, it was just a matter of taking advantage of windows that regularly open. There is nothing in the prevailing dynamic to suggest that things are moving in that direction. To the contrary, what is produced and continues to emerge is the “development of underdevelopment,” so long as capitalist social relations prevail. 

The gap between underdeveloped and developed capitalism, or between imperialist and dependent capitalism is ever widening. Dependency deepens and more acute modalities are generated. In a world in which digital capitalism is gaining ground—the internet of things, artificial intelligence, robotics, as an example—this isn’t hard to understand. 

Experiences like that of South Korea can’t be repeated at will. They are, instead, exceptions to the rule. Why did the IMF cut off and suffocate the Argentine economy and not extend its hand like imperialist capital did for South Korea after the 1952 war on the peninsula? It was the latter’s exceptional position in a strategic space, which was disrupted by the triumph of Mao’s revolution in China and the need to construct a barrier to prevent the expansion of socialism in Korea, that turned on the faucet of enormous resources, at least for Japan and the United States, and put blinders on those defenders of democracy and the free market when South Korea was governed by a succession of military dictatorships that ferociously applied state intervention, not the free market, to define plans and programs to define priorities for investment and loans. 

Today, all a government in the dependent world has to do is establish some rules for foreign capital, and the whole clamor and propaganda of transnational media demand that communism be stopped, impeding international loans, blocking access to markets, and seeking to suffocate those alleged subversives. 


The concept of superexploitation as a mechanism by which dependent capitalists compensate for their subordinate insertion in the international division of labor is perhaps Marini’s most original and polemic proposal. Some Marxists, for example, protest the possibility of the systematic violation of the law of value. This is a theme that you take up in your debate with the Argentinian researcher Claudio Katz. How do you define superexploitation, and why, or in what terms, do you defend its validity today?

With Marini’s short book, The Dialectics of Dependency, whose central body was written in 1972 and would be published in 1973, TMD reaches its point of greatest maturity. We can synthesize the nucleus of Marini’s thesis in the question: How is the reproduction of a capitalism that regularly transfers value to imperialist economies possible?

It’s possible because in dependent capitalism, a particular form of exploitation is imposed which means that capital isn’t just appropriating surplus value, but also part of workers’ consumption fund, which ought to correspond to their salaries, in order to transfer it to their accumulation fund. That’s what the category of superexploitation accounts for. If all capital eventually ends up being unpaid labor, in dependent capitalism, all capital is unpaid labor and the appropriated life fund [of the working class].

Marini’s response is theoretically and politically brilliant, because it allows us to explain the reasons for the multiplication of misery and the devastation of the workers in the dependent world, but also the reasons for which capital is unable to establish stable forms of domination in these regions, regularly expelling huge contingents of workers from its civilizational promises, thrusting them into barbarism and converting them into contingents that resist, revolt, and rise up against the projects of the powerful. 

Superexploitation has consequences at all levels of Latin American societies. For now, we can emphasize that it accompanies the formation of economies oriented to foreign markets. Following the processes of independence in the nineteenth century, and under the guidance of local capitals, the region’s economies advanced on the basis of exports, initially of primary materials and foodstuffs, to which we can add, recently, the production and assembly of luxury industrial goods like cars, televisions, state-of-the-art cell phones—products equally distant from the general consumption needs of most of the working population. This is compatible with the dominant modality of exploitation, which seriously impacts salaries, reducing workers’ consumption power and reducing their participation in the formation of a dynamic internal market. 

It’s relevant here to consider a significant difference with capitalism in the developed world. There, as capitalism advanced in the nineteenth century, it faced the dilemma that in order to keep expanding, which implied the multiplication of the mass of goods and products, it would need to incorporate workers into consumption. That was achieved by paying salaries with the purchasing power for basic goods such as clothing, shoes, utensils, and home furnishings. This balance was accomplished by introducing improved production techniques, which reduced the pressure to extend the working day by multiplying the mass of products thrown into the market. From there, we can understand the weight of relative surplus value in developed capitalism. 

But in Latin America, things worked differently. Nineteenth-century capitalism didn’t see the need to create markets, because they had been available since the colonial period in the imperialist centers. In addition, English capitalism’s takeoff increased the demand for primary materials and foodstuffs. For this reason, there wasn’t any hurry to change the kind of use values and products put on the market. They continued to be foodstuffs and primary goods. In this way, the emergent capitalism in our region was under no pressure to do something qualitatively different. The mass of salaried laborers expanded, but they don’t comprise the principal demand for the goods being produced, which was in Europe, the United States, and Asia.  

Through their insertion in the world market and when it comes time to sell products, Latin American economies transfer value [abroad] for the simple reason that the capitals that operate here have lower compositions and productivities than the capitals in economies that spend more on new machinery, equipment, and technology, allowing them greater productivity and the ability to appropriate value created in other parts of the world. This process is called unequal exchange. 

It's important to note that unequal exchange occurs in the market, at the moment of the purchase and sale of commodities. Apart from their low organic composition, this concept doesn’t tell us much about how these commodities were produced, and above all, what allows for a capitalist process to be reproduced over time in such conditions. That’s where super-exploitation comes in. 

That is the secret that makes dependent capitalism viable. And this calls all the more attention to the errors of people like Claudio Katz, who have formulated proposals that try to eliminate this concept and do so, furthermore, with grotesque arguments, like that Marx never mentioned it in Capital – he refers to [superexploitaiton] many times, in a variety of ways – because that would imply a dilution or a direct attack on his theoretical proposition since capitalism can’t annihilate its workforce. 

I’m not going to repeat those debates with Katz. I will simply reiterate that Marx’s Capital is a book that is central to the study of capitalism and its contradictions. But no one can claim that it accounts for everything, or that capitalism, in its spread over time, can’t exhibit theoretical or historical novelties of any kind. That is a religious reading, but Capital is not a sacred text. Such a position, furthermore, is an attack on a central dimension of Marxism as a theory able to explain not only what has existed, but also that which is new. For this reason, the only orthodoxy Marxism can claim is its mode of reflection.


It's also argued that the spread of superexploitation to the central economies following globalized neoliberal restructuring invalidates its character as a process unique to dependent capitalism. 

Superexploitation can be present anywhere that capital operates, be that in the developed or underdeveloped world, just like forms of relative surplus value and absolute surplus value. Of course, there is superexploitation in Brazil and Guatemala, just as there is in Germany and South Korea. 

But that’s not the problem. What’s relevant is to elucidate the weight of these forms of exploitation, which can be present in any capitalist space, in capital’s reproduction. So the central issue is different, and so are the economic, social, and political consequences. 

Setting aside periods of crisis, when the most brutal forms of exploitation can be exacerbated everywhere, can capitalism operate in the medium and long term without a market that generates salaries, or with extremely low salaries? Something like if, in Germany, the average salary of the Armenians and Turks was generalized for the entire working population, or if the salaries of Mexican and Central American workers in the United States were predominant there. I don’t think so. 


Finally, what tools or perspectives does Marxist dependency theory offer us in the face of today’s crises?

In its eagerness to deal with the acute and prolonged capitalist crisis, capital in every region seeks to accentuate forms of exploitation, including superexploitation. It seeks, once again, to reduce rights and benefits. With the war in Ukraine, it has found a good excuse to justify the increase in the price of food, housing, and energy, and its shameless return to the use of fuels that intensify pollution and environmental barbarism, as well as the increase in military budgets at the expense of wages and jobs. 

The great imperial powers expect the subordination of economies and states to their decisions in periods of this sort. But the current crisis is also accelerating the crisis of hegemony in the world system, which opens spaces for greater degrees of autonomy—which does not put an end to dependency. This is evident in Washington’s difficulties with disciplining the Latin American and African states to support their position in the conflict in Europe. 

The scenario in Latin America over the last few decades reveals processes of enormous interest. We have witnessed significant popular mobilization in almost every country in the region, questioning various aspects of the neoliberal tsunami, be it jobs, salaries, retirements, healthcare and education, as well as rights like abortion, recognition of gender identities, lands, water, and much more. 

On this deeply fractured terrain that capital generates in the dependent world, class disputes tend to intensify. This explains the regular social and political outbursts in our societies. It’s the result of the barbarity that capitalism imposes on regions like ours. 

One expression of this social force is manifested in the electoral terrain. But just as quickly as there have been victories, there have been defeats. These comings and goings can be naturalized, but why haven’t the victories allowed for lasting processes of change? 

Of course, this is not to deny that there have been violent coups of a new sort that have managed to unseat governments. But even then, there were already signs of exhaustion that limited the protests, with the clear exception of Bolivia. There is an enormous gap between the leftist voter and the person who occasionally votes for left projects. The neoliberal triumph was not only in the economic policies and transformations it achieved, but also in its installment of a vision and interpretation of the world, its problems, and its solutions.

The struggle against neoliberalism today involves dismantling privatization of every kind and putting a stop to the conversion of social services and policies into private businesses. That means taking on the most economic and politically powerful sectors of capital, with control over state institutions where legislators, judges, and military members operate, together with the main media, schools, and churches. We can add that these are the sectors of capital with the strongest ties to imperialist capitals and their assemblage of supranational institutions, media, and states. 

It's a powerful social bloc. It’s hard to think about attacking it without having to attack capitalism itself.  




Chile: ensaio sobre uma derrota histórica

18 Nov 2022, 23:43 – Latin American Perspectives

 

Por Joana Salém Vasconcelos, editora do LAP1

Publicado em Revista Rosa, Vol. 6, No. 1 Septembro 2022. 



“Me inquieta o final desta luta: quem serão os ganhadores e quem serão os perdedores?”
— Patricio Guzman, Mi país imaginário (documentário)

No dia 4 de setembro de 1970, o povo chileno foi às urnas para eleger Salvador Allende presidente da República. A vitória do socialista foi apertada, mas ainda assim referendada pelo Congresso, apesar das tentativas de golpe que já rondavam. Mil dias depois da sua posse, numa terça-feira, 11 de setembro de 1973, o presidente Allende despertou apreensivo com os rumores de traição militar, mas ainda assim determinado a um objetivo: anunciar um plebiscito popular sobre a necessidade de uma Nova Constituição, que superasse os limites da carta vigente desde 1925. Esta, por sua vez, havia sido escrita por uma cúpula de supostos “especialistas” no governo de Arturo Alessandri, latifundiário conhecido como “el León de Tarapacá”. A velha Constituição bloqueava o programa revolucionário da Unidade Popular, ao assegurar os privilégios e poderes da classe proprietária. E Allende era, como se sabe, um sério respeitador das leis.


Foi para evitar que Allende convocasse o plebiscito popular para uma Nova Constituição (análogo ao que os chilenos de hoje chamaram de “plebiscito de entrada”) que os comandantes militares anteciparam o golpe de 1973, ordenando o bombardeio ao Palácio de La Moneda dois dias antes do planejado. Foram informados das intenções presidenciais por Pinochet, chefe das Forças Armadas para quem, no domingo anterior, Allende havia confidenciado o anúncio do plebiscito em uma conversa privada na chácara de El Cañaveral.2


O plebiscito da Nova Constituição nunca foi anunciado. Allende morreu, a Unidade Popular foi massacrada. E a ideia allendista de um itinerário popular constituinte foi soterrada pela repressão. A isso seguiu-se a ditadura com quase 4 mil chilenos mortos e desaparecidos, com 38 mil presos e torturados e também com a constituição de 1980, escrita por Jaime Guzmán, Sérgio de Castro e outros homens da elite ditatorial. A carta teve a habilidade de projetar o “pinochetismo sem Pinochet”, fundando o Estado subsidiário e sua blindagem neoliberal que, por sua vez, foi perpetuada pelo pacto transicional de 1989, avançando por 30 anos de democracia. As décadas de 2000 e 2010 foram de crescente luta social contra a constituição pinochetista - culminando com a revolta de 2019 e o tardio colapso total da sua legitimidade.


Retomar esse percurso é importante para que se possa dimensionar o impacto histórico e simbólico do plebiscito de saída da Nova Constituição chilena ocorrido em 4 de setembro de 2022, cuja ampla escolha pelo rechazo ainda causa perplexidade e tristeza no movimento apruebista. Era enorme a carga de simbolismo histórico presente nesse plebiscito, a começar pela sua data: o atual itinerário constituinte estava desenhado para exorcizar Pinochet no aniversário de 52 anos do triunfo eleitoral de Allende. 


Se supunha que a Nova Constituição (NC), escrita de junho de 2021 a junho de 2022, era a mais genuína representação dos anseios populares, a primeira a escutar verdadeiramente as profundas demandas sociais desde o bombardeio de 11 de setembro. Mas não era. Dessa vez não foi um golpe militar que derrotou o horizonte de igualdade, diversidade, solidariedade e justiça plasmadas na nova carta, mas sim o próprio voto popular, em um enredo que, por isso mesmo, ganhou ares trágicos. Afinal, foi justamente aquele povo excluído e esquecido, invisibilizado e maltratado pelo Estado/mercado, o povo que a Convenção Constitucional acreditava representar de maneira profunda e inédita, que manifestou seu desagravo e gerou uma crise de legitimidade dos mecanismos democráticos mais inovadores do nosso continente. 


Como explicar a crise de representatividade do organismo supostamente mais representativo da história chilena?


Voto popular contra a Nova Constituição por classe e território


A Nova Constituição chilena foi escrita por uma Convenção Constitucional (CC) eleita em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhões de eleitores (41% de participação). De maneira inédita, a CC foi composta por 50% de mulheres (lei 21.216)3 e 11% de povos indígenas (lei 21.298)4, e elegeu 32% de convencionales independentes,5 sendo considerada um organismo da mais alta representatividade popular. Apesar do polêmico quórum de ⅔ para aprovação das normas constitucionais e da tensão constante entre movimentos populares e instituições, a crítica avassaladora que a revolta de 2019 produziu às classes políticas tradicionais se materializou em um organismo constitucional com rostos novos, formado por dezenas de “pessoas comuns”, ativistas e lideranças populares. A CC mostrou a possibilidade de alteração rápida e radical da casta política, ao ser muito diversa do congresso nacional e dos profissionais de partidos que comandaram o “duopólio” das três décadas de democracia no Chile. 


O resultado foi um texto constitucional atrelado às lutas dos movimentos sociais e aos valores da solidariedade social opostos ao neoliberalismo, um dos documentos mais avançados em direitos sociais e promoção da diversidade dos nossos tempos. 


Em poucas palavras, eu diria que cinco eixos caracterizavam a Nova Constituição chilena como uma das mais progressistas do mundo: 

  1. A plurinacionalidade intercultural, a representatividade política e o direito à autodeterminação dos povos indígenas, preservando-se a unidade do Estado chileno, conceito inspirado pelo novo constitucionalismo latino-americano inaugurado por Equador (2007) e Bolívia (2009); 

  2. Os direitos da natureza e os freios à sua mercantilização, recuperando por exemplo o direito universal de acesso à água e suplantando o Código de Águas da ditadura, sendo a primeira constituição do mundo a reconhecer a crise climática como emergência global e nacional; 

  3. Os direitos sociais de caráter universal, como a educação gratuita, a saúde pública integral, a aposentadoria solidária, pública e tripartite, a moradia e o trabalho dignos (incluindo o direito universal à greve inexistente hoje), bem como o direito à cultura, ao esporte, a ciência e ao tempo livre; 

  4. Os direitos reprodutivos, econômicos e políticos das mulheres em sentido transversal, assegurando reconhecimento da economia do cuidado e do trabalho doméstico, o combate à violência de gênero e a paridade em todos os organismos oficiais, bem como uma perspectiva feminista no sistema de justiça e uma educação não sexista; 

  5. A descentralização do Estado como forma de aprofundar a democracia, garantindo maior orçamento e atribuições às comunas, províncias e regiões, bem como criando organismos de poder popular vinculantes na formulação de políticas públicas locais e nacionais.


Apesar da NC responder à maioria das demandas populares levantadas na revolta de 2019 e nas mobilizações das décadas anteriores, algo na Convenção Constitucional falhou para que o resultado desse grande esforço tenha sido tão amplamente derrotado. Se por um lado foi evidente o peso das fake news e o volumoso aporte financeiro das elites chilenas na campanha do Rechazo, que recebeu quatro vezes mais dinheiro que a campanha do Apruebo,6 também é importante reconhecer que havia pontos cegos e fraturas na comunicação entre representantes constituintes e as maiorias chilenas. Do contrário, a campanha de desinformação das direitas contra a nova carta não encontraria terreno tão fértil para se disseminar e prosperar. 


Chegou-se ao seguinte paradoxo: o voto popular matou o projeto político mais democrático da história do Chile. O mesmo voto popular que desbancou as elites políticas tradicionais, rejeitou o suposto “amadorismo” dos convencionales, e com isso entregou o bastão da condução política constituinte novamente para o congresso. 


O voto obrigatório no plebiscito de saída foi certamente um dos principais fatores para essa guinada. Diferentemente do plebiscito de entrada em outubro de 2020, com voto facultativo de 7,5 milhões de chilenos (50% de participação); da eleição dos convencionales em maio de 2021, com voto facultativo de 6,1 milhões de chilenos (41%); e do 2o turno das eleições presidenciais que deram vitória à coligação “Apruebo Dignidad” com voto facultativo de 8,3 milhões de chilenos (55,7%), o plebiscito de saída teve voto obrigatório com multa de 180 mil pesos (aproximadamente mil reais) para quem não comparecesse às urnas. A obrigatoriedade punitiva do voto com essa altíssima multa, em um contexto de desemprego, inflação e carestia, deu origem a uma mudança de perfil do eleitor que escapou à percepção dos apruebistas. Além de inédita, a participação de 13 milhões de chilenos (86%) no plebiscito de saída forçou a manifestação de mais de 5 milhões de absenteístas históricos, possivelmente o setor menos interessado em política da sociedade e os mais ausentes nas eleições da última década. Não é nada desprezível o fato de que o plebiscito de saída tenha contado com mais que o dobro (216%) do total de votantes das eleições para os representantes convencionales.


Este é um dos elementos explicativos mais importantes de tamanha quebra de expectativas e da guinada política entre eleições tão próximas. A NC foi rechaçada por 7,8 milhões de chilenos (61,8%) contra 4,8 milhões de apruebistas (38,1%). Os votos contrários de Rechazo no plebiscito, sozinhos, somaram mais do que o total de votantes no pleito que elegeu os convencionales. Em números absolutos, o quórum de 4 de setembro de 2022 foi o maior de toda a história chilena. 


Tais números absolutos devem nos conduzir a uma análise dos votos por classes sociais e territórios, como alertou o historiador Sérgio Grez.7 Ao segmentar o total de comunas em quatro estratos de renda, o quintil que reúne as comunas mais pobres do país apresentou uma média de 75% rechazo, expressivamente maior que o resultado nacional. As comunas com renda média-baixa rechaçaram o texto em 71%; as média-altas o rechaçaram em 64%; e o quintil de maior renda o rechaçou em 60%. Quanto mais pobres as comunas, mais avassalador foi o rechaço. 


Em Colchane, por exemplo, a comuna de Tarapacá com mais altos índices de pobreza (24%)8 e que enfrentou a fase mais aguda da crise migratória do Norte, o rechaço obteve 94%. Ao mesmo tempo, províncias com maiores índices de população indígena também demonstraram altos níveis de rechaço, ao contrário do que se poderia imaginar. Foram as regiões de fronteira indígena - Ñuble (74%), Araucanía (73%), Maule (71%) e Biobio (69%)9 - que obtiveram os maiores níveis de rechaço em comparação à média nacional. Já as regiões com maior aceitação da NC - a Região Metropolitana (RM) e Valparaíso -, ainda assim experimentaram a derrota do texto, com respectivamente 55% e 57% de rechazo. Em termos nacionais, o Apruebo só obteve maioria em 8 de 346 comunas do país, sendo 5 em Valparaíso e 3 na RM.10 Entre elas, não está a comuna de Recoleta, na RM, governada desde 2012 pelo prefeito comunista Daniel Jadue, principal rival de Boric na coligação Apruebo Dignidad. A Recoleta foi palco de experimentos importantes do PC governo, como a universidade popular, as livrarias populares e as farmácias populares, reunindo habitantes  santiaguinos simpáticos à esquerda e entusiastas de Jadue. Seus votos do plebiscito, porém, resultaram em inexplicáveis 51,9% pelo Rechazo.


Além disso, como alertou Igor Donoso, nas comunas que “os ambientalistas denominaram zonas de sacrifício”11 por vivenciarem atividades de extrativismo e conflito socioambiental, o rechaço foi amplamente vitorioso, a despeito das diretrizes ecológicas da NC que asseguravam os direitos das populações dos territórios de mineração, pesca industrial, monoculturas florestais e outras atividades predatórias. Nestas “zonas de sacrifício”, Donoso menciona o triunfo do rechazo em La Ligua (58,93%), Quintero (58,11%), Los Vilos (56,93%), Puchuncaví (56,11%), Petorca (56,11%), Villa Alemana (57,82%) e Freirina (55,54%). Nas cidades mineiras afetadas pelo extrativismo e suas contaminações, o rechaço também venceu amplamente, como em Calama (70,64%) e Rancagua (60,63%).


Emblemática dessa contradição territorial foi a comuna de Petorca, cenário de uma aguerrida luta popular pelo acesso à água na última década. Ali, a desertificação prejudica os pequenos agricultores e a população em geral, que dependem de caminhões-pipa para obter a água necessária à sobrevivência e à produção de alimentos, enquanto grandes empresas monocultoras detém direitos de propriedade sobre a água inclusive das propriedades camponesas, uma vez que o Código de Águas de 1981 permitiu a bizarra desassociação dos mercados da terra e da água.12 A eleição de Rodrigo Mundaca, líder do Movimento pela Defesa do Acesso à Água, Terra e Proteção Ambiental (MODATIMA), a governador da região de Valparaíso em maio de 2021 indicava uma consistente orientação popular pela agenda ecológica e contra a privatização da água, princípios destacados da NC. No entanto, Petorca derrotou o novo texto com 56% de rechazo,13 o que fez Mundaca declarar: “sinto a incerteza de não reconhecer o lugar que habito (...). Parece bastante irracional a votação sustentada por esta comuna”. 14



Pontos cegos da política constituinte: causas do rechazo popular



Segundo pesquisa realizada pelo CIPER15 na semana seguinte ao plebiscito, com entrevista a 120 pessoas de 12 comunas com maiorias trabalhadoras, as principais razões do voto popular pelo rechazo foram, nesta ordem:


  1. O Estado se apropriaria das casas das pessoas

  2. Os fundos de pensão não seriam herdáveis

  3. O país seria dividido

  4. O governo merece críticas (voto castigo)

  5. Contrários ao aborto

 

A pesquisa CADEM feita na mesma semana,16 questionou 1.135 pessoas com a pergunta “qual foi a principal razão pela qual você votou rechazo?” e obteve como resultado o gráfico abaixo. Foram 40% de entrevistados que atribuíram seu voto a um processo constituinte “muy malo”, que despertou “desconfiança”; 35% de menções críticas à plurinacionalidade (um dos mais intensos focos de fake news); 29% de desaprovação do governo Boric; 24% de críticas à instabilidade e insegurança política e econômica; 13% contrários à suposta proibição de saúde e educação privadas (fake); 13% de referências a um “mal camino” do país associado à delinquência e ao conflito mapuche; 12% de menções contrárias a uma nova constituição e em defesa da reforma da carta da ditadura; e 8% de referências contrárias ao aborto e às mudanças do sistema político. 


Gráfico 1 - Razões para votar rechazo (CADEM)




As principais fake news que abalaram o voto apruebista se relacionavam à ameaça contra a chilenidade: se disseminou que a plurinacionalidade era o fim da bandeira e do hino, que o Chile iria mudar de nome, que imigrantes venezuelanos e povos indígenas tomariam o poder e se tornariam cidadãos privilegiados, sem punibilidade pela justiça, e que os chilenos não poderiam mais circular livremente pelo seu próprio território (usando como pretexto o desastrado episódio da ex ministra do Interior, Iskia Siches, impedida de realizar uma reunião em Temucuicui, Araucanía, bloqueada por uma barricada mapuche na primeira quinzena de governo Boric). Também os direitos reprodutivos, a constitucionalização do direito ao aborto e o direito à diversidade sexual ocuparam um lugar de destaque nas fake news, embora a pesquisa CADEM indique que este não tenha sido o ponto mais crítico impulsionador do rechazo


Além dos conglomerados midiáticos tradicionais da direita e extrema direita, dezenas de contas de Facebook, Youtube e Instagram não declaradas ao Servel propagaram, durante meses, uma série de mentiras sobre a NC, se aproveitando do sentimento de insegurança e instabilidade dos mais pobres, em função da crise econômica, do trauma da pandemia e do flagrante aumento da criminalidade. Medo da violência, racismo, xenofobia foram dispositivos conservadores mobilizados em massa, mas que não teriam obtido sucesso se tais sentimentos não existissem no terreno da experiência social e das ideologias populares, como diagnosticou Jorge Magasich.17 Afinal, fake news não se propaga no vácuo.


A opinião de que o processo constituinte foi “mal feito”, de que a Constituição não era uma obra tecnicamente viável e que a CC foi marcada por escrachos, anarquia e confusão é particularmente importante para um país que havia acabado de “demitir” sua classe política e convocar “pessoas comuns” para o centro da elaboração constituinte. Há um paradoxo de difícil interpretação no fato de que a revolta de 2019 consolidou a crítica popular ao duopólio, às instituições tradicionais e aos profissionais dos partidos, mas que somente três anos depois o plebiscito de saída tenha desmoralizado os legítimos representantes do chileno comum, do lado de fora dos acordões e diretamente do chão das ruas. Com isso, o plebiscito de saída devolveu a bola para as mesmas instituições de sempre, que o estallido social havia deslegitimado e declarado incapazes de governar. 


A ideia de uma Convenção amadora e caótica, que errou mais do que acertou, terminou sendo reiterada por declarações como de Marcos Arellano, convencional independente da Coordinadora Plurinacional, que pediu desculpas, em nome da CC: “é de exclusiva responsabilidade da Convenção como órgão”, declarou sobre o triunfo do rechazo: “vários convencionales tiveram condutas de soberba. Houve falta de solenidade em alguns casos, uma série de performances que afetaram a credibilidade do órgão”.18 Arellano também expressou uma autocrítica sobre o uso excessivo das horas de trabalho dos convencionales das portas da CC para dentro, com evidente descaso e descuido com o trabalho de comunicação política de massas e experiência de base nas periferias em defesa do novo texto. É fato inegável que os debates sobre justiça social, paridade e plurinacionalidade dos convencionales aconteceram em termos que alguns consideraram “acadêmicos” ou “pos-modernos”, distantes da realidade vivida pelo povo chileno e de suas subjetividades políticas. Essa fratura é trágica, porque a CC se legitimou como organismo mais popular, representativo e democrático da história do Chile, mas terminou sendo desmoralizada pelo povo que alegava representar. 


Talvez a vitória retumbante de 78% pelo Apruebo no plebiscito de entrada tenha distorcido a percepção política sobre o plebiscito de saída, subestimando sua dificuldade. O plebiscito de saída não era nenhum passeio. Não era uma vitória a mais na coleção de triunfos da esquerda pós-estallido, mas sim outra montanha a ser escalada, dentro de uma correlação de forças móvel, que afinal ofereceu 3,75 milhões de votos à extrema direita com José Antônio Kast em dezembro de 2021. A CN não estava ganha apenas pelos significados de justiça e solidariedade mobilizados pelo seu texto em si mesmo. Ainda mais considerando o fator voto obrigatório e o ponto cego dos 5 milhões de absenteístas agora convertidos em votantes, que sequer se interessaram pelos pleitos anteriores. Era preciso escrever a NC e ao mesmo tempo lutar pela sua comunicação popular nas poblaciones.


Por outro lado, questionar a capacidade técnica e a seriedade de um organismo com independentes, mulheres, indígenas e líderes populares parece ser uma forma trágica de cair na armadilha das campanhas de deslegitimação arquitetadas pelas direitas (pinochetista e centrista), que buscaram a todo tempo desmoralizar um organismo que permaneceu fora do seu tradicional controle político. Se levarmos em conta os relatos insuspeitos de uma brasileira, a constitucionalista Ester Rizzi, que esteve dentro da Convenção em fevereiro, os trabalhos estavam eficientes, técnicos, organizados e com assessoria de inúmeros profissionais competentes emprestados pelas universidades, em um processo constitucional com parcos recursos financeiros e pouco investimento público.19 Nesse sentido, a qualidade da NC foi quase um milagre, fruto de um esforço coletivo e técnico fenomenal em condições das mais adversas, que merece aplausos aos convencionales.


Entre as possibilidades não aproveitadas pela CC estavam os plebiscitos intermediários, que inicialmente visavam contornar o bloqueio dos ⅔ de quórum pelo voto popular e superar a impossibilidade de amplos consensos entre convencionales recorrendo às maiorias simples do povo. Talvez a impressionante vitória das esquerdas na eleição da CC em maio de 2021 tenha sido, no médio prazo, uma vitória de Pirro, ao gerar um excesso de confiança no procedimento interno do órgão, enfraquecendo a comunicação necessária com as maiorias sociais e descartando os plebiscitos intermediários em função dos consensos progressistas dos ⅔ de esquerda e centro-esquerda obtidos no caminho. Assim, a CC se fechou em si mesma e se distanciou do processo mobilizador que a tornou possível. 




Terceiro Turno, derrota de Boric e o novo gabinete 



A coligação de Boric, Apruebo Dignidad, carregava no seu nome a opção governista pela NC. Embora tenha se engajado na campanha tardia e timidamente, constrangido pelas imposições da Fiscalía que proibia a campanha oficialista para qualquer um dos lados, Boric utilizou a ideia de que a máxima participação no plebiscito seria em si mesmo um triunfo da democracia. Será mesmo?


Entre as causas mais relevantes do rechazo está a evidência de que o plebiscito representou o terceiro turno das eleições presidenciais. A má avaliação do governo, por sua incapacidade de apresentar soluções compreensíveis aos problemas do país e melhorias rápidas da vida popular, somadas as contradições entre o comportamento de Boric antes e depois de se tornar presidente (sendo a posição contrária ao “quinto retiro” dos fundos de pensão o exemplo mais escancarado), fez cair a popularidade do presidente numa velocidade preocupante. Entre março e setembro de 2022, a aprovação do governo Boric caiu de 50% para 33%, enquanto a reprovação subiu de 20% a 60%. Não por acaso, a reprovação corresponde à votação no Rechazo, como mostra o gráfico abaixo.



Gráfico 2 - Aprovação do presidente Gabriel Boric, mar-set/2022 (CADEM)



Em termos numéricos, o voto Apruebo correspondeu de maneira quase exata ao voto em Boric no segundo turno (ganhando apenas 200 mil novos apoiadores, de 4,6 milhões nas eleições a 4,8 milhões no plebiscito).20 Territorialmente, a votação do Apruebo foi quase idêntica à de Boric. Na RM, por exemplo, Boric teve 2,1 milhões e o Apruebo 2,2 milhões. Em Valparaíso, 545 mil votos em Boric e 583 mil no Apruebo. Na região de O’Higgins, respectivamente 252 mil e 244 mil. As diferenças entre os votos do Boric e do Apruebo foi tão pequena que se conclui que os quase 5 milhões de novos votantes no plebiscito de saída se direcionaram quase integralmente para o rechazo


A incapacidade do Apruebo de ganhar votos entre o segundo turno presidencial (dezembro de 2021) e o plebiscito (setembro de 2022) diz muito sobre as dificuldades de dois setores das esquerdas em transferir suas agendas de mudança do plano da utopia e da imaginação política para a vida concreta das maiorias mais desinteressadas do país. Tanto a esquerda centrista do governo com seu modus operandi continuista e até repressor de movimentos sociais, como as esquerdas de horizontes mais rupturistas que atuaram na CC (chamadas por Boric de maximalistas), por motivos diferentes, não conseguiram atingir o objetivo mais crucial de toda sua luta: superar o a Constituição pinochetista/neoliberal e abrir caminho constitucional para um Estado de bem estar social, com justiça distributiva e direitos assegurados. 


De tudo isso, se apreendeu que a relação entre as multidões mobilizadas no estallido (que encheram avenidas com milhões e demonstraram uma convicção impressionante) e as multidões silenciosas, absenteístas e invisibilizadas (que estiveram em casa nos últimos dez anos de eleições) é profundamente contraditória e muito mais complexa e tensa do que os apruebistas supunham. As classes trabalhadoras são heterogêneas e nem sempre se entendem.


A mudança de gabinete de Boric mostrou que das duas coligações que compõe o governo - Apruebo Dignidad e Socialismo Democrático - a segunda saiu ganhando. A nova ministra do interior, Carolina Tohá (filha do ministro do interior de Allende, José Tohá) foi Secretária Geral da Presidência (Segpres) de Bachelet, entrou no lugar da polêmica Iskia Siches, que teve sua reputação derretida em cinco meses de governo, erros vergonhosos e excessivos pedidos de desculpas. A nova Segpres, que substituiu Giorgio Jackson (o engenheiro da Frente Ampla), é Ana Lya Uriarte, que foi chefa de gabinete de Bachelet. Enquanto Siches foi demitida, Jackson, que não poderia ficar fora do governo por sua enorme relevância na trajetória de Boric da FECH à presidência, foi deslocado para o ministério do desenvolvimento social.


O governo Boric, dessa forma, aumentou o número de mulheres em seu comitê político tanto quanto de bacheletistas, se transformando em uma espécie de governo Bachelet 3.


Buscando atenuar e naturalizar sua derrota, Boric discursou no 4 de setembro: “no Chile as instituições funcionam (…), a democracia chilena sai mais robusta”.21 Também apontou para mais um passo em direção à moderação, dizendo que “o maximalismo, a violência e a intolerância com que pensa diferente devem ficar definitivamente de lado”, como se algum tipo de radicalismo  tivesse dado o tom da CC, o que não é verdade. Afirmou ainda que “é preciso escutar a voz do povo, não só este dia, mas sim de tudo o que aconteceu nestes últimos anos intensos”. E arrematou: “Não esqueçamos porque chegamos até aqui. Este mal estar segue latente e não podemos ignorá-lo”. 


No mesmo tom de relativização da derrota, a ministra vocera Camila Vallejo, cujo cargo é o equilíbrio tênue que segura o Partido Comunista em uma coligação cada vez mais inconveniente, afirmou: “o compromisso do governo de impulsionar seu programa está intacto (…). Não esqueçamos porque estamos aqui. O que nos levou a ser governo foram anos e décadas demandando maior justiça social, aposentadoria digna, saúde digna, o direito à educação. Temos um mandato a cumprir. (…) Estes desafios estão em pleno trâmite”.22 Resta saber, ainda, como seria possível cumprir o programa de Boric sem a NC. A verdade inconveniente é a adequação deste programa à velha ordem (Bachelet 3).



Limbo constitucional e novo itinerário 


Até mesmo os politicos da direita tradicional, comemorando o resultado na sede do comando do Rechazo, afirmaram que a constituição de 1980 está morta. Sua campanha esteve baseada em escrever uma “NC melhor”, “uma que nos una”, mais nacional e unitária, que não “dívida o país”, apelando à falsa compreensão do plurinacional como antagônico ao nacional. 


É certo que haverá um novo itinerário constituinte, mas não se sabe ainda quanto da Constituição de 1980 será contrabandeada para dentro do novo processo. Fez parte dos acordos pós-estallido a ideia de uma NC a partir de uma folha em branco, contrária a reformar mais uma vez o texto de Pinochet. Agora, como disse Boric e sua nova ministra Uriarte, o protagonismo será do congresso, o que contraria todo esforço da revolta de 2019 até aqui. 


 Ainda havia a possibilidade de diferentes modalidades de golpe contra o resultado do plebiscito de entrada, que apontou inequivocamente para uma nova constituição e para uma convenção eleita para este fim, rejeitando que o congresso redigisse o novo texto para envernizar o velho. No dia 12 de setembro, uma reunião entre lideranças dos partidos no Parlamento definiu que haverá sim um “organismo eleito”, possivelmente formado nos próximos meses, e acompanhado de um “comitê de expertos”,23 o que significa o triunfo do neoliberalismo pela tecnocracia. 


Ganha a interpretação de que a NC foi rechaçada por ser amadora, enquanto a nova carta deverá ser controlada por saberes tecnocráticos obviamente vinculados ao mercado e suas normativas típicas. A questão é que se já era difícil combater o neoliberalismo com uma nova constituição (cuja aplicação seria desafiadora e dependeria da luta constante dos movimentos sociais), se tornou frustrante e falsificador combatê-lo submetido a uma tutela tecnocrática que emanará da racionalidade neoliberal. 


Mas a luta não terminou. Segundo a declaração dos movimentos sociais após a derrota, “o aprendizado que construímos será fundamental, porque os movimentos sociais já não somos o que éramos antes de escrever esta Constituição. Neste processo o povo aprendeu a auto representar-se, isso não é algo dado, depois de décadas de exclusão dos setores populares da vida política, poder representar a nós mesmas é um trabalho do qual não iremos renunciar”.25


O Rechazo foi um bombardeio às avessas, quase tão inimaginável quanto o do dia 11. O Palácio de La Moneda não foi avariado física, mas politicamente. Dessa vez não de cima pela Força Aérea, mas “desde abajo” pela vontade popular, em um estranho paradoxo democrático. 


Para atravessar tempos de derrota histórica, os mapuche usam a palavra “marichiweu”, que significa “nunca vão nos vencer”, explica Elisa Loncón, a linguista indígena que presidiu a primeira metade da CC.25 


Nos triênios de 1970-1973 e de 2019-2022, o Chile mostrou sua capacidade de entusiasmar a América Latina com criatividade política e projetos utópicos, que inspiram e iluminam povos vizinhos como miragens magnetizantes. Suas derrotas doem, porque também costumam ser nossas.


Notas:

1. Doutora em História Econômica pela USP com uma  tese sobre a história da reforma agrária chilena; editora da revista Latin American Perspectives; co-organizadora do livro La Vía Chilena al Socialismo 50 años después: Historia y Memória (2 tomos, CLACSO, 2020), entre outros livros, capítulos, artigos e ensaios sobre o Chile. 

2. Joan Garcés, Allende e as armas da política. São Paulo: Scritta, 1993. 

2. Chile, Ley 21.216 sobre Paridad de Género para el proceso Constituyente. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-21-216-paridad-de-genero-para-el-proceso-constituyente 

3.  CHILE, Ley 21.216 sobre Paridad de Género para el proceso Constituyente. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-21-216-paridad-de-genero-para-el-proceso-constituyente

4. Chile, Ley 21.298 sobre Reserva de Escaños o Cupos en la Convención Constitucional a los Pueblos Indígenas y Participación de las Personas en Situación de Discapacidad. Disponível em: https://www.bcn.cl/procesoconstituyente/detalle_cronograma?id=f_publicacion-de-la-ley-ndeg-21-298-reserva-escanos-o-cupos-en-la-convencion-constitucional-a-los-pueblos-indigenas-y-resguarda-y-promueve-la-participacion-de-las-personas-en-situacion-de-discapacidad 

5. Site oficial da Convenção Constitucional: https://www.chileconvencion.cl/convencionales/ 

6. Pablo Quejer, “Aportes económicos para campañas del Apruebo y del Rechazo en el plebiscito de salida superan a los 1400 millones de pesos”. Novena Digital, Santiago, 29/08/2022. Disponível em: https://novenadigital.cl/aportes-economicos-para-campanas-de-apruebo-y-del-rechazo-en-el-plebiscito-de-salida-superan-los-1400-millones-de-pesos/ 

6. O plebiscito de entrada deu início ao itinerário constitucional chileno em outubro de 2020 com duas perguntas: “¿Quiere usted una Nueva Constitución?” e “¿Qué tipo de órgano debe redactar la Nueva Constitución?”. O plebiscito de saída dava a palavra final sobre a Nova Constituição com a pergunta “¿Aprueba usted el texto de Nueva Constitución propuesto por la Convención Constitucional?”. 

7.  Sergio Grez e Felipe Portales, ¿Por qué el Rechazo se impuso entre los trabajadores, los jóvenes y las mujeres? Mate al Rey, Santiago, 11/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OtItx7diOJc&feature=youtu.be

8. CIREN/CHILE, Características demográficas y socioeconómicas, Comuna de Colchane. Marzo, 2021. Disponível em:  https://www.sitrural.cl/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Colchane_demografico.pdf 

9.  SERVEL. Disponível em: https://preliminares.servelelecciones.cl/#/votacion/elecciones_constitucion/pais/8056 

10. Igor Goicovic Donoso, “La derrota reformista y el escenario del conflicto político”. Rebelión. Santiago, 06/09/2011. Disponível em: https://rebelion.org/la-derrota-reformista-y-el-escenario-del-conflicto-politico/ 

11. Ibid. 

12. Ou seja, uma grande empresa pode deter títulos de proprietária da água do subsolo de uma pequena propriedade camponesa. 

13. SERVEL. Disponível em: https://preliminares.servelelecciones.cl/#/votacion/elecciones_constitucion/comunas/2556 

14. Paola Valenzuela, “No reconozco el lugar que habito": Gobernador Mundaca tras el triunfo del Rechazo en Petorca”. Radio Bío-bío Chile. Santiago, 05/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.biobiochile.cl/noticias/nacional/region-de-valparaiso/2022/09/05/amp/mundaca-tras-triunfo-del-rechazo.shtml 

15. Equipo Ciper, “120 residentes de 12 comunas populares de la Región Metropolitana explican por qué votaron Rechazo”. Ciper, Santiago, 08/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.ciperchile.cl/2022/09/07/120-residentes-de-12-comunas-populares-de-la-region-metropolitana-explican-por-que-votaron-rechazo/ 

16. Rodrigo Valenzuela, “Cadem: Desaprobación del Presidente Boric sube a un 60%, mientras que un 67% está de acuerdo con una nueva Constitución”. Radio Agricultura, Santiago, 11/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.radioagricultura.cl/nacional/2022/09/11/cadem-desaprobacion-del-presidente-boric-sube-a-un-60-mientras-que-un-67-esta-de-acuerdo-con-una-nueva-constitucion/  

17. Jorge Magasich, “Por qué ganó el rechazo?: un intento de análisis”. Le Monde Diplomatique Chile. Santiago, 12/09/2022. Disponível em: ttps://www.lemondediplomatique.cl/por-que-gano-el-rechazo-un-intento-de-analisis-por-jorge-magasich.html  

18. Cristóbal Fuentes, Marco Arellano, exconvencional: “Quiero pedir disculpas al país por el trabajo que se realizó”. La Tercera, Santiago, 08/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.latercera.com/la-tercera-pm/noticia/marco-arellano-exconvencional-quiero-pedir-disculpas-al-pais-por-el-trabajo-que-se-realizo/O4BQRV2ECVFD5JXFRVYK54CWYU/ 

19. Ver a série de cinco artigos de Ester Rizzi sobre sua passagem por dentro da cc. Ester Rizzi, “Empaparme de Chile”. Consultor Jurídico (Conjur), fev/2022. Disponíveis em: https://www.conjur.com.br/2022-fev-08/rizzi-brasileira-convencao-constitucional-chilena-parte1 

20. CELAG, Informe postelectoral del plebiscito chileno. Centro Estratégico Latinoamericano de Geopolítica, 5/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.celag.org/informe-postelectoral-del-plebiscito-chileno/ 

21. Chile: “El discurso íntegro de Boric tras el rechazo a la Constitución”. El País, 04/09/2022. Disponível em: https://youtu.be/SgqgMEy6RcM 

22. “Como debe escribirse una ‘nueva nueva’ Constitución?”. El Café Diário, podcast de La Tercera. Disponível em: https://open.spotify.com/episode/1QmL2N97eJK7sP8keOe3tI?si=_MPAF_tQS8S-dc0I4oyLdA 

23. Catalina Martinez & Graciela Pérez, “Partidos políticos acuerdan que Nueva Constitución sea redactada por una convención electa, pero apoyada por comité de expertos”. La Tercera, Santiago, 12/09/2022. Disponível em: https://www.latercera.com/politica/noticia/partidos-politicos-acuerdan-que-nueva-constitucion-sea-redactada-por-una-convencion-electa-pero-apoyada-por-comite-de-expertos/E3M5ME6WZVG6HAGXIHVYROYWFM/ 

24. Movimentos Sociais chilenos lançam declaração sobre derrota do Apruebo: “já não somos o que éramos antes de escrever esta Constituição”. Trad.: Bruno Rodrigues. Esquerda Online, 5/09/2022. Disponível em: https://esquerdaonline.com.br/2022/09/05/movimentos-sociais-chilenos-lancam-declaracao-sobre-derrota-do-apruebo-ja-nao-somos-o-que-eramos-antes-de-escrever-esta-constituicao/ 

25. Depoimento de Elisa Loncón no documentário “Mi Pais Imaginário”, de Patricio Guzman. 

The Latin America Daily Briefing is Moving

23 May 2022, 19:16 – Latin America Daily Briefing

 Dear Readers:

The Latin America Daily Briefing is moving to Substack, part of a broader redesign project that aims to get you the same content you know (and hopefully love) in better formats with fewer technical glitches. 

If you're already a subscriber, you don't need to do anything. If you are a new reader interested in subscribing or reading content online, please head to: https://latinamericadailybriefing.substack.com/ to check it out.

Thank you all!


-- Jordana

Gang warfare in Haiti (May 23, 2022)

23 May 2022, 17:35 – Latin America Daily Briefing
Gang warfare in Haiti's Port-au-Prince has reached new peaks of intensity and brutality. Experts say the scale and duration of gang clashes, the power criminals wield and the amount of territory they control has reached levels not seen before, reports the Associated Press.

The UN said that between April 24 and May 16, at least 92 people unaffiliated with gangs, and some 96 alleged gang members, were reportedly killed during coordinated armed attacks in the sprawling Haitian capital. Another 113 were injured, 12 reported missing, and 49 kidnapped for ransom, according to figures corroborated by UN human rights officers, although the actual number of those killed may be much higher. (See today's Just Caribbean Updates)

The United Nations human rights chief Michelle Bachelet, said last week armed violence has reached “unimaginable and intolerable levels” in Haiti and that the surge in violence is being fuelled by heavily armed gangs in Port-au-Prince. (United Nations)

Gangs also are recruiting more children than before, arming them with heavy weapons and forming temporary alliances with other gangs in attempts to take over more territory for economic and political gain ahead of the country’s general elections, reports the Associated Press.

The security situation has a direct impact on the country's political crisis, notes the Latin America Risk Report: "Even accepting some level of electoral weakness if Haiti holds elections this year, elections under the current levels of gang violence and influence would not be accepted by much of Haitian society. Solving the security situation must be a priority."

-------------------------

Haiti's Ransom

New York Times investigation -- The Ransom -- delves into the reparations paid by Haiti after it won its freedom from France. "What if? What if the nation had not been looted by outside powers, foreign banks and its own leaders almost since birth? How much more money might it have had to build a nation? Persistent corruption is one reason for Haiti's apparently perpetual crisis. But a history of crippling reparations and later extractivist policies by French financial institutions are critical to understanding Haiti's current woes.

For more than a year, a team of Times correspondents scoured long-forgotten documents languishing in archives and libraries on three continents to answer that question, to put a number on what it cost Haitians to be free. For generations after independence, Haitians were forced to pay the descendants of their former slave masters,  the world’s first and only country to do so. Loans from French banks were used to finance these payments, what became known as Haiti’s “double debt” — the ransom and the loan to pay it — a stunning load that boosted the fledgling Parisian international banking system and helped cement Haiti’s path into poverty and underdevelopment, reports the New York Times, based on original historical records.

A New York Times investigation into historical records uncovers how Parisian bank Crédit Industriel et Commercial, which in 1880 set up Haiti's national bank, choked Haiti’s economy, taking much of the young nation’s income back to Paris and impairing its ability to start schools, hospitals and the other building blocks of an independent country. Crédit Industriel, known in France as C.I.C., is now a $355 billion subsidiary of one of Europe’s largest financial conglomerates.

And the history continues to have significant repercussions: French diplomats admit that Jean-Bertrand Aristide's sudden calls for reparations in 2003, a bombshell that became a hallmark of his presidency, played a role in his eventual ouster in a coup supported by France and the U.S., reports the New York Times.

News Briefs

Region
  • There’s no single trajectory for how Latin American countries came to legalize abortion -- recent examples include laws passed by Congress, Supreme Court decisions and, soon, Chile might include the right in a new constitution, writes Omar G. Encarnación in The Nation. But, broadly speaking, Latin American activists have framed the question as one of human rights, rather than personal choice as in the U.S.

  • Despite these significant advances, millions still live in a horrendous reality, writes Diana Cariboni in Nacla. Abortion is completely banned in the Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Haiti, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Suriname. Raped girls and women are forced to give birth in the countries with total abortion bans, but also in Costa Rica, Guatemala, Paraguay, Peru, and Venezuela. There seems little hope of any change to abortion restrictions in Central America, but the next big win could come in the region’s most populous country, Brazil.
Cuba
  • Cubans have been hit by mass shortages of basic goods as part of its pressing economic crisis -- lack of milk is one of the most potent symbols of the country’s precarious state, reports the Washington Post.
Regional Relations
  • The U.S. Biden administration is considering inviting a Cuban representative to attend the upcoming Summit of the Americas as an observer, reports the Associated Press. It’s unclear if Cuba would accept the invitation — which would be extended to someone in the foreign ministry, not the foreign minister himself — and whether that would assuage concerns among Latin American and Caribbean leaders who have threatened to boycott the meeting over Cuba and Venezuela's exclusion.

  • Guyana will be attending the upcoming Summit of the Americas to discuss high-priority matters, highlighting the dilemma countries in the region face, as they threaten a boycott over the likely exclusion by the U.S. of Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua. (NewsRoom)
Brazil
  • Even if Brazilians deny President Jair Bolsonaro a second term in October, it will take a generation to dismantle his many negative legacies, from loosened gun regulation to attacks on democratic institutions. But the most serious is Bolsonaro's example of negationism, write Conrado Hübner Mendes, Mariana Celano de Souza Amaral and Marina Slhessarenko Barreto in the Post Opinión.

  • Some of the world’s biggest mining companies have withdrawn requests to research and extract minerals on Indigenous land in Brazil’s Amazon rainforest, and have repudiated Bolsonaro’s efforts to legalize mining activity in the areas. (Associated Press)
Colombia
  • Four of the six presidential tickets in Colombia's May 29 election have an Afro-Colombian vice-presidential candidate — a remarkable shift in a country historically led by men from a small group of elite families, reports the Washington Post. But Francia Márquez, a Black environmental activist who has never held political office is by far the most visible: she won the third most votes in the country’s March presidential primary, and is now running alongside leftist frontrunner Gustavo Petro.
Peru
  • Peruvian President Pedro Castillo named four new cabinet ministers yesterday -- including Interior and Mining. The latest of many Cabinet shuffles in less than a year in office comes amid rising tensions over protests in the country's mining regions. (Reuters, Infobae)
Ecuador
  • Ecuador's former vice-president Jorge Glas, who served 4.5 years in prison on a bribery conviction before being released last month, was arrested on Friday by police under a court order to return him to jail. (Reuters)
Critter Corner
  • An international team of 120 institutions has collected a massive archive of Amazon camera trap data— with records for over 150,000 snapshots taken between 2001 and 2020. It’s an attempt not just to get the information in one place but to enable researchers to study some of the biggest challenges that face the region. Many — such as climate change, deforestation and fire — are human-caused, reports the Washington Post.
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ...Latin America Daily Briefing

U.S. navigates choppy diplomatic waters (May 20, 2022)

20 May 2022, 17:04 – Latin America Daily Briefing

News Briefs

Regional Relations
  • U.S. failure to help Latin American democracies has contributed to the region's multiple democratic failures, and weakened U.S. influence, writes Scott Hamilton in Global Americans. Strengthening of democratic institutions and the promotion of democratic values should be the top U.S. national security priority everywhere in the region, he argues, which would align the U.S. with regional aspirations for democracy, economic opportunity, and social justice. "U.S. efforts to invest in security forces, nudge countries to “pick sides” in Great Power competition, or increase the use of sanctions for those that don’t follow its lead would only hasten the decline in U.S. influence."

  • The U.S. Biden administration has several reasons for its newly announced (marginal) shifts towards moderation in its policies towards Cuba and Venezuela -- including concerns over migration and oil shortages related to conflict with Russia. But officials could also be aiming to counteract the threat of a regional boycott of the upcoming Summit of the Americas, motivated by its stance towards these countries. "Even if the Biden administration does not end up including Cuba and Venezuela in the summit, these new policies show that Washington is not unshakably wedded to a hard-line position toward the countries," writes Catherine Osborn in the Latin America Brief. (See Wednesday's post.)

  • U.S. officials accused Cuba of creating controversy about its possible exclusion from the US-hosted Summit of the Americas next month to portray Washington as the “bad guy” and distract attention from Havana’s human rights record at home. Kerri Hannan, deputy assistant secretary of state for Western Hemisphere Affairs, said countries that have threatened to skip the regional meeting if Cuba, Venezuela and Nicaragua are not invited should attend or else they would lose an opportunity to engage with the United States, reports Al Jazeera.

  • The Biden administration appeared set to renew its assessment that Cuba is among a handful of countries "not cooperating fully" with the United States in the fight against terrorism, reports Reuters.
  • U.S. National Security Council Senior Director Juan González, one of President Joe Biden's top Latin America advisors, dismissed calls for the US to unilaterally lift sanctions against Venezuela, saying that any relief should be accompanied first by the Latin American government taking more democratic steps, reports Bloomberg. (See Wednesday's post.)

  • Britain said it was launching talks over a free trade deal with Mexico, reports Reuters.
Mexico
  • More than 100,000 people have disappeared in Mexico since records started being kept in 1964 -- but most victims were added to the list after 2006. Activists, victims collectives and organizations of civil society reiterated calls to the government to respond to the crisis with integral policies, reports El País.

  • "Disappearances are the fear that sneaks in like fog and eats away at the social fabric." Quinto Elemento Lab illustrates the numbers and the deeper implications of Mexico's crisis of disappearances.
El Salvador
  • El Salvador's government negotiator with the MS-13, Carlos Marroquín, told the gang that he personally aided in the international escape of “Crook,” an MS-13 figurehead, despite a U.S. extradition request. The revelation is part of El Faro's investigation into the negotiations between the Bukele administration and the street gang, and how their breakdown led to a spate of record killings in March. (See Wednesday's post.)
Guatemala
  • Guatemalans are paying attention to the ups and downs of their country’s institutions like never before -- "a momentous change in public attitudes, with the potential to reorient the country’s politics," writes Claudia Méndez Arriaza in Americas Quarterly. President Alejandro Giammattei's decision to give attorney general Consuelo Porra a second term, earlier this month, has raised tensions among a public anxious to see the country's endemic corruption tackled, she writes.
Regional
  • A new InSight Crime investigation delves into the illegal trafficking of cattle from the natural reserves of Nicaragua, Honduras and Guatemala to Mexico. This trade has resulted in the deforestation of thousands of hectares and numerous acts of violence against Indigenous communities. The growing economy both satisfies the growing global demand for beef and helps to mask other criminal activities held in parallel, including cocaine trafficking and money laundering.

  • AS/COA looks at cryptocurrency proliferation and regulation in countries like Argentina, Brazil, and El Salvador.
Brazil
  • Programmed testing of Brazil's electronic voting system -- a three-day battery of attempted assaults by 20 would-be hackers -- ended last week without succeeding at disrupting the system, reports the Associated Press. While the tests occur regularly, they have taken on particular relevance given President Jair Bolsonaro's insistent questioning of the electoral system's integrity.
Uruguay
  • A spate of gang-related killings in Uruguay’s capital of Montevideo, alongside violence throughout the country, is raising debate about the alleged success of the government's hardline security strategies towards microtrafficking, reports InSight Crime.
Argentina
  • A landmark criminal trial in Argentina has found the state guilty of the massacre of more than 400 indigenous people nearly a century ago. (BBC)
Chile
  • Nearly 22% of Chile’s electricity is generated by solar and wind farms, putting it far ahead of both the global average. But natural gas companies obtained government priority in the power market, undermining the country's push to renewables, reports the Associated Press.

  • Chile's Constitutional Convention entered its final phase, a "harmonization" of the text put together by commissions and approved by the plenary of constitutional delegates. The delegates carrying out this final task did not form part of the other commissions that proposed norms for the draft magna carta, reports La Bot Constituyente.

  • Among the nerdier tasks, the Harmonization Commission heard from linguist Claudia Poblete who convinced delegates to jettison the legal text practice of excessive capitalization. (La Bot Constituyente)

Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ... Latin America Daily Briefing

Brazil Supreme Court rejects Bolsonaro complaint (May 19, 2022)

19 May 2022, 18:06 – Latin America Daily Briefing

A Brazilian Supreme Court judge rejected a complaint filed by President Jair Bolsonaro in which he accused another justice of abusing his authority, the latest in an ongoing battle between Brazil's executive and judicial branches ahead of October's presidential elections. 

Bolsonaro filed a complaint arguing that Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes is slow-walking an investigation to determine whether a group of Bolsonaro allies are running a social media network aimed at spreading threats and fake news against Supreme Court justices. He said the pace is aimed at hurting his standing in an electoral year. Supreme Court Justice Dias Toffoli denied the request, arguing that the facts described “do not bring evidence, even minimal,” of a crime. (Associated Press)

Bolsonaro and associates have continued to cast doubt on the integrity of the elections, particularly the country's long-established electronic voting system. His son, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, said that a loss in Bolsonaro's reelection bid would not be credible, and castigated the country's electoral court for rejecting military suggestions to improve transparency. Earlier this month, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal (TSE) said several of the suggestions were already in practice, reports Folha de S. Paulo.

Indeed, it is Brazil’s democracy and the independence of its judiciary are under threat from Bolsonaro's government, according to a group of 80 lawyers and legal experts, who yesterday appealed to the UN Special Rapporteur on the independence of judges and lawyers, Diego Garcia-Sayan, to visit Brazil and report on attacks on the Supreme Court and the TSE. (Al Jazeera)

In a speech today, de Moraes said that the TSE currently has the same desire for democracy and the same courage to face those who do not believe in the democratic regime that it had when it was created 90 years ago. (Reuters)

More Brazil
  • Bolsonaro -- along with unlikely allies Google and Facebook -- successfully postponed in Congress an omnibus bill that would establish moderation and transparency requirements for the internet platforms and payment for news content. Which means the so-called Fake News Bill is unlikely to enter into play before October's elections, writes Patricia Campos Mello at Poynter. "Bolsonaro will likely head into the 2022 presidential campaign without any risk of restrictions on Telegram, WhatsApp and the social media platforms he uses to spread the Brazilian version of “Stop the Steal.”"
News Briefs

Regional
Regional Relations
  • Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has found an unlikely political lifeline thanks to geopolitical shifts caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Venezuelan political deadlock, which prompted a major policy rethink from the U.S. Biden administration, reports the Guardian. (See yesterday's post.)

  • Mexican Foreign Minister Marcelo Ebrard said the country hopes to receive a response today or tomorrow regarding Mexico's proposal for all countries in the region to attend the Summit of the Americas, reports Reuters. A growing number of Latin American leaders have said they would not attend the conference or not attend if all countries in the region were not invited.

  • U.S. President Joe Biden’s new Cuba measures "appear driven by the confluence of the migration crisis and Latin America’s rebellion over U.S. Cuba policies," writes William LeoGrande in World Politics Review. (See Tuesday's post and yesterday's.)

  • The growing chorus of regional dissent regarding the U.S. decision to likely exclude Cuba from the Summit of the Americas is nothing new. "Obama’s 2014 decision to normalize relations was heavily influenced by the public scolding he received from Latin American heads of state at the Sixth Summit of the Americas in 2012. Even close U.S. allies warned that unless Cuba was invited to the 2015 summit, they would not attend." (World Politics Review)

  • U.S. First Lady Jill Biden is embarking on a high-stakes, six-day diplomatic tour of three Latin American countries: Panama, Ecuador and Costa Rica. (Washington Post)
Haiti
  • Haitian Prime Minister Ariel Henry resumed negotiations with the opposition coalition, the “Montana Accord," which favors the creation of a transition government to bridge the gap between the Henry government and a government to eventually be democratically elected. Negotiations between the Haitian government and the group had been on hold since February 14, reports the Latin America Risk Report.
Chile
  • Chile's congress voted to approve a 14.3 percent increase in the minimum wage yesterday, as the country struggles with soaring inflation, reports Reuters.
Guatemala
  • Guatemala's congress approved a $500 million loan from the World Bank that the government has said will be used to pay down debt, freeing up funds for social spending, reports Reuters.
El Salvador
  • El Salvador's big bet on bitcoin has closed some potential off-ramps from a current fiscal crisis that includes an upcoming major debt repayment, reports Reuters.
Argentina
  • Argentina carried out its postponed 2020 Census yesterday. Infobae reports on the adventure of reaching one of the country's most remote inhabitants. (Infobae)
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ... Latin America Daily Briefing

U.S. encourages Venezuela talks (May 18, 2022)

18 May 2022, 14:19 – Latin America Daily Briefing

The U.S. Biden administration has slightly eased restrictions on Chevron's ability to negotiate with Venezuela's government. Senior administration officials said the move was intended to support talks between the government of President Nicolás Maduro and the U.S.-backed opposition, reports the Washington Post

Senior U.S. officials said resumption of the negotiations were expected to be announced by Venezuelan officials late yesterday, reports the New York Times. The chairs of the negotiating teams for the Maduro government and the opposition Unitary Platform met yesterday, and tweeted about "rescuing the spirit of Mexico," in reference to talks suspended last year. (Twitter)

The U.S. Treasury Department license for Chevron,  the main U.S. oil company with assets in Venezuela, is the first in what could be a series of steps toward oil sanctions relief, depending on the Maduro government’s cooperation, according to officials. Additionally, Carlos Erik Malpica-Flores — a former high-ranking PDVSA official and nephew of Venezuela’s first lady — will be removed from a list of sanctioned individuals, reports the Associated Press.

Delcy Rodríguez, a top senior Maduro administration official implied in a Twitter post that the sanction deal was broader than what was announced by the White House, and would allow foreign oil companies to restart operations in Venezuela.

It remains unclear whether the U.S.'s limited allowances will be enough to entice Maduro to offer meaningful political concessions to the opposition, notes NYT. Further sanctions relief would be tied to progress at the talks in Mexico City, reports the Miami Herald.

U.S. officials told reporters the tiny concessions were made at the request of the opposition Unitary Platform. For example, McClatchy reports that a senior U.S. official said "It is very important to stress that this was done in coordination with the interim president, Juan Guaidó, to move the talks forward. But the coalition denied the reports yesterday. (Efecto Cocuyo) The opposition said the request came directly from Maduro, reports the New York Times.

U.S. officials were emphatic yesterday that the phased plan leaves the sanctions regime against Maduro in place -- an attempt to placate critics who include U.S. lawmakers from both parties who are opposed to any deal with Maduro.

The move, along with Monday's decision to ease certain sanctions against Cuba (see yesterday's post), come as the U.S. Biden administration "is trying to take advantage of a closing window of opportunity in Latin America before midterm elections in November," and as Latin America shifts leftward, leaving the U.S. isolated in its approach to Venezuela and Cuba, reports the Washington Post.

Already the Biden administration is facing significant pushback in the region regarding the possible exclusion of Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua from the upcoming Summit of the Americas. (See May 12's post, for example.) "Countries across the hemisphere are looking for ways to respond to the Venezuelan crisis that matches the reality on the ground, which is that Maduro retains de facto control of the territory," WOLA Venezuela analyst Geoff Ramsey told the WaPo. 

More Venezuela
  • Several international airlines are looking at restarting flights to Caracas, which has been significantly isolated in recent years, reports El País.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MS-13 confessed responsibility for March killings, response to breakdown of gov't negotiations

Extracts from El Faro's exclusive investigation.

High-ranking Mara Salvatrucha-13 (MS-13) sources confessed to El Faro their responsibility for the killings of 87 people between March 25 and 27 in El Salvador, including 62 of them on March 26, the most violent day in the past two decades. MS-13 spokespersons revealed that the murders were carried out in response to what they call a “betrayal” by President Nayib Bukele's administration of the covert pact that reduced homicides since 2019.

As proof of their dialogue with the Bukele administration, MS-13 provided El Faro with seven audio files in which Carlos Marroquín, one of the negotiators on behalf of the president, speaks with at least one member of the gang during and after the violent weekend in March. In the recordings, Marroquín, the administration’s Director for the Reconstruction of Social Fabric, details to his MS-13 counterparts his efforts during the spike in homicides to convince Bukele to keep the agreement alive.

The recordings detail how the killings in late March were the way the Mara Salvatrucha exerted pressure on the government after its members' arrests, explains El Faro.

In the six weeks following the spike in violence and the souring of the agreement between the Bukele administration and the gangs, authorities claim to have made over 31,000 arrests and the press has registered at least 11 in-custody deaths. Human rights groups  have reported widespread arbitrary detentions and Bukele announced he would severely ration and limit prison meals.

In one of the later recording Marroquín says: "Inside they’re torturing people, right? They’re suffering and being humiliated. They’re treating them like animals, and that’s not what we’ve been fighting for. We did it to generate better conditions for those inside and for the people on the street, the communities, the poorest people. Right now all I know, brother, from what they told me, is that it’s going to get worse in the communities. So yeah, put people on alert, brother, because things are going to get even more fucked."

Ruling party legislators have called for a second 30-day extension of the emergency measures, currently set to expire on May 27.

News Briefs

Migration
  • A UK deportation flight to Jamaica took off today with seven people onboard. Home Office deportation flights to Jamaica are among the most contentious carried out by the department, reports the Guardian, as many of those earmarked for removal have Windrush connections or have been in the UK since childhood, with children and other close relatives in the country.
Regional
  • This year is likely to be the seventh consecutive above-average Atlantic hurricane season. (Severe Weather Europe)

  • Early investigations and intelligence indicate that the Mexico's Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación is striking partnerships with drug rings in Guatemala – active on the Pacific Coast and the western border with Mexico – that receive shipments of cocaine from Colombia and Venezuela and deliver them to the cartel, reports InSight Crime.
Mexico
  • Mexican farmers have travelled to London to demand that mining company Fresnillo compensate them for illegal mining on their land and explain violence against anti-mining activists. (Guardian)
Peru
  • A government proposal for Peru to purchase all the country’s coca production has generated fierce debate, but experts question whether it is even feasible, reports InSight Crime.
Arts
  • "Graphic Turn: Like the Ivy on a Wall" at Madrid's Reina Sofía explores how graphic art – whether on walls, posters, prints, flyers or fabric – has been used to confront political repression and demand social justice in Latin America and beyond over the past 50 years. (Guardian)
Did I miss something, get something wrong, or do you have a different take? Let me know ...
Latin America Daily Briefing

Political Report #1466 The April 2002 Coup Through Time

15 Mar 2022, 21:07 – Latin American Perspectives

 by LAP Editor, Steve Ellner


Published in NACLA: Report on the Americas. Vol. 54, no. 1


On April 14, 2002, the folly of the abortive coup staged against the government of Hugo Chávez three days earlier was clear, but the depth of its long-lasting impact was not. The April 11 coup was a milestone event that shaped politics in Venezuela and the region for the next two decades. Most important, the coup and the events that immediately followed it set off polarization marked by the radicalization of the government and the opposition, which impacted not only national politics but also government policy on all fronts.

The year 2002 was thus a turning point in Venezuelan politics. How did the nation reach such a defining moment? In the initial period after gaining power, the Chavista movement, like Fidel Castro's Movimiento 26 de Julio in 1959, did not stand for thoroughgoing socioeconomic transformation, even though both movements originated in attempts to gain power using force. Castro in 1959 denied being a leftist, and Chávez embraced the “third way” doctrine that stood between pro-capitalist and pro-socialist.

In both cases, however, powerful adversaries viewed the movements as existential threats. In Cuba’s case, the Eisenhower administration took steps to overthrow Castro shortly after he came to power. And in Venezuela, the nation’s two main parties, Acción Democrática (AD) and Copei, joined forces in an eleventh-hour attempt to avoid Chávez’s triumph at the polls in 1998, while the business organization Fedecámaras staunchly opposed his candidacy. Shortly after his election, the Catholic hierarchy claimed that Chávez had earned the wrath of God. By 2002, Washington officials, who for the most part initially refrained from criticizing his government, questioned his democratic credentials and then, in effect, supported the April coup. These developments intensified the polarization that has plagued Venezuela ever since.

In our article “The Remarkable Fall and Rise of Hugo Chávez,” published in the July/August 2002 issue of the NACLA Report, NACLA director Fred Rosen and I showed how the radicalization of the opposition unfolded the day after the April 11 coup. The article defined two contrasting positions within the opposition that, despite changing political terrain, have continued to this day: a hardline, right-wing strategy that on April 12 decreed the elimination of democratic institutions, and a centrist strategy of working through existing institutions. The latter favored reaching an agreement with former Interior Minister Luis Miquilena and other disenchanted Chavistas to achieve regime change through the legislative branch and in a way that “broad sectors of the population would be represented,” we wrote.

We pointed out that the hardliners, guided by “a well-conceived plan” that gave them an advantage over the centrists, seized control of the government in what we called “nothing less than a coup within the coup.” Economic policy lay just beneath the surface. We noted that “as a member of the export-oriented business class, [provisional president Pedro Carmona] and his followers very likely wanted once and for all to remove all the obstacles to full-fledged, neoliberal formulas.” To do so required “a clean and violent break with the populist past.” In other words, to achieve pressing objectives, democratic principles had to be compromised.
Carmona was set on implementing a radical neoliberal program, sometimes referred to as the “shock treatment,” consisting of harsh and swiftly implemented austerity measures. He staffed his cabinet with members of the elite while excluding labor leaders of the AD-controlled Confederación de Trabajadores de Venezuela (CTV), even though the CTV had made April 11 happen in the first place and its president, Carlos Ortega, was originally slated to head the provisional government, as Gregory Wilpert later noted in a piece for Venezuelaanalysis.

The absence of leaders of AD, the nation’s largest party, which had wholeheartedly supported the mobilizations against Chávez, was not by accident. Throughout the 1990s, a major faction within AD had opposed the shock treatment brand of neoliberalism, a position that partly explains the party’s decision to expel neoliberal ex-president Carlos Andrés Pérez in 1993.

The neoliberal radicals, however, attributed Venezuela’s backwardness to the allegedly left-wing populist tradition associated with AD, which they blamed for Chávez’s rise to power in 1998. On the eve of Chávez’s election, one prominent academic supporter of neoliberal reform, Aníbal Romero, ominously wrote in Latin American Research Review: “Venezuela is experiencing the agony of populism…and one cannot be sure of where it may lead.”

Fast forwarding to the Maduro years, the polarization between the Chavista government associated with socialism and an intransigent opposition remained intact, as did the high stakes of Venezuelan politics. Various features largely dating back to 2002 stand out.

Most important, a dominant radical faction of the opposition continues to overshadow a moderate one. The moderates, unlike the radicals, advocate electoral participation, favor recognizing the legitimacy of the nation's democratic institutions and the Maduro presidency, and oppose U.S.-imposed sanctions.
As in 2002, radicals—headed by self-proclaimed president Juan Guaidó and Leopoldo López of the Voluntad Popular party—have had a distinct advantage over moderates, this time due to decisive support from Washington. The State Department demanded that the Maduro administration refrain from taking judicial action against Guaidó despite his numerous attempts to overthrow the government, and it influenced Maduro to privilege Voluntad Popular in the negotiations held in Mexico in 2021. In contrast, Washington placed sanctions on four important moderates including Bernabé Gutiérrez, a long-time AD politician.  

Radicals under Carmona prevailed the day after the April 11 coup even though they did not necessarily represent a majority of the opposition. Similarly, hardliners have relied throughout the Maduro years on U.S. support to maintain the upper hand over the rest of the opposition, even as most Venezuelans opposed sanctions and Guaidó’s popularity precipitously declined over the course of 2019 and 2020.   
Another overlap between 2002 and the current state of Venezuelan politics is the prospect of a revanchist wave should radical sectors of the opposition take power. The first day of Carmona’s two-day rule saw efforts to round up leading Chavistas as "Wanted: Dead or Alive" leaflets with prominent Chavista names circulated. Similarly, threats against Maduro supporters upped the stakes in the confrontation between him and Guaidó. In an indirect threat against Maduro supporters in the armed forces, the opposition-controlled National Assembly headed by Guaidó introduced a law in 2019 that granted “amnesty” to officers who supported regime change.

Blunders by opposition hardliners in 2002 repeated themselves over the next two decades, resulting in one fiasco after another. In April 2002 the opposition lacked a fallback plan. When sectors of the military, specifically among the high command, resisted the coup, the entire undertaking imploded. Similarly, as the prolonged general strike of 2002-2003 faltered and its regime change objective seemed lost, opposition leaders failed either to take stock or change strategy, instead letting the protest peter out. It was a pattern repeated in the months-long street protests known as La Salida (The Exit) in 2014 and later, during even more pitched protests against Maduro’s call for a Constituent National Assembly in 2017, as well as in numerous attempts at regime change undertaken by Guaidó beginning in January 2019.

The events of 2002 also affected Chavista leaders. Chávez reacted to the defection of his right-hand man and possible father figure Miquilena, and then the support of oil company personnel for the 2002-2003 general strike, by privileging political loyalty over competence and calling for unity at all costs. Hence Chávez’s oft-repeated slogan: "unity, unity and more unity." This type of learning experience—which political scientists call “political over-learning"—downgraded the importance of technical expertise, prompting frequent cabinet shuffles under both Chávez’s and then Maduro’s governments with little or no consideration of the professional training of incoming ministers.
The April coup also convinced Chávez and those closest to him of the need to prioritize social goals over economic ones to ensure the future support and mass mobilization of the popular sectors, so instrumental in defeating the coup. The government’s failure to put the accent mark on economic diversification to sever economic dependence invited criticism from across the political spectrum.
Another consequence of the 2002 events is that they exposed unreliable military officers as a result of their actions during the coup and general strike. Subsequently, loyal officers were privileged with promotions to higher ranks, particularly those involving troop command. The loyalty of the armed forces in the face of multiple efforts by the opposition and Washington to encourage rebellion has been a key factor in the Maduro government’s survival. Indeed, the U.S. strategy has backfired, as Washington failed to take into account the nationalist sentiment of military officers.


The overthrow of a president who in the previous three years had won two presidential elections with 56 and 60 percent of the vote—and went on to win again with 63 percent in 2006—proved a fatal move for the opposition. Refusing to recognize their error led to continuous insistence that the Chávez government was authoritarian and illegitimate, resulting in electoral boycotts and non-recognition of electoral results, even ones certified by international observers. As a consequence, the opposition time and again forfeited its presence on elected bodies at the national, state, and municipal levels.

The events of 2002 also locked Chavista leaders in a polarizing mindset of viewing Venezuelan politics as a faceoff between Chavistas and insurgent adversaries with little room for constructive criticism. As I discuss in a forthcoming article in Science and Society, the resultant sectarianism toward critical allies on the left led to the exit in 2020 of various parties from the governing coalition, including the nation’s oldest one, the Communist Party.  

Ultimately, what revisiting the April 2002 events shows is an urgent need for both chavismo and its opponents to take a step backward and critically analyze both the coup and its legacies, intended and otherwise, and examine their lessons against 20 years of hindsight.






________________________________________
Steve Ellner is an Associate Managing Editor of Latin American Perspectives and a retired professor of the Universidad de Oriente in Venezuela. His latest books include his edited Latin American Extractivism: Dependency, Resource Nationalism and Resistance in Broad Perspective (2021).



To cite this article: Steve Ellner (2022) The April 2002 Coup Through Time, NACLA Report on the Americas, 54:1, 16-19, DOI: 10.1080/10714839.2022.2045097

To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/10714839.2022.2045097

Political Report #1465 “Those Who Are Poor, Die Poor” | Notes on The Chilean Elections

3 Jan 2022, 21:50 – Latin American Perspectives

by LAP Editor, Jeffery R. Webber
Posted by SPECTRE Journal



Premature obituaries of Chilean neoliberalism abound on the heels of the December 19 run-off presidential election. Gabriel Boric of Apruebo Dignidad (Approve Dignity, AD) – a coalition of the Frente Amplio (Broad Front, FA) and the Partido Comunista de Chile (Communist Party of Chile, PCC) – secured a surprisingly robust victory over his far-right opponent, José Antonio Kast (aka, JAK), of Frente Social Cristiano (Christian Social Front, FSC) – a coalition of Kast’s Partido Republicano (Republican Party, PR) and the Partido Conservador Cristiano (Christian Conservative Party, PCC).1 Boric took 55.9 percent of the popular vote to Kast’s 44.1 percent, with 1.2 million more people voting in the second round than in the first contest in November. That put voter turnout at 56 percent, the highest of any presidential election since 2012, when voting was made voluntary.2 The result represents a serious setback for forces of the far right in Chile, and, indeed, the region more generally – it wasn’t good news for Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil, for example, who faces elections in 2022 that he was already likely to lose to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (“Lula”).

Scenes of elation on streets across Chile were as much a collective sigh of relief as a roar of triumph. Only a month earlier, momentum had decidedly shifted to the ultra-conservatives, with Kast coming out on top in the first-round with 27.9 percent to Boric’s 25.8. The simultaneous congressional elections also witnessed right-wing small majorities solidified in the Senate and Chamber of Deputies.3 The hopeful possibilities unleashed by the insurrection of October 2019 were temporarily replaced by the fear that that cycle was coming to a close, to be replaced with a vicious, restorative reaction. From their antipodal vantage point, investors read November’s election similarly – Chile’s stock market leaped by 9.4 percent, alongside a 3.5 percent gain in the peso relative to the dollar.4


In another sign of left retreat, and reflective of the unsettled turbulence of contemporary Chilean politics, third place was occupied by Franco Parisi, a right-wing, anti-party populist for the newly-minted Partido de la Gente (Party of the People, PDG), whose platform emphasized securing the borders against migrants. Parisi is an economist with a PhD from the University of Georgia, whose previous positions include Vice Dean of the Faculty of Business at the Universidad de Chile and Professor of Economics and Business at the Universidad Andés Bello. He has since relocated to the US. After a stint at Texas Tech University, where a student accused him of sexual harassment, Parisi now lives in Birmingham, where he is an adjunct professor at the University of Alabama. He never set foot in Chile during the campaign, ostensibly because he tested positive for COVID-19, but perhaps more likely because he is in arrears for $249,000 in alimony payments and would not be allowed to leave the country if he returned until this debt was paid. A social media personality with a popular YouTube show called “Bad Boys Who Make the Elite Uncomfortable,” Parisi captured 12.8 percent of the vote (37 percent in the North, a traditional bastion of the center-left, where anti-immigrant sentiment has surged in recent years).5


Back in June 2020, Boric unexpectedly defeated Communist Daniel Jadue in the primaries of the newly-formed Apruebo Dignidad, and there were high expectations for his performance in the forthcoming presidential contest. But Boric was already viewed with suspicion by many social movement and left activists. This was the same person who had personally signed the congressional Agreement for Social Peace and the New Constitution in November 2019, without the support of his party, Frente Amplio, precipitating a split in the latter. That agreement, which set in place a restricted process for the renewal of the constitution, was severely criticized by large sectors of the popular movement, including initial opposition from the Communists.6 Boric then made a point of signaling “governability” to the political and business establishment in the lead-up to the first-round elections in November 2021, further alienating layers of the popular movement, and muting enthusiasm for participating in the election.7


Nonetheless, the bulk of social movements and left-wing forces in Chile, whether inside or outside of Apruebo Dignidad, rallied to bring out the vote for Boric in the second round. Above all, the priority was to defeat pinochetismo and to keep alive for another day the transformative cycle propelled by the revolts of October 2019.8 Marta Lagos, Chilean political analyst and founding director of the opinion research company Latinobarómetro, points to a remarkable parallel between the election of December 2021 and the 1988 referendum that formally ended Pinochet’s rule. The proportion of votes in 1988 responding “No” to continuing Pinochet’s reign was virtually identical with support for Boric in December this year, with the “Yes” vote in 1988 eerily matching the proportion backing Kast in December.9


For the everyday politics of class struggle in Chile, Kast’s defeat ensured a dramatically better terrain for the oppressed in 2022 than the alternative. But every early signal from the president-elect screams a hardening of his already-apparent turn to centrism and a willful lowering of popular expectations. Reviving the radical agenda of the “social explosion” of October 2019 will require reanimation of politically independent struggles by all the myriad social forces of the left that made Boric’s election possible in the first place: the Mapuche struggles in the south; the student movement; popular feminism; pension activism; precarious workers; dockworkers and miners; and the ecological front.


CATASTROPHE AVERTED: “LA DERECHA SIN COMPLEJOS”


But let’s begin with what was avoided, or at least temporarily contained. Kast is an ultra-conservative former congressperson, devote Catholic, and father of nine. He is openly inspired and aligned with Spain’s far right Vox, and a host of other constituent forces of the global tide of reaction.10 Kast campaigned on a platform of restoring law and order, cracking down on crime, and protecting free markets and traditional values. He railed against immigrants, particularly those from Venezuela and Haiti, and promised to build a 3-meter deep ditch along the northern border of the country. Kast has long proclaimed his allegiance to the legacy of Pinochet, declaring a few years ago that if the dictator were still alive he would receive Kast’s vote. In 2016, Kast declared that, “apart from the subject of human rights, the Pinochet government was better for the development of the country than that of Sebastián Piñera.” He has pledged to reverse same-sex marriage and the limited rights to abortion in the country, and generally channeled hostility toward recently emboldened indigenous, feminist, and LBTQ+ activism.11


Every early signal from the president-elect screams a hardening of his already-apparent turn to centrism and a willful lowering of popular expectations.


Authoritarian reaction is something of a Kast family trait. Michael Kast, JAK’s father, fought for the German army against the Soviets in World War II, and was a voluntary member of the Nazi Party in 1942.12 Kast senior migrated to Chile in 1950, establishing himself in Paine, a rural community south of Santiago. He gradually built a nationwide network of restaurants and industrial centers for the manufacture of packaged meat.13 The Kast family was elevated politically and socially under Pinochet’s dictatorship. JAK’s brother, Miguel, obtained a Masters degree in economics from the University of Chicago and served as Minister of Labor and president of the Central Bank during the Pinochet regime.14 When Miguel died of bone cancer at 34 years of age, he became a mythic figure on the Chilean far right. Investigative journalists have also exposed a potential facilitative role played by another brother, Christian, alongside Kast senior, in the torture and disappearance of one of their employees in Paine, who was a member of the MIR at the time of his disappearance.15


Cleaved internally along the lines of democratic respectability, the travails of the post-dictatorship Chilean right are traceable to the referendum of 1988. Political movements backing the “No” campaign that year subsequently congealed under the center-left coalition of the Concertación de Partidos por la Democracia and secured themselves in office for the coming decades. Those behind “Yes” to pinochetista continuity, meanwhile, hunkered down in the defensive trenches of preserving the dictatorship’s legacy, especially as symbolized by the 1980 Constitution.16 This avowedly pinochetista right-wing proved inadequate to the early democratic contests of 1989 and 1993, on both cases allowing the center-left to win handily in the first round, having captured more than 50 percent of the votes.17


Responding to these feeble electoral showings, the Chilean right gradually repositioned itself more proximately to the centrism of the Concertación. In 1999, this strategy forced the center-left into a run-off presidential round for the first time since the return to democracy, and in 2009 it finally ensured Sebastián Piñera’s rise to the presidency – the first time in half a century that the Chilean right formed a government via the electoral path.18 The break with Pinochet was never clean, with currents of the mainstream right-wing parties refusing to renounce the Pinochet ideal; but more and more, explicit references became a taboo. More roundabout defenses continued to be permitted, as evidenced by the fact that the traditional parties of the post-dictatorial right-wing coalition, Renovación Nacional (National Renovation, RN) and the Unión Democrática Independiente (Independent Democratic Union,UDI), only formally deleted from their party programs apologia for the 1973 coup in 2014 and 2018, respectively.19


Unsatisfied with the moderating turn of the Chilean electoral right, Kast left the UDI in 2016, disparaging the party’s departure from its “foundational project.” As a political independent in this period, Kast ostentatiously wed himself to the legacy of Pinochet, and gathered 8 percent of the vote on this niche ticket in the 2017 presidential election.20 So far, the story runs parallel to Bolsonaro’s long political career on the far periphery of institutional political influence in Brazil, before he was catapulted to the presidency. The similarities don’t end there. What were the circumstances that allowed for Kast’s ascent from 8 percent in 2017 to the lead position in the first round, and very respectable finish in the second round of 2021? His arch of ascension parallels the timing of early institutional victories for the left on the terrain of the constitutional process. In particular, Kast was boosted by the impotency of Chilean centrism in the face of these left-wing advances.


The first of these moments was the plebiscite on a new constitution on October 25, 2020. To the initial question posed to the population – “Do you want a new constitution?” – the response was a resounding 78.3 percent “Approve.”21 “Reject” garnered only 21.7 percent of the vote; even more significantly, the latter gained a majority in only five communes in the entire country, three of which were the wealthiest anywhere in Chile.22 A democratic demand sustained for over four decades – to bury the constitution of Pinochet alongside the bones of the grotesque himself – had finally been secured by the revolts of October 2019. “What the parties that administered the democratic transition couldn’t do in thirty years,” Pablo Abufom and Karina Nohales rightly point out, “the working class accomplished in a few months.”23 “What body should be responsible for the writing of the new constitution?” So read the second question posed in the plebiscite. For 79 percent of voters, all delegates to the Constitutional Convention should be popularly elected, and there should be gender parity among them. For 21 percent, there should be no rule of gender parity, and only half the delegates should be popularly elected, with the remaining half composed by the existing congress, at the time divided between the discredited center-left and center-right.24


Body blows against Chilean centrism continued to mount the following May, this time in the form of simultaneous mayoral, local council, and gubernatorial elections, alongside a vote to select delegates to the 155-seat Constitutional Convention. For the latter contest, the center-right joined the far-right under the unity ticket of Chile Vamos. Pundits were unanimous in the view that Chile Vamos would certainly win at least the 52 of 155 seats necessary for veto power. (The Constitutional Convention was designed such that a two-thirds majority was necessary to advance every article in the constitutional process, an in-built conservatizing function.) Instead, the united right would have to settle for only 37 seats, roughly 23 percent of the total.25 Meanwhile, the list bringing together the Communists and the Broad Front won 28 seats, three seats more than the combined performance of the social-liberal parties of the former Concertación (15 for the Socialist Party, and only two for the Christian Democrats).26


Most novel, though, were those Convention votes that went to leftist expressions of the “anti-political” conjuncture. A remarkable 48 seats were captured by independent candidates, some of whom were right-wing conspiracists, but most of whom were progressive candidates, like feminist Alondra Carrillo (of the 8M Feminist Coordinator), or independents from social movements connected through joint tickets, such as those of the Social Movement Constituents, or the People’s List, or, alternatively, delegates numbering among the 17 seats reserved for indigenous peoples, seats now occupied in the main by indigenous activists embedded in historic movements for liberation.27 The spirit of October also fed into the municipal disputes. For example, Jorge Sharp, a long-time activist on the anti-neoliberal left, was re-elected mayor of Valparaíso, while Communist Daniel Jadue won the mayoralty of Recoleta, a municipality within the Santiago Metropolitan Region.28 Irací Hassler, a feminist activist and Communist, became mayor of the Commune of Santiago, effectively downtown Santiago. At the gubernatorial level, the environmental activist and agricultural engineer, Rodrigo Mundaca, won the region of Valparaíso.29


Not all of the news was positive. The representational crisis of the traditional party system which spawned the polyvalent “anti-politics” of the moment found a depressing expression in the unprecedented rate of abstention. An alarming 61.4 percent of the electorate didn’t turn out to vote, with abstention reaching 65-70% in working-class municipalities.30 Still, the overall dynamic of the May 2021 elections, and especially those of the Constitutional Convention, was unanticipatedly weak performance by the united right, and an overarching discrediting of traditional political parties. The Convention would thus be composed by a range of delegates weighted toward an eclectic melange of social-movement and party elements of the left and center-left, with the former stronger than the latter in the progressive bloc.


With the support of the dominant media powers, an aggressive campaign to discredit the very notion of the Constituent Convention began in earnest. Reject/Approve became the most definitive axis of class struggle in the country.


It was during the plebiscite on the constituent process that Kast first came to be the face of “Reject.” This was obviously a losing position in the narrow terms of voting on the day, but the campaign built around the Reject platform consolidated Kast as a national political figure, something that had eluded him even in the presidential race of 2017. The campaign also reinforced a coherent right-wing movement identity – conservative, nativist, anti-immigrant, anti-feminist, and anti-indigenous – for all those layers of Chilean society hostile to the possibilities for change opened up by social explosion of 2019. Instead of defending Pinochet, Kast now rallied around the symbol of the dictator’s 1980 constitution. As in Bolsonaro’s Brazil, evangelical TV personalities devoted their influential program content to the most dynamic right-wing force of the day, pivoting collectively behind Reject.31


Once the delegates to the Constitutional Convention had been elected, every conservative force in Chile saw the writing on the wall. With the support of the dominant media powers, an aggressive campaign to discredit the very notion of the Constituent Convention began in earnest. Reject/Approve became the most definitive axis of class struggle in the country. According to polls, among those who identified as right-wing, 68 percent held that the citizenry had little to no inclusion in the constituent process. Among those identifying themselves as on the left, the comparable figure was 13 percent. By this time, Kast had already established himself as the figurehead of Reject. While the traditional institutions of the center-right initially backed Sebastián Sichel – a political independent with a past in the Christian Democratic Party – as their preferred presidential candidate, when he quickly proved a non-entity in the polls they shifted their loyalties – as well as their ample war chests and media infrastructures – to Kast. Anything, it seems, to defeat Boric, the face of “Approve.”32 With political temperatures rising over the “Mapuche conflict” in the South, and immigration in the North, Kast’s Reject platform was ever-more inflected with security and order. The pandemic, meanwhile, introduced new anti-science and anti-globalist elements, although not to the same degree as Trump or Bolsonaro.33

LOOKING BACK


Election reporting invites presentism. So, let’s insist on some history. If, in Gramscian terms, Boric appears today as the “plough-man” of history, the molecular processes of movement “fertilizer” have been at work for some time. Between 1967 and 1973, the socio-political capacities of Chilean workers and peasants reached their modern apogee. That historical cycle posed the possibility of redefining all the entire terrain of or social life, from institutions of the state to the organization of the economy.34 Once in office, the Unidad Popular (Popular Unity, UP), along with the pressures of popular mobilization on an incredible scale, altered previous frameworks of the law and other state-institutions. Experiences of workers’ management in the industrial belt and peasant seizures of latifundios in the countryside were propelled not only autonomously from the state, but on occasion with independence from party lines, including those of the most radical parties on the left.35


“The Popular Unity program and the authors of its economic strategy envisioned a carefully controlled revolution from above,” Peter Winn suggests in his magisterial Weavers of Revolution.36 It was “to be carried out legally, using the instruments created by the bourgeoisie and the powers granted the state.” Allende’s mass base saw things differently. Workers, peasants, and shantytown dwellers understood the election of the UP as an invitation to seize the initiative themselves, through direct action, oriented to fulfilling decades of pent-up demands. Allende’s pledge never to turn the coercive power of the state on the Chilean masses meant that they were released from the threat of repression. Because the UP’s program included promises of far-reaching transformations of society, the distribution of wealth, and coverage of basic necessities for the poor, the popular classes understood that when they assumed responsibility for advancing the revolutionary process in their interests they were carrying out the government’s agenda.37
The consequent unfolding of “a revolution from below” more often than not outpaced the “legalistic and modulated revolution from above,” revealing the limits of Allende’s guiding hand. The revolution from below consisted of the transformation of ordinary workers, peasants, and urban poor into, “active agents of change, the protagonists of their own destiny,” through their relatively unchoreographed socio-political experiments. In a complex blend of spontaneity and coordinated activity with organized political groups, plebeian Chile entered center-stage on its own behalf.38 With a horizon bent toward the end of capitalist society, this revolutionary impulse from below and deep reformism from above were brought abruptly to a close with the coup d’état of 1973, which installed Augusto Pinochet’s regime of terror.


After a few years of experimentation, Pinochet adopted a single-minded agenda of neoliberal counter-revolution. From the mid-1970s forward, the country witnessed the execution of momentous socio-economic restructuring, “linking social life in Chile with the rest of capital worldwide,” through the gun barrels and torture camps of state terror.39 The regime dismantled the dense infrastructures of class struggle built-up over time, and eradicated popular organizations of the left. It retooled the institutions of the state as brazen instruments of capital, the entire edifice ultimately constructed on the base of the 1980 Constitution. For Karina Nohales and Javier Zúñiga this was a true capitalist revolution, with constituent power, “a refoundational impulse that lasts to this day, consolidating a political-institutional regime that is based on the generalized precarity of living conditions, the weight of large rentier capitalists, the financial sector, alongside a commercial sector that promotes debt, and with pauperized working conditions to the benefit of capital.”40


Despite its heroism, the movement for democracy in Chile in the 1980s was unable to overturn this epochal defeat of the left even after Pinochet was ousted in 1989 and electoral liberalism restored to the country by 1990. The audacity of social experimentation from below characteristic of the Allende period was replaced over the 1990s and early 2000s by resignation in the face of a post-political technocracy. Alongside a commitment to neoliberal continuity, authoritarian enclaves underpinned the new order, with legacies from the dictatorship enmeshed in the nodes of an ostensibly democratic state structure.


Beginning in 2006, the first cracks in the neoliberal consensus emerged, kicking off a cycle of movements that would culminate in the social explosion of October 2019. The wave began in the opening year with the so-called revolt of the Penguins – referring to the black and white uniforms of high-school students – which brought more than 1.4 million students into the streets across the country, more than any demonstrations since the pro-democracy mobilizations in the closing years of the dictatorship. By 2011, the generation of militant high-school students were now in university, igniting mass mobilizations across the higher education sector, this time in a more or less syncopated rhythm with Mapuche and other indigenous liberation struggles, socio-ecological movements in the “sacrificial” mining zones, and a reviving movement of precarious, contracted-out laborers.41




The demand for a new constitution cannot be reduced to an empty juridical abstraction. It became the centripetal focus of plurinational, feminist, and class struggles, in which the change of the constitution itself was not ultimately an end in itself, but rather a vehicle for making viable the next set of conditions for more general and profound changes to the conditions of life in Chile.




Women and youth assumed a dominant position in the new assemblyist forms of mass democracy which presided over the emergent and newly forming movement cultures. Out of the many-sided infrastructures of this milieu, left-wing feminism stormed to the frontlines. Feminist militants rooted in the myriad struggles around agro-ecology, housing, territory, education, health, labor, pensions, gender violence, and abortion organized the Chilean iteration of the International Feminist Strike in March 8, 2018, out of which the 8M Feminist Coordinator was born.
The following year, Chile’s feminist strike amounted to one of the biggest demonstrations in Chilean history, at least until the quasi-insurrections broke out a few months later. Amid the latter revolts of October 2019, the 8M Feminist Coordinator was the first organization to call for a general strike, soon joined by the militant dock workers, who had just emerged on the other side of a series of successful sectional strikes of Chilean ports a year earlier. Student federations at all levels shuttered schools and universities. By October 23, banks and businesses were closed, classes suspended, 20 ports paralyzed, 75 percent of industry shut down, and still more was running at only half capacity.42


October established the foundations of possibility for a new historical period, one which would be characterized by open contestation between life and capital, by struggles in which the minimal conditions for social reproduction were pitted against profitability – climate crisis, gender violence, pauperized labor conditions, and social rights. Out of these struggles the demand for a new constitution cannot be reduced to an empty juridical abstraction. It became the centripetal focus of multiple class struggles: plurinational, feminist, and popular for which changing the constitution was not ultimately an end in itself, but a vehicle for pushing the next set of conditions for more general and profound changes to the conditions of life in Chile.43


The meaning of October remains in flux. Political parties, including the PCC and the FA, were marginal to the uprising. While militants from these parties were embedded in the unrest, an overwhelmingly anti-party sentiment predominated and extended even to parties of the left. The idea of Chile as a neoliberal model for the world, an oasis of stability amid Latin American turmoil, was decisively ruptured. A new disposition for militant class struggle was on display among the heterogenous layers of the working class, together with a radicalizing orientation of significant layers of the precariously indebted middle class. But the atmosphere of “anti-politics,” without more effective political leadership from an organized left, remained vulnerable to eventual dispersal, fragmentation, and eventual canalization in different political directions.


As Noam Titelman points out, few in the streets in October were members of unions, much less political parties, and many of the activists were very young.44 Revealingly, a study from the Centro de Estudios Públicos shows that the percentage of people who identify with a position along the left-right axis fell from 65 percent in 2006 to 38 percent in 2019, and, in the same period, the percentage of the population that identified with any party fell from 53 to 22 percent.45


With the hindsight of two years, it is clear that the politicization of Chilean society initiated by the social explosion of October has not simply been an unmitigated turn to the left. Thousands of people have been politically activated on the left and right alike without necessarily identifying as such. To be clear, this is not an equilibrium. To the extent that the popular sectors have been politicized it has mainly been through objectively feminist and leftist socio-political organizing in the broad activity of the process of change propelled forward by the bolt of October, ranging from street-level activism to electoral campaigns around the Constitutional Convention. This activity has been “massive, open, self-managed, participatory and constructive, with a plurality of voices.”46


On the right, by contrast, politicization has been reactionary, channeled through conservative and anti-communist groupings, evangelical churches, and neo-fascist street organizations on a scale unseen since the Allende period.47 It has also been minoritarian, constituted by small numbers of organized cadre, financed by large-scale capitalists, and amplified by more traditional right-wing political figures. Kast, above all, has cohered these sentiments and activities under the banner of Reject.48

BORIC MOVES TO THE CENTER


Despite an objective opening for further left politicization, Boric’s presidential acceptance speech set a conciliatory tone: “I know that beyond the differences that exist between us, in particular with José Antonio Kast we will find a way to build bridges that can bring a better life to our compatriots. Because what unites us is our love of Chile and its people.”49 There were gestures to some of the social themes arising from the October revolts, mixed with appeals for calm and unity – economic growth with less inequality, social cohesion, true and sustainable development, stability of Chile’s democratic institutions, healthcare, pensions, housing, basic services, workers’ rights, gender equality, and the promise of a new relationship with indigenous peoples.


But ideal pacing was the real order of the day. Get ready to go slow: “advances, to be solid, need to be the fruit of broad agreements. And in order to last, they must always be step by step, gradual, in order not to ruin nor put at risk what each family has achieved through its own effort,” Boric insisted.50 The speech contained none of the ruptural energies of October: “Of course, not everything can be done at the same time, and we will prioritize in order to achieve progress that allows us to improve, step by step, the lives of our people. It will not be easy, it will not be fast, but our commitment is to move down the path with hope and responsibility.”51
Multiclass alliance was another recurring motif. “We are going to work with all sectors,” Boric emphasized. “The challenges are too important to stay tied to the trenches. Here everyone is necessary. The workers who day to day produce the wealth of our country. The cooperation of the business world, to build alliances, to bring our visions closer. We are here to assure that prosperity reaches every corner of our land, and for that no one can be left out.”52 Naturally, this required textbook assurances of monetary rectitude. “In this night of triumph,” Boric said, “I repeat the commitment that we made during the entire campaign: we will expand social rights and we will do it with fiscal responsibility, we will do it while protecting our macroeconomy. We will do it well and that will allow improvements to pensions and health, without having to go back on these in the future.”53 Finally, there was a nod to dialogue across the aisles of a divided congress: “We have a balanced congress, which means at the same time an invitation and an obligation to dialogue. I honestly see it as an opportunity to meet again, to unite in great feats for the welfare of our country, to achieve wide and lasting agreements that will improve the quality of life of our compatriots.”54


While it’s true that Boric moved to the center between the first and second rounds of the presidential contest, the predominant characterization in the international media of a Chilean political scene polarized between a far-left and a far-right has always been a radical distortion. In other words, Boric had long-since begun his adaptation to centrism. “In the case of Boric,” the discerning and sympathetic journalist Pablo Stefanoni reports, “in spite of being the candidate of an alliance to the left of Concertación, his program is very far from being radical. It is, rather, the expression of a project of social justice of a social democratic type, in a country where, in spite of the advances in terms of the struggle against poverty, unacceptable forms of social inequality – and hierarchies of ethnicity and class – persist together with the marketization of social life.”55


Boric is tilting hard to the center, and every structural expression of capital will try its best to pull him further in this direction.


The welfare plans of Boric and his team of advisers are not premised on socio-political polarization, nor are they linked to the historic demands of the radical left. Tax-system restructuring and redistributive policy define the parameters of the possible in this vision, and would only require changes at the margins of the model of development. These are the outlines of a more robust welfare state. In many ways, Boric is pledging to carry out the change that the Socialist Party has long promised but never delivered, hollowed out as it has been over thirty-years of alternating in-and-out of centrist coalitions, often with partners to its right.56 In terms of public policy – on pensions, education, health, housing, taxes, and social welfare – there is considerable ideological overlap with the more reformist elements of the ex-Concertación. High-profile academic supporters of Boric, like Claudia Heiss, celebrate this reality and insist that under the new government not all of the promised changes will be possible in one term, but that at least there will be progress in the discussion of these matters, which there wasn’t under the Concertación.57


For their part, the eyes and ears of international capital are wary of prejudging the new government. They worry that remnants of Boric-the-young-student-radical might have outlived adolescence. They acknowledge, too, that he has just won a considerable mandate for change, and the scary thing would be if he took it seriously. Overall, however, the tenor of Boric coverage in the financial press has been sedate, pointing to persistent signals of centrism and moderation. Boric has lowered the bar for his planned tax reforms, promised a slower and trimmer rollout of his social program, and has based it all on fiscal prudence and a commitment to macroeconomic stability. The new head of state seems to recognize that he will need to thoroughly dilute reform measures if they are to survive a divided congress. The hope and expectation of leading financial pundits is that Boric will form a government that more closely approximates Lula’s years in office in Brazil or Ollanta Humala’s in Peru, rather than, say, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s in Argentina, or, worse still, Hugo Chávez’s in Venezuela.58 “His challenge,” writes Michael Stott, Latin America editor of the Financial Times, “is to negotiate a path towards the green, sustainable, fairer economy many Chileans want without destroying the country’s appeal to business.”59


It is very early days, but Boric appears committed to the path of least resistance, much closer to Lula’s first term in office than Allende’s. A significant part of his strategy going into the second round, after all, was courting the support of Christian Democracy and the Socialist Party. The most dramatic success to this end was Bachelet’s bold embrace of the Boric ticket. The former president, now the acting High Commissioner of Human Rights at the United Nations, flew to Santiago to cast her ballot, and released a short video in which she called on Chileans to back Boric.60
The president-elect has indicated that he will take a month to name his cabinet, but omens thus far suggest the composition will include a broad coalition. It is likely to encompass the center-left beyond Apruebo Dignidad, in order to reward centrist support for Boric in the campaign for the second round, and, most importantly, to lubricate deals in the divided congress. In the week since the election, the president-elect has been working arduously on the configuration of his governing coalition, expressing his disposition to open the door to myriad forces of the center-left, including the Socialist Party, Partido por la Democracia (Party for Democracy, PPD), Partido Radical de Chile (PRC), and the Partido Liberal (Liberal Party, PL).61 Key ministerial positions, particularly the portfolios of Finance and the Interior, are likely to signal the new government’s moderation, with nominations being announced before the month is up.62 Within ex-Concertación political circles, the talk has apparently been of an inverted Portuguese model. Since 2015, in the Portuguese case, the Socialist Party of Antonio Costa has been supported in parliament by the Communist Party and the Left Bloc, although without the left parties’ participation in cabinet. The ostensible Chilean inversion would see parties of the center-left supporting Boric from congress, with the twist of also holding positions in cabinet.63


Chile’s gross domestic product grew at reasonably high levels by regional standards in the years immediately following the 2008 global crisis – 5.8 (2010), 6.1 (2011), 5.3 (2012), 4.0 (2013) – before slowing in the wake of the end of the commodities boom, with 1.8, 2.3, 1.7, and 1.3 percent growth between 2014 and 2017. Accumulation picked up in 2018, however, with 3.7 percent growth, although it slowed again in 2019, reaching 0.9, before plummeting to -5.8 percent in 2020 in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic.64


One of the major indications of the strength of the October rebellions – and a lesson on the importance of extra-parliamentary class struggle (or its downturn) in determining Chile’s next steps – is the fact that social movements had created a scenario in which, when the coronavirus pandemic hit Chile, it was impossible even for a Conservative government, in full control of congress, to avoid a sizeable spending rollout. Indeed, the Piñera government responded to COVID-19 with one of the largest emergency aid programs anywhere in the Global South, amounting to 14 percent of GDP. This counter-cyclical boost tipped GDP growth to between 11 and 12 percent for 2021, after a 5.8 percent contraction the previous year.65


Next year’s projected growth is expected to fall sharply to 2 percent, and the pressures on the Boric government to comply with capital’s demands for social austerity in a context of low growth, high inflation, and rising interest rates will be relentless.66 Indeed, these pressures are already evident in Boric’s repeated campaign pledges to guarantee fiscal responsibility. According to Chile’s Central Bank, more than $50 billion has already fled the country by way of capital flight in the wake of uncertainties following the events of 2019, and more of that is likely to follow unless Boric concedes to neoliberal metrics of good economic governance.67 With a split congress, ex-Concertación elements, whether from outside or (more likely) inside of cabinet, will apply the conservative instincts on this front that they have displayed so consistently since 1990.
But the tenor of Boric’s administration is hardly up to Boric alone, or even Boric together with the most conservative sections of his coalition. His government will remain vulnerable to the social forces of disruption that animated the social explosion of October two years ago, especially if the new president proves maladroit in his efforts to balance appeasing capital with responding in some minimal sense to the popular demands opened up by the events of October. While a divided congress will be a conservatizing pull, the Constitutional Convention is still likely to gravitate in the other direction. And we shouldn’t forget the 44-percent of the population who embraced the extreme right.


The media has tended to emphasize the centrality of the center-left’s cooperation in improving Boric’s standing in the second round. Unsurprisingly, this misses the important role played by popular movements to Boric’s left in the get-out-the-vote mobilizations between the first and second rounds of the presidential election. These are important to remember because they are one of the signs that significant layers of the Chilean population are willing and able to creatively defend the constituent moment using a variety of tactics. Ebullient demonstrators who took to the streets to celebrate Kast’s defeat are unlikely to simply go home quietly and accept a more or less straightforward return to the disgraced past of the Concertación era.


The present conjuncture is open-ended. On one side of the field of force, Boric is tilting hard to the center, and every structural expression of capital will try its best to pull him further in this direction. His likely coalition and cabinet partners from the ex-Concertación social-liberal parties demonstrated in the recent past an enormous capacity to integrate and decapitate popular energies from below. Outside of the governing coalition, the far-right may have been defeated at the polls, but they are clearly more powerful and popular than at any point since the Pinochet era.


On the other side, the period in which the Concertación was able to integrate and demobilize popular forces so effectively was characterized by dynamic and expansionary capitalist growth, as well as a left physically and psychologically scarred by years of state terror – i.e., all of that predated the earth-quaking political experiences of October 2019. There remains a chance, therefore, that important social reforms will be enacted during the Boric government, but it’s evident that they won’t originate from initiatives on high. Politically independent class struggle on a variety of fronts will be required at every turn.


The stakes could scarcely be higher. “’Those who are poor, die poor. The riches of our country are badly distributed,’ said Carolina Cavieres, a 35-year-old mother of two who cast her vote on Sunday in La Pintana, a working-class suburb to the south of Santiago.”68 A centrist consolidation under Boric would leave unaltered all of the sources of grievance that led to popular, leftist eruptions in the recent past. A centrist turn will not provide an exit to the multi-sided crises facing Chile’s capitalist order. If a government elected on the basis of a left coalition moves to the center and thus precludes an exit to the crisis involving robust solutions for the social welfare and dignity of the majority, we are unlikely to have seen the end of Kastism, whether or not the next iteration is channeled by the figure of Kast himself, and whether or not it is restricted to the legal niceties of electoralism.




________________________________________
Jeffery R. Webber is an Associate Professor in the Department of Politics at York University, Toronto. Impasse of the Latin American Left, co-authored with Franck Gaudichaud and Massimo Modonesi, is forthcoming with Duke University Press.










Originally published in SPECTRE Journal (here)
URL: https://spectrejournal.com/those-who-are-poor-die-poor/?fbclid=IwAR3pvo4wRKU9qBoHRGpnv-b4X7vtCZY5PUxn1t9nGa6up-r9sFlJ5_r9RYA

Political Report 1464 - Nicaragua: Chronicle of an Election Foretold

15 Nov 2021, 23:30 – Latin American Perspectives

by LAP Editor, William I. Robinson
Posted by NACLA

With seven opposition presidential candidates imprisoned and held incommunicado in the months leading up to the vote and all the remaining contenders but one from miniscule parties closely allied with President Daniel Ortega and his Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), the results of Nicaragua’s November 7 presidential elections were a foregone conclusion. The government declared after polls closed that Ortega won 75 percent of the vote and that 65 percent of voters cast ballots. The independent voting rights organization Urnas Abiertasmeanwhile, reported an abstention rate of approximately 80 percent and widespread irregularities at polling stations around the country.

The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud.The vote was carried out in a climate of fear and intimidation, with a total absence of safeguards against fraud. In a complete breakdown of the rule of law, Ortega carried out a wave of repression from May to October, leading the opposition to issue a joint statement on October 7 calling for a boycott of the election. Several dozen opposition figures—among them, presidential candidates, peasant, labor, and student leaders, journalists, and environmentalists—were arrested and detained without trial, while several hundred others were forced into exile or underground.

Among those exiled were celebrated novelist Sergio Ramirez, who served as Ortega’s vice president during the 1980s revolution. While the government charged Ramirez with “conspiracy to undermine national integrity,” his crime was provoking the ire of the regime by publishing his latest novel, Tongolele No Sabía Bailar, a fictionalized account of the 2018 mass protests that marked the onset of the current political crisis and the degeneration of the regime into dictatorship. The book was promptly banned in the country, with customs authorities ordered to block shipments at ports of entry.


The repression particularly decimated the left-leaning opposition party Democratic Renovation Union (UNAMOS), formerly called the Sandinista Renovation Movement (MRS). The MRS was formed in 1995 by Ortega’s former comrades in arms who either left the FSLN after the failure of their efforts to democratize it or were expelled for challenging Ortega’s leadership of the party. Among those UNAMOS leaders arrested and to date held incommunicado are legendary guerrilla commanders Dora María Téllez and Hugo Torres, as well as deputy foreign minister in the 1980s, Victor Hugo Tinoco, and party president Ana Margarita Vigil. Amnesty International condemned such detentions and incommunicado conditions as “enforced disappearance as a strategy of repression.”

As part of the crackdown the government also banned 24 civic organizations and professional associations—in addition to some 30 that it had previously banned, including three opposition political parties. The majority of these 24 organizations were professional medical guilds that had come under fire for criticizing the regime’s handling of the Covid-19 pandemic, including reporting that the government had concealed the number of infections and deaths. Vice President Rosario Murillo accused doctors of “health terrorism” and of spreading “false outlooks and news” on the impact of the contagion. During the early months of the pandemic the government convened mass public events under the banner of “Love in Times of Covid.” Nicaragua, together with Haiti, has the lowest rate of vaccination in Latin America, with only 4.9 percent of the population inoculated as of October.

In late 2020, the Sandinistas decreed a spate of laws that allows authorities to criminalize anyone who speaks out against the government. Among these are a Cybercrime Law that allows fines and imprisonment of anyone who publishes in the press or on social media what the government deems to be “false news.” Meanwhile, a “hate crimes” law allows life sentences for anyone considered to have carried out “hate crimes,” as defined by the government. Among the varied offenses listed by Sandinista prosecutors for the recent wave of detentions are “conspiracy to undermine national integrity,” “ideological falsehood,” “demanding, exalting, or applauding the imposition of sanctions against the Nicaraguan state and its citizens,” and “using international funding to create organizations, associations, and foundations to channel funds, through projects or programs that deal with sensitive issues such as sexual diversity groups, the rights of Indigenous communities, or through political marketing on topics such as free expression or democracy.”

A week before the vote, Ortega proclaimed that his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo, was henceforth the “co-president” of the country. While his bizarre declaration has no legal basis or constitutional legitimacy, it was widely seen as a move to anoint her as his successor—the 76-year-old Ortega is known to be in ill health—and a further step towards the rule of a family dynasty. The ruling couple’s eight children already serve as advisors to the presidency and manage the family’s empire of private and ostensibly public media outlets, investment funds, and family businesses.

A mid-October poll by CID-Gallup—an independent pollster that has been conducting political opinion surveys in the country since 2011—found that 76 percent of the country’s electorate believed the country was moving in the wrong direction. The poll reported that 19 percent of the electorate planned to vote for Ortega, 65 percent stated they would favor an opposition candidate, and 16 percent remained undecided. A rival pollster contracted by the FSLN, M&R, showed Ortega with nearly 80 percent support. While all polls should be assessed with caution given the methodological limitations to surveys conducted amid political instability and civil conflict, it is noteworthy that Ortega’s support dropped to 19 from the 33 percent support reported by a CID-Gallup survey conducted in May of this year, which in turn was down from the high point of popular support for Ortega, 54 percent, registered in CID-Gallup’s 2012 poll.

Now that the votes have been cast, it is impossible to get accurate figures for the results given that the Sandinistas control the Supreme Electoral Council and exercise a near absolute control over reporting on the results. In addition, independent foreign observers were banned, and the threat of repression has dissuaded journalists and civic organizations from speaking out.

Ortega will now start his fourth consecutive term in office since the FSLN returned to power in 2007 in the midst of economic and political crisis. With its legitimacy shattered in the aftermath of the 2018 mass uprising and its violent repression, the regime has to rely more on direct coercion to maintain control. After the economy contracted each year from 2018 to 2020, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America estimates a 2.0 percent growth rate for the current year and 1.8 percent for 2022—not enough for the economy to recover from the three-year tumble. As the crisis has intensified, the number of Nicaraguans trying to cross the U.S.-Mexico border climbed to historically unprecedented levels to exceed 50,000 this year, compared to just a few thousand in 2020. These numbers are in addition to the 140,000 who had already fled into exile since 2018, mostly to Costa Rica.

The International Left Remains Divided on Nicaragua

The international left remains divided on the Nicaraguan crisis, with some among it arguing that the Ortega-Murillo regime represents a continuation of the 1980s revolution and that the United States has been attempting to overthrow it. However, as I showed in an earlier NACLA article, there is little evidence to corroborate the claim that the 2018 mass uprising was instigated by Washington in an attempt to carry out a coup d’état against the government, or that the United States has since carried out a destabilization campaign aimed at overthrowing the regime.

It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.The Ortega inner circle hacked its way into the ranks of the country’s elite in the aftermath of the 1980s revolution and launched a new round of capitalist development starting in 2007. During this period, the Sandinista bourgeoisie set about to vastly expand its wealth. Leading Sandinistas grouped around Ortega heavily invested in tourism, agroindustry, finance, import-export, and subcontracting for the maquiladoras. Ortega and Murillo championed a program—dressed in a quasi-leftist discourse of “Christian, Socialist, and Solidarity”— of constructing a populist multiclass alliance under the firm hegemony of capital and Sandinista state elites. This model did improve material conditions until the economy began to tank in 2015. It was not until the mass protests of 2018 that the co-government pact that Ortega had negotiated with the capitalist class, organized into the Superior Council of Private Enterprise (COSEP), broke down.

Washington would have liked to have a more pliant regime in place from the start, and the recent events have upped the ante in U.S.-Nicaragua relations. Nonetheless, successive U.S. administrations accommodated themselves since 2007 to the Ortega government, which cooperated closely with the U.S. Southern Command, the Drug Enforcement Agency, and U.S. immigration policies. Although the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) has supplied several million dollars to opposition civic organizations through the National Endowment for Democracy (NED), USAID also granted several hundred million dollars directly to the Ortega government from 2007 until 2018.

On the eve of the Nicaraguan vote, the U.S. Congress passed the RENACER Act, which calls for targeted sanctions on Nicaraguan government officials found guilty of human rights violations and corruption. It also requires the executive branch to determine if Nicaragua should be expelled from the Central American Free Trade Agreement and to “expand oversight” of lending to Nicaragua by international financial agencies. In 2017 the U.S. government passed almost identical legislation, the NICA Act, which to date has resulted in sanctions slapped on several dozen top Nicaraguan government officials, affecting the assets they hold in the United States.

Apart from these sanctions on individuals, however, Washington did not enforce the NICA Act. It did not apply trade sanctions and has not blocked Nicaragua from receiving billions of dollars in credits from international agencies. From 2017 to 2021, Nicaragua received a whopping $2.2 billion in aid from the Central American Bank of Economic Integration (BCIE), and in 2020-2021 it received several hundred million in credits from the Inter-American Development Bank, the World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund.

Some among the international Left condemn calls for sanctions on Ortega. Yet the U.S. and international Left broadly mobilized (unsuccessfully) in 1978 and 1979 to force Washington to impose sanctions on the Somoza dictatorship and block international financing because of the regime’s gross human rights violations. The worldwide Left similarly demanded sanctions against apartheid South Africa, sought to block U.S. and international financing for the Pinochet dictatorship, and currently calls for “boycott, divestment, and sanctions” against Israel.

Grassroots opponents of the Ortega-Murillo regime find themselves between the rock of an Ortega-Murillo dictatorship and the hard place of the capitalist class and its political agents among the traditional conservative parties. The Right—just as disturbed as Ortega by the outburst of popular protest from below in the 2018 uprising—tried to hitch mass discontent to its own agenda of recovering direct political power and assuring there would be no threat to its control over the Nicaraguan economy.

It was the government’s repression of the popular uprising of students, workers, feminists, and environmentalists that paved the way for the Right’s current hegemony over the anti-Sandinista opposition. The mass of Nicaraguans—beyond the Sandinistas’ secure base in some 20 percent of the population—have not shown any enthusiasm for the traditional conservative parties and businessmen that dominate the opposition and have no real political representation. Indeed, the October CID-Gallup poll found that 77 percent of the country’s electoral does not feel represented by any political party.


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Indigenous Languages of Latin America: Exploring the Otomi Language

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10 months ago
The Kichwa language, also known as Quechua or Quichua, is a widely spoken indigenous language in Latin America. It is primarily spoken in the Andean region, including countries such as Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, and Colombia. With a rich history and cultural significance, the Kichwa language plays a vital role in preserving the heritage and traditions of indigenous communities.

The Kichwa language, also known as Quechua or Quichua, is a widely spoken indigenous language in Latin America. It is primarily spoken in the Andean region, including countries such as Ecuador, Peru, Bolivia, and Colombia. With a rich history and cultural significance, the Kichwa language plays a vital role in preserving the heritage and traditions of indigenous communities.

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10 months ago
Indigenous languages of Latin America hold valuable cultural and historical significance, one of which is the Tzotzil language spoken by the indigenous Tzotzil Maya people in the highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. This ancient language represents a rich heritage and a deep connection to the land and community for its speakers.

Indigenous languages of Latin America hold valuable cultural and historical significance, one of which is the Tzotzil language spoken by the indigenous Tzotzil Maya people in the highlands of Chiapas, Mexico. This ancient language represents a rich heritage and a deep connection to the land and community for its speakers.

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10 months ago
The Zapotec language is one of the indigenous languages spoken in Latin America, specifically in southern Mexico. With its roots tracing back to ancient civilizations, Zapotec is a language rich in history and cultural significance.

The Zapotec language is one of the indigenous languages spoken in Latin America, specifically in southern Mexico. With its roots tracing back to ancient civilizations, Zapotec is a language rich in history and cultural significance.

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10 months ago
The Mapudungun language is a unique and important Indigenous language spoken by the Mapuche people in certain regions of Latin America, primarily in Chile and parts of Argentina. With a rich history and deep cultural significance, Mapudungun plays a vital role in preserving and celebrating the heritage of the Mapuche community.

The Mapudungun language is a unique and important Indigenous language spoken by the Mapuche people in certain regions of Latin America, primarily in Chile and parts of Argentina. With a rich history and deep cultural significance, Mapudungun plays a vital role in preserving and celebrating the heritage of the Mapuche community.

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10 months ago
Hugo Sánchez: The Mexican Football Legend

Hugo Sánchez: The Mexican Football Legend

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10 months ago
Radamel Falcao, also known as El Tigre (The Tiger), is a Colombian football star who has made a significant impact on the world of Latin American football. Born on February 10, 1986, in Santa Marta, Colombia, Falcao is widely regarded as one of the best strikers of his generation.

Radamel Falcao, also known as El Tigre (The Tiger), is a Colombian football star who has made a significant impact on the world of Latin American football. Born on February 10, 1986, in Santa Marta, Colombia, Falcao is widely regarded as one of the best strikers of his generation.

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10 months ago
The Legendary Brazilian Defender: Cafu's Impact on Latin American Football

The Legendary Brazilian Defender: Cafu's Impact on Latin American Football

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10 months ago
Carlos Tevez: The Latin American Football Star

Carlos Tevez: The Latin American Football Star

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10 months ago
The Rise of Latin American Football Star Alexis Sanchez

The Rise of Latin American Football Star Alexis Sanchez

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10 months ago
Eloy de la Iglesia was a prominent Spanish film director known for his impactful contributions to Spanish cinema during the 1970s and 1980s. While not originally from Latin America, his works had a significant influence and resonance within the region, particularly among Latin American film enthusiasts and filmmakers.

Eloy de la Iglesia was a prominent Spanish film director known for his impactful contributions to Spanish cinema during the 1970s and 1980s. While not originally from Latin America, his works had a significant influence and resonance within the region, particularly among Latin American film enthusiasts and filmmakers.

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10 months ago
Juan José Campanella is a highly acclaimed Argentine film director known for his exceptional storytelling and cinematic talent. With a career spanning over three decades, Campanella has made a significant impact on Latin American cinema and has garnered international recognition for his work.

Juan José Campanella is a highly acclaimed Argentine film director known for his exceptional storytelling and cinematic talent. With a career spanning over three decades, Campanella has made a significant impact on Latin American cinema and has garnered international recognition for his work.

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10 months ago
Alejandro Jodorowsky is a highly influential Latin American film director known for his avant-garde and visually stunning works. Born on February 17, 1929, in Tocopilla, Chile, Jodorowsky has a unique and eccentric style that has captivated audiences and inspired filmmakers around the world.

Alejandro Jodorowsky is a highly influential Latin American film director known for his avant-garde and visually stunning works. Born on February 17, 1929, in Tocopilla, Chile, Jodorowsky has a unique and eccentric style that has captivated audiences and inspired filmmakers around the world.

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10 months ago
**Exploring the Cinematic Brilliance of Fernando Meirelles**

**Exploring the Cinematic Brilliance of Fernando Meirelles**

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10 months ago
Carlos Reygadas is a highly acclaimed Mexican film director known for his unique and visually stunning work in the world of Latin American cinema. Born on October 10, 1971, in Mexico City, Reygadas has made a significant impact on the film industry with his thought-provoking storytelling and distinctive aesthetic style.

Carlos Reygadas is a highly acclaimed Mexican film director known for his unique and visually stunning work in the world of Latin American cinema. Born on October 10, 1971, in Mexico City, Reygadas has made a significant impact on the film industry with his thought-provoking storytelling and distinctive aesthetic style.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich is a vibrant city located in Switzerland and is well-known for its picturesque landscapes, rich history, and bustling business scene. The Spanish community in Zurich has been thriving, with many top companies from Spain making their mark in the city. These companies have not only contributed to the economy of Zurich but have also added diversity and innovation to the local business environment.

Zurich is a vibrant city located in Switzerland and is well-known for its picturesque landscapes, rich history, and bustling business scene. The Spanish community in Zurich has been thriving, with many top companies from Spain making their mark in the city. These companies have not only contributed to the economy of Zurich but have also added diversity and innovation to the local business environment.

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1 month ago Category :
Exploring Zurich: A Taste of Latin America in Switzerland

Exploring Zurich: A Taste of Latin America in Switzerland

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is a vibrant city known for its stunning architecture, picturesque landscapes, and diverse culinary scene. While Swiss cuisine certainly holds a special place in the hearts of many locals and visitors, the city also boasts a variety of international dining options, including Latin American food.

Zurich, Switzerland is a vibrant city known for its stunning architecture, picturesque landscapes, and diverse culinary scene. While Swiss cuisine certainly holds a special place in the hearts of many locals and visitors, the city also boasts a variety of international dining options, including Latin American food.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is a vibrant city known for its picturesque surroundings, high quality of life, and thriving multicultural community. Among the various expatriate communities that call Zurich home, the Latin American community stands out for its rich culture, lively traditions, and strong sense of community bonding.

Zurich, Switzerland is a vibrant city known for its picturesque surroundings, high quality of life, and thriving multicultural community. Among the various expatriate communities that call Zurich home, the Latin American community stands out for its rich culture, lively traditions, and strong sense of community bonding.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is a charming city known for its stunning architecture, picturesque surroundings, and vibrant cultural scene. However, if you're in the mood for a change of scenery and looking to explore a completely different culture, why not consider adding Bolivia to your travel bucket list? This South American country is a hidden gem awaiting your discovery, with its rich history, diverse landscapes, and fascinating indigenous cultures.

Zurich, Switzerland is a charming city known for its stunning architecture, picturesque surroundings, and vibrant cultural scene. However, if you're in the mood for a change of scenery and looking to explore a completely different culture, why not consider adding Bolivia to your travel bucket list? This South American country is a hidden gem awaiting your discovery, with its rich history, diverse landscapes, and fascinating indigenous cultures.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is a city known for its stunning architecture, pristine lake, and vibrant cultural scene. Home to a diverse population, Zurich also attracts residents and visitors from all over the world, including those from Bolivia who bring their rich cultural heritage with them.

Zurich, Switzerland is a city known for its stunning architecture, pristine lake, and vibrant cultural scene. Home to a diverse population, Zurich also attracts residents and visitors from all over the world, including those from Bolivia who bring their rich cultural heritage with them.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is renowned for its stunning landscapes, rich history, and vibrant culture. One aspect of Zurich that often goes underappreciated is its diverse culinary scene. While Swiss cuisine is delightful in its own right, the city also plays host to a unique array of international cuisines, including the flavors of Bolivia.

Zurich, Switzerland is renowned for its stunning landscapes, rich history, and vibrant culture. One aspect of Zurich that often goes underappreciated is its diverse culinary scene. While Swiss cuisine is delightful in its own right, the city also plays host to a unique array of international cuisines, including the flavors of Bolivia.

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1 month ago Category :
Zurich, Switzerland is known for its picturesque landscape, rich history, and vibrant business scene. While the city attracts businesses from all over the world, Bolivian entrepreneurs have also made their mark in Zurich's thriving business environment.

Zurich, Switzerland is known for its picturesque landscape, rich history, and vibrant business scene. While the city attracts businesses from all over the world, Bolivian entrepreneurs have also made their mark in Zurich's thriving business environment.

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1 month ago Category :
Creating YouTube content and translation services are essential aspects of reaching a global audience for top Spanish companies. As more businesses recognize the value of online video content, YouTube has become a popular platform for engaging with customers and promoting products and services. By providing high-quality translated content, these companies can effectively communicate with a wider range of viewers and strengthen their global presence.

Creating YouTube content and translation services are essential aspects of reaching a global audience for top Spanish companies. As more businesses recognize the value of online video content, YouTube has become a popular platform for engaging with customers and promoting products and services. By providing high-quality translated content, these companies can effectively communicate with a wider range of viewers and strengthen their global presence.

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1 month ago Category :
Traveling through Latin America is an exciting and enriching experience that many people dream of. With its diverse landscapes, rich cultures, and warm hospitality, Latin America offers endless possibilities for exploration and adventure. And what better way to share these experiences with the world than through YouTube content creation and translation?

Traveling through Latin America is an exciting and enriching experience that many people dream of. With its diverse landscapes, rich cultures, and warm hospitality, Latin America offers endless possibilities for exploration and adventure. And what better way to share these experiences with the world than through YouTube content creation and translation?

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10 months ago
Latin American music is a vibrant and diverse blend of rhythms and styles that showcase the rich cultural heritage of the region. One of the most popular genres within Latin American music is Tropical music.

Latin American music is a vibrant and diverse blend of rhythms and styles that showcase the rich cultural heritage of the region. One of the most popular genres within Latin American music is Tropical music.

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10 months ago
Bolero music is a beautiful and sentimental genre that originates from Latin America, known for its romantic themes and melodic sounds. This genre of music has a rich history and has captivated audiences around the world with its emotive lyrics and soothing melodies.

Bolero music is a beautiful and sentimental genre that originates from Latin America, known for its romantic themes and melodic sounds. This genre of music has a rich history and has captivated audiences around the world with its emotive lyrics and soothing melodies.

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10 months ago
Chilean Nueva Cancion: A Revolutionary Sound

Chilean Nueva Cancion: A Revolutionary Sound

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10 months ago
Samba music is a vibrant and energetic genre that originates from Brazil and is deeply ingrained in the country's cultural identity. The pulsating rhythms, infectious melodies, and lively dance moves of samba create an irresistible blend that captivates audiences around the world.

Samba music is a vibrant and energetic genre that originates from Brazil and is deeply ingrained in the country's cultural identity. The pulsating rhythms, infectious melodies, and lively dance moves of samba create an irresistible blend that captivates audiences around the world.

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10 months ago
Exploring the Captivating Sounds of Bossa Nova

Exploring the Captivating Sounds of Bossa Nova

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10 months ago
Latin American Music Genres - The Evolution of Reggaeton

Latin American Music Genres - The Evolution of Reggaeton

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10 months ago
Mariachi music is undoubtedly one of the most iconic and beloved music genres to have originated in Latin America. With its lively rhythms, vibrant melodies, and passionate lyrics, Mariachi music holds a special place in the hearts of people all around the world.

Mariachi music is undoubtedly one of the most iconic and beloved music genres to have originated in Latin America. With its lively rhythms, vibrant melodies, and passionate lyrics, Mariachi music holds a special place in the hearts of people all around the world.

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10 months ago
Latin American Music Genres: Exploring the Rhythms of Cumbia Music

Latin American Music Genres: Exploring the Rhythms of Cumbia Music

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10 months ago
Latin American music is a rich and diverse tapestry of sounds and rhythms, with each region contributing its own unique musical styles. One such genre that has captivated audiences around the world is Tango music.

Latin American music is a rich and diverse tapestry of sounds and rhythms, with each region contributing its own unique musical styles. One such genre that has captivated audiences around the world is Tango music.

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10 months ago
Latin American Music Genres: Exploring the Vibrant World of Salsa Music

Latin American Music Genres: Exploring the Vibrant World of Salsa Music

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10 months ago
Hugo Sánchez: The Mexican Football Legend

Hugo Sánchez: The Mexican Football Legend

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10 months ago
Radamel Falcao, also known as El Tigre (The Tiger), is a Colombian football star who has made a significant impact on the world of Latin American football. Born on February 10, 1986, in Santa Marta, Colombia, Falcao is widely regarded as one of the best strikers of his generation.

Radamel Falcao, also known as El Tigre (The Tiger), is a Colombian football star who has made a significant impact on the world of Latin American football. Born on February 10, 1986, in Santa Marta, Colombia, Falcao is widely regarded as one of the best strikers of his generation.

Read More →
10 months ago
The Legendary Brazilian Defender: Cafu's Impact on Latin American Football

The Legendary Brazilian Defender: Cafu's Impact on Latin American Football

Read More →
10 months ago
Carlos Tevez: The Latin American Football Star

Carlos Tevez: The Latin American Football Star

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10 months ago
The Rise of Latin American Football Star Alexis Sanchez

The Rise of Latin American Football Star Alexis Sanchez

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10 months ago
Diego Maradona: The Legendary Latin American Football Star

Diego Maradona: The Legendary Latin American Football Star

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10 months ago
Neymar Jr.: The Brazilian Superstar Lighting Up Latin American Football

Neymar Jr.: The Brazilian Superstar Lighting Up Latin American Football

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10 months ago
The Eternal Legend of Pele: A Latin American Football Star

The Eternal Legend of Pele: A Latin American Football Star

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10 months ago
The Legendary Lionel Messi: A Latin American Football Star

The Legendary Lionel Messi: A Latin American Football Star

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10 months ago
Buenos Aires: A Vibrant Latin American Travel Destination

Buenos Aires: A Vibrant Latin American Travel Destination

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10 months ago
Located in the southeastern Pacific Ocean, Easter Island is a remote and mystifying travel destination that continues to capture the imagination of visitors from around the world. Known for its iconic, giant stone statues called moai, this small island holds a rich history and unique culture waiting to be explored.

Located in the southeastern Pacific Ocean, Easter Island is a remote and mystifying travel destination that continues to capture the imagination of visitors from around the world. Known for its iconic, giant stone statues called moai, this small island holds a rich history and unique culture waiting to be explored.

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10 months ago
Antigua Guatemala is a charming colonial town located in the central highlands of Guatemala. Known for its well-preserved Spanish colonial architecture, vibrant culture, and stunning landscapes, Antigua is a popular travel destination in Latin America.

Antigua Guatemala is a charming colonial town located in the central highlands of Guatemala. Known for its well-preserved Spanish colonial architecture, vibrant culture, and stunning landscapes, Antigua is a popular travel destination in Latin America.

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10 months ago
Nestled along the pristine beaches of Mexico's Caribbean coast, Tulum is a picture-perfect destination that captures the essence of Latin American charm and beauty. This enchanting town, located in the Yucatán Peninsula, is renowned for its crystal-clear turquoise waters, powdery white sand beaches, and well-preserved ancient Mayan ruins.

Nestled along the pristine beaches of Mexico's Caribbean coast, Tulum is a picture-perfect destination that captures the essence of Latin American charm and beauty. This enchanting town, located in the Yucatán Peninsula, is renowned for its crystal-clear turquoise waters, powdery white sand beaches, and well-preserved ancient Mayan ruins.

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10 months ago
Exploring the Charm of Cartagena: A Latin American Travel Gem

Exploring the Charm of Cartagena: A Latin American Travel Gem

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10 months ago
Located at the southern tip of South America, Patagonia is a vast and majestic region that spans across both Argentina and Chile. Known for its awe-inspiring landscapes, diverse wildlife, and adventurous outdoor activities, Patagonia is a must-visit destination for nature enthusiasts and thrill-seekers alike.

Located at the southern tip of South America, Patagonia is a vast and majestic region that spans across both Argentina and Chile. Known for its awe-inspiring landscapes, diverse wildlife, and adventurous outdoor activities, Patagonia is a must-visit destination for nature enthusiasts and thrill-seekers alike.

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10 months ago
The Galapagos Islands in Latin America are a bucket-list destination for nature lovers and wildlife enthusiasts. Located off the coast of Ecuador, this archipelago is renowned for its unique ecosystem and up-close wildlife encounters. From giant tortoises to blue-footed boobies, the Galapagos Islands offer a one-of-a-kind experience for visitors seeking to immerse themselves in nature.

The Galapagos Islands in Latin America are a bucket-list destination for nature lovers and wildlife enthusiasts. Located off the coast of Ecuador, this archipelago is renowned for its unique ecosystem and up-close wildlife encounters. From giant tortoises to blue-footed boobies, the Galapagos Islands offer a one-of-a-kind experience for visitors seeking to immerse themselves in nature.

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10 months ago
**Exploring Rio de Janeiro: A Vibrant Latin American Travel Destination**

**Exploring Rio de Janeiro: A Vibrant Latin American Travel Destination**

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10 months ago
Machu Picchu: Exploring the Ancient Wonder of the Andes

Machu Picchu: Exploring the Ancient Wonder of the Andes

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